最新民调显示，艾奥瓦州的民主党籍州长及参议员候选人在各自选举中均处于领先态势。
Both Democratic candidates for Senate and governor in Iowa are leading in their races, according to a new poll.
在萨福克大学进行的这项民调中，48%的受访者表示，若选举于当日举行，他们会首选民主党籍参议员候选人乔什·图雷克；44%的人则表示会支持他的共和党对手、众议员阿什利·欣森。不过图雷克的领先幅度尚在民调误差范围之内。此外，自由党候选人托马斯·莱恩获得了2%的支持率；6%的受访者尚未决定投票对象，另有1%未作出回应。
In the Suffolk University poll, 48 percent of respondents said that Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek was their “first choice” if the election occurred that day, with 44 percent saying the same of Rep. Ashley Hinson (Iowa), his GOP opponent. Turek’s lead falls within the survey’s margin of error. Thomas Laehn, a Libertarian candidate, garnered 2 percent backing, while 6 percent were unsure about their choice and 1 percent did not respond.
该民调还显示，55%的受访者表示会投票给民主党籍州长候选人罗布·桑德，或倾向于支持他；43%的人则倾向于支持他的共和党对手扎克·莱恩。目前尚无人接替即将卸任的共和党籍州长金·雷诺兹。
The Suffolk poll also found that 55 percent of respondents said they would cast their ballot for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand or were leaning toward doing so if the election occurred that day. Forty-three percent said the same of Sand’s Republican opponent, Zach Lahn, and 2 percent were unsure about their choice in the race to replace retiring Gov. Kim Reynolds (R).
周二晚间，莱恩与桑德在首次电视辩论中交锋，选举日之前两人还将进行三次辩论。
Lahn and Sand clashed in their first televised debate Tuesday night, with three more scheduled before Election Day.
据美国州长协会统计，过去15年间，艾奥瓦州州长职位一直由共和党人把持，上一位民主党州长是切特·卡尔弗。而在参议员层面，最后一位民主党籍参议员是2015年离任的汤姆·哈金。
According to the National Governors Association, the last time a Democrat held the governorship of the Hawkeye State was 15 years ago, with Gov. Chet Culver. And on the senatorial side, Iowa’s last Democratic senator was Tom Harkin, who left office in 2015.
近十年来，艾奥瓦州始终是共和党的大本营，特朗普在三次总统选举中均在此获胜。不过本次中期选举中，整体选情对民主党较为有利：多项民调显示民主党支持率占优，而共和党则面临伊朗战争不受欢迎、特朗普支持率下滑以及生活成本上涨等诸多难题。
Iowa has been a reliably red state within the last decade, with President Trump carrying it in all three of his presidential runs. However, the national electoral environment appears to be better for Democrats these midterms, with polls leaning their way and Republicans dealing with issues like the unpopular Iran war, Trump’s sagging approval rating and concerns about the cost of living.
无党派选举分析机构库克政治报告将此次艾奥瓦州州长选举的走向判定为“倾向民主党”，参议员选举则被归为“势均力敌”。本次萨福克大学民调于10月1日至4日期间开展，共调查了500名艾奥瓦州选民，误差幅度为4.4个百分点。
The nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report rates the Iowa governor’s race as leaning Democratic and the Senate race as a “toss up.”The Suffolk University poll took place from Oct. 1-4, featuring 500ed voters in Iowa and 4.4 percentage points as its margin of error.