
东京,10月14日:由于交易员正等待有关加息时机的新信息以应对持续通胀,美元周三表现疲弱。
TOKYO, Oct 14 : The dollar languished on Wednesday as traders awaited fresh signals on the timing for interest rate hikes to contend with persistent inflation.
美元相较于前一交易日的18个月高点走低,原因是油价回落,投资者重新评估了由人工智能推动的涨势,而这一涨势曾支撑对美国资产的需求。欧元保持涨势,因为法国的预算担忧使得区域债券收益率保持高位,市场紧张。
The greenback weakened from an 18-month high in the previous session as oil prices eased and investors reassessed the AI-fueled rally that has supported demand for US assets. The euro clung to gains as budget concerns in France kept regional bond yields elevated and markets on edge.
目前市场注意力集中在美国消费者价格指数数据的发布以及美联储政策制定者的讲话上,这些讲话可能澄清利率前景。
Attention now focuses on the release of US consumer price index data as well as speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers that could clarify the outlook for interest rates.
“风险在于核心CPI可能因强劲的消费者需求和更高的成本而意外上行,这将推高市场对10月美联储加息的预期并提振美元,”澳大利亚联邦银行货币策略师Carol Kong在一份报告中表示。
"The risk is the core CPI surprises to the upside because of strong consumer demand and higher costs, pushing up market pricing of an October Fed hike and the USD," Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note.
衡量美元对一篮子货币汇率的美元指数小幅下跌0.02%,至102.16,此前周二曾下跌0.35%。欧元上涨0.04%,至1.1203美元。
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, edged 0.02 per cent lower to 102.16, following a 0.35 per cent slide on Tuesday. The euro rose 0.04 per cent at $1.1203.
日元基本持平,汇率为158.32日元兑1美元;英镑上涨0.03%,至1.3256美元。
The yen was little changed at 158.32 per dollar, and sterling rose 0.03 per cent to $1.3256.
美元在周二延续了跌势,此前纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯表示,他仍预计今年将再加息一次,但认为2027年无需进一步加息。
The dollar extended losses on Tuesday after New York Fed President John Williams said he still expects one more rate hike this year, but sees no need for further increases in 2027.
美国劳工部将于近期公布9月份的CPI数据,预计环比上涨0.6%,此前8月份为0.4%;而年通胀率预计将从3.4%加速至3.6%。此外,美联储还将发布其《褐皮书》。
The US Labor Department is due to release its CPI for September, which is expected to have risen 0.6 per cent month-on-month after increasing 0.4 per cent in August, while annual inflation is seen accelerating to 3.6 per cent from 3.4 per cent. Additionally, the Fed is due to publish its Beige Book.
CME Group的FedWatch工具显示,交易员认为美联储在10月27-28日的会议上维持利率不变的概率为77%,而一个月前这一概率为51%;同时,市场预计到2027年底将累计紧缩约75个基点。
Traders see a 77 per cent chance that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its October 27-28 meeting, up from 51 per cent a month ago, while pricing in about 75 basis points of tightening by late 2027, CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed.
投资者在两名政策制定者主张在决定是否需要进一步紧缩之前收集更多证据后,放弃了对本月晚些时候美联储加息的押注,而美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒表示,通胀预期仍然“牢固锚定”。里士满联储行长托马斯·巴尔金计划参加弗吉尼亚州的炉边谈话,而美联储监管副主席米歇尔·博曼将参加在曼谷举行的讨论。
Investors abandoned bets on a Fed rate hike later this month after two policymakers argued for gathering more evidence before deciding whether further tightening is needed, while Fed Governor Christopher Waller said inflation expectations remained "well anchored." Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin is scheduled to participate in a fireside chat in Virginia, while Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman is set to take part in talks in Bangkok.
国际货币基金组织和世界银行的年会仍在曼谷举行,预计欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德将在周三多次出场。
The International Monetary Fund and World Bank's annual meetings continue in Bangkok, with several appearances expected by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Wednesday.
澳元对美元升值0.06%,报0.6984美元;新西兰元升值0.09%,报0.5614美元。
The Australian dollar strengthened 0.06 per cent versus the greenback to $0.6984, while New Zealand's kiwi strengthened 0.09 per cent to $0.5614.