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国会山报

民调:哈里斯和万斯在2028年总统选举民调中领先Harris, Vance leading in 2028 presidential polling

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一项新民调发现,前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯和副总统万斯在潜在的2028年总统候选人中领先。

A new poll found former Vice President Kamala Harris and Vice President Vance leading among potential 2028 presidential candidates.

Focaldata/《金融时报》民调显示,30%的受访者选择哈里斯作为2028年总统选举的民主党提名人选,而38%的受访者选择万斯作为共和党提名人选。

The Focaldata/Financial Times poll found 30 percent of respondents chose Harris as the 2028 presidential Democratic nominee, while 38 percent picked Vance as the Republican nominee.

在民主党初选中,15%的受访者支持加州州长加文·纽森(民主党),9%的受访者选择众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯(民主党-纽约州),9%的受访者选择前交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格,8%的受访者选择参议员乔恩·奥索夫(民主党-佐治亚州)。

In the Democratic primary, 15 percent of respondents supported California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D), 9 percent chose Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), 9 percent went with former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and 8 percent chose Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.).

在共和党方面,国务卿马尔科·卢比奥获得了24%的受访者支持,9%的受访者选择佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯(共和党),7%的受访者选择唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.,7%的受访者选择卫生与公众服务部长罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 Jr.。

On the GOP side, Secretary of State Marco Rubio netted 24 percent support from respondents, 9 percent picked Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), 7 percent chose Donald Trump Jr. and 7 percent picked Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

14%的受访者不确定他们在民主党初选中会选择哪位候选人,12%的受访者对共和党初选的选择持不确定态度。

Fourteen percent were unsure which candidate they would choose in the Democratic primary and 12 percent were unsure regarding the GOP primary.

万斯在获得特朗普总统内圈许多人的支持后进入了总统竞选的讨论。特朗普还多次鼓动万斯和卢比奥之间为2028年共和党提名而展开的竞争。万斯甚至开玩笑地将这场竞争比作总统以前的真人秀节目《学徒》。

Vance entered the presidential conversation when he picked up support from many in President Trump’s inner circle. Trump has also repeatedly egged on the competition between Vance and Rubio for the 2028 Republican nomination. Vance even jokingly likened the competition to the president’s former reality show, “The Apprentice.”

卢比奥向捐款人和其他盟友表示,他不会参选,尤其是针对万斯,消息人士告诉《国会山报》。然而,万斯在10月告诉NBC新闻,他正专注于2026年的中期选举,并补充说:“这就是我将继续做的事情。”哈里斯——她在2024年总统选举中败给特朗普——在她参加诸如密歇根州参议员候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛德等摇摆州候选人的竞选活动期间,重新进入了总统竞选的讨论。

Rubio told donors and other allies that he will not run, particularly against Vance, sources told The Hill. The vice president told NBC News in October, however, that he was focused on the 2026 midterm elections, adding “that’s what I’m going to keep on doing.”Harris — who lost to Trump in the 2024 presidential election — has reentered the presidential conversation amid her attendance at campaign events for candidates in battleground elections like Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed.

哈里斯的一位长期捐款人今年早些时候告诉《国会山报》:“如果她认为支持不足,她是个聪明的女人,也不会无端做无用功。”

A longtime donor of Harris’s told The Hill earlier this year that “she’s a smart woman and also isn’t going to do something fruitless for no reason” if she decides that the support is not there.

纽森今年早些时候曾表示,如果哈里斯再次参选总统,他就不会竞选2028年总统,并指出两人将争夺相同的选民群体。

Newsom said earlier this year he would not run for president in 2028 if Harris ran again, pointing out that they would both be fighting over the same supporters.

与此同时,奥斯夫在8月份对WSB-TV表示,他“对竞选2028年总统毫无兴趣”。奥卡西奥-科尔特斯则称,她会在中期选举之后决定是否参选总统。

Ossoff, meanwhile, told WSB-TV in August he had “zero interest in running for president in 2028.”Ocasio-Cortez said she will make a choice on whether to make a presidential bid following the midterms.

此次Focaldata/《金融时报》的民意调查于10月2日至5日期间进行,共对2,553名美国成年人进行了访问。《国会山报》已联系Focaldata以获取该调查的误差范围。

The Focaldata/Financial Times poll was conducted among 2,553 U.S. adults from Oct. 2-5. The Hill has reached out to Focaldata for the poll’s margin of error.