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英格兰银行首席经济学家皮尔对市场预期四次加息持怀疑态度Bank of England's Pill says he's sceptical about market pricing four rate hikes

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英国央行首席经济学家兼货币分析与研究执行主任休·皮尔于2023年9月5日在英国伦敦金丝雀码头路透社办公室会见记者。路透社/苏珊娜·普兰克特Chief Economist and Executive Director for Monetary Analysis and Research at the Bank of England, Huw Pill meets with reporters in the Reuters' offices at Canary Wharf in London, Britain, September 5, 2023. REUTERS/Suzanne Plunkett

英格兰银行首席经济学家胡韦尔·皮尔,曾在利率决策中投赞成票支持加息,周三表示,他对市场预期英格兰银行在未来一年内实施四次25个基点的加息持更多怀疑态度。

Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill, who had voted in favour of raising rates, said on Wednesday he was more sceptical about market pricing of four quarter-point increases to borrowing costs by the BoE over the next year.

“我们是否显然需要行动,跟随市场定价进行四次25个基点的加息等等?在那一点上,我会持更多怀疑态度,”皮尔在国际货币基金组织半年会议期间,在曼谷花旗银行组织的活动上说道。

"Is it obvious that we will need to move, follow market pricing to four 25 basis-point hikes and so forth? So there, I would be a little bit more sceptical," Pill said during an event organised by Citi on the sidelines of the semi-annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund in Bangkok.

“我认为让我们处于正确的位置很重要。我认为我们在那方面还有些工作要做。我认为这可能现在正变得越来越明显。但未来一年内进行四次加息是否合适呢?”虽然皮尔和货币政策委员会的另外两名成员在九月投票支持加息,但包括行长安德鲁·贝利在内的货币政策委员会多数成员倾向于维持利率不变,直至能看到伊朗战争对通胀影响的更明确迹象。

"I think it is important we get ourselves in the right position. I think we have some work to do there. I think that is something that probably is increasingly obvious now. But is four hikes appropriate over the next year?" While Pill and two other Monetary Policy Committee members voted to raise interest rates in September, a majority on the MPC including Governor Andrew Bailey preferred no change pending clearer signs of the impact of the Iran war on inflation.

周二,贝利重申了他的观点:能源冲击对英国广义通胀的压迫迄今为止一直被抑制,“但这种情况持续的时间越长,情况就越难以应对。”}

On Tuesday, Bailey repeated his view that pressure on broader inflation in the UK from the energy shock had so far been subdued, "but the longer this goes on, the harder it gets."