CNN商业执行编辑大卫·戈德曼加入沃尔夫·布利泽和帕梅拉·布朗的《情势室》节目，解读数据所揭示的特朗普总统改善经济的承诺。' 已经是这样了。>> 好的。>> 那么，让我们请来CNN商业记者大卫·戈德曼。他来这里是为了让事情变得清晰。好的。大卫，今天的问题是：特朗普总统承诺要带来更好的经济。这真的实现了吗？
CNN Business Executive Editor David Goldman joins Wolf Blitzer and Pamela Brown in The Situation Room to break down what the data says about President Trump's pledges to improve the economy. ' TO ALREADY ARE. >> ALL RIGHT. >> SO LET'S BRING IN CNN BUSINESS REPORTER DAVID GOLDMAN. HE IS HERE TO MAKE IT MAKE SENSE. ALL RIGHT. DAVID, TODAY'S QUESTION. PRESIDENT TRUMP PROMISED A BETTER ECONOMY. HAS THAT HAPPENED? >> YES.
是的。毫无疑问。事实上他说得对。经济看起来很棒。事实上。失业率为4.2%。我们称之为充分就业。零售销售增长1.2%。尽管物价高企，人们仍在继续消费。这是一个非常好的迹象。而且这正在推动一个超出预期的GDP预测。本季度GDP增长3.6%，这是经济非常大的增长。所以我认为你们可能在问的问题是：为什么人们如此讨厌它？
UNDENIABLY. ACTUALLY HE IS RIGHT. THE ECONOMY LOOKS GREAT. ACTUALLY. UNEMPLOYMENT IS AT 4.2%. WE CALL THAT FULL EMPLOYMENT. RETAIL SALES 1.2%. PEOPLE KEEP SPENDING DESPITE HIGH PRICES. THAT IS A VERY GOOD SIGN. AND THAT IS FUELING A GDP FORECAST THAT'S OFF THE CHARTS. 3.6% THIS QUARTER IS A VERY LARGE GROWTH OF THE ECONOMY. SO I THINK THE QUESTION YOU'RE PROBABLY ASKING IS WHY DO PEOPLE HATE IT SO MUCH?
而他们确实如此。根据最近的一项CNN民意调查，27%的美国人赞同这种经济状况。这意味着73%的人不喜欢它。而且这里有些历史背景。记得，在拜登总统任期内，经济对一些人来说并不那么好。在拜登总统的四年任期内，消费者价格上涨了21.5%。汽油价格上涨了31%，而工资却下降了。在拜登总统任期内，人们因通胀而受损，财富差距显著扩大。
AND THEY DO. 27% OF AMERICANS APPROVE OF THIS ECONOMY. THAT MEANS 73% DO NOT LIKE IT. ACCORDING TO A RECENT CNN POLL. AND THERE'S SOME HISTORY WITH THIS. REMEMBER, UNDER PRESIDENT BIDEN, THE ECONOMY DIDN'T LOOK ALL THAT GREAT TO SOME FOLKS. CONSUMER PRICES WERE UP 21.5% UNDER THE FOUR YEARS OF PRESIDENT BIDEN. GAS PRICES WERE UP 31% AND PAYCHECKS WERE DOWN. YOU LOST OUT TO INFLATION UNDER PRESIDENT BIDEN AND THE WEALTH GAP GREW SIGNIFICANTLY.
如果你处于前1%，那么你的净资产增加了30%。但对于我们中间的40%人群，仅增加了10%。富人越来越富，穷人则不然。所以特朗普总统上任后，他说他打算做什么？他打算降低成本。他打算降低利率。他打算削减开支，减税，并且就业将会蓬勃发展。他真的做到了吗？好吧，让我们来看看。好吧，我们知道成本仍在上升。
IF YOU WERE IN THE TOP 1%, WELL, YOU YOUR NET WORTH WENT UP 30%. BUT FOR THE REST OF US IN THE MIDDLE, 40%, IT ONLY GAINED 10%. THE RICH GOT RICHER, THE POOR NOT SO MUCH. SO PRESIDENT TRUMP COMES INTO OFFICE AND WHAT DOES HE SAY HE'S GOING TO DO? HE'S GOING TO LOWER COSTS. HE'S GOING TO LOWER INTEREST RATES. HE'S GOING TO CUT SPENDING, CUT TAXES, AND JOBS ARE GOING TO BOOM. DID HE DO IT? WELL, LET'S FIND OUT. WELL, WE KNOW THAT COSTS ARE CONTINUING TO RISE.
好吧，燃料价格正在上涨。这听起来像是伊朗战争对我而言的后果。利率正在上升。这是伊朗战争的后果。劳动力成本也在上升。
WELL THE FUEL PRICES ARE GOING UP. THAT SOUNDS LIKE THE IRAN WAR TO ME. INTEREST RATES ARE GOING UP. A CONSEQUENCE OF THE IRAN WAR. LABOR COSTS ARE GOING UP.
那是人工智能进口商品。嗯，你知道的，关税是个大问题。然后是芯片和电力。嗯，是的，那也是人工智能相关的。让我们来看看特朗普的记录。这是他的错吗？是的。部分是。也许不是。但这里涉及人工智能。但特朗普的政策让情况变得更糟，对此有很多责任要追究。现在情况怎么样呢？嗯，我们有3%的工资增长。
THAT'S AI IMPORTED GOODS. WELL, YOU KNOW, TARIFFS ARE A BIG THING. AND THEN CHIPS AND ELECTRICITY. WELL YEAH, THAT'S AN AI THING TOO. LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT TRUMP'S RECORD. WAS IT HIS FAULT? YEAH. PARTIALLY YES. MAYBE NO. HERE WITH AI. BUT THERE'S A LOT OF BLAME FOR TRUMP'S POLICIES MAKING THIS EVEN WORSE. AND WHAT DOES IT LOOK LIKE NOW. WELL, WE HAVE WAGE GAINS OF 3%.
这听起来不错。你的工资单在变大，但通货膨胀，我们今天刚刚发现，全年增长率达到了3.7%。这意味着通货膨胀正在相当程度地侵蚀你的工资单。现在，社会保障金领取者正在获得一些好消息。明年社会保障金支付将增长3.6%。但以3.7%的通胀率，他们可能实际上是在亏损。明年我们就会知道。这张图表显示，在过去大约三年里，你一直在赚比通胀更多的钱，直到伊朗战争爆发，之后突然之间，消费者价格开始上涨，而你的工资却在下降。
THAT SOUNDS PRETTY GOOD. YOUR PAYCHECK IS GETTING BIGGER, BUT INFLATION, WE JUST FOUND OUT TODAY GREW AT A RATE OF 3.7% OVER THE COURSE OF THE YEAR. THAT MEANS INFLATION IS EATING YOUR PAYCHECK BY QUITE A BIT. NOW, SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENTS ARE GETTING SOME GOOD NEWS. 3.6% GAIN IN SOCIAL SECURITY PAYOUTS NEXT YEAR. BUT AT 3.7% INFLATION, THEY MAY BE LOSING OUT. WE'LL FIND OUT NEXT YEAR. THIS CHART SHOWS HOW, OVER THE PAST THREE OR SO YEARS, YOU WERE MAKING MORE MONEY THAN INFLATION UNTIL THE IRAN WAR HAPPENED, AND THEN ALL OF A SUDDEN YOU HAVE CONSUMER PRICES GOING UP AND YOU HAVE YOUR PAY GOING DOWN.
这种差距对任何人都不好，意味着通货膨胀继续侵蚀你的工资单。那么，特朗普兑现了他的承诺吗？他战胜了通货膨胀吗？当然没有。他降低了利率吗？不。他减少了政府支出吗？还记得狗狗币（DOGE），不管那后来怎么样了？不。他减税了吗？是的，他减税了，但我们得到了工作机会吗？轰。那里其实是个好坏参半的情况。所以他的记录是好坏参半的。但特朗普的政策有很多地方值得指责。
THAT GAP IS NOT FUN FOR ANYONE, MEANS INFLATION CONTINUES TO EAT THAT PAYCHECK. SO DID TRUMP DELIVER ON HIS PROMISES? DID HE DEFEAT INFLATION? CERTAINLY NOT. DID HE LOWER INTEREST RATES? NOPE. DID HE REDUCE GOVERNMENT SPENDING? REMEMBER, DOGE, WHATEVER HAPPENED WITH THAT? NOPE. DID HE CUT TAXES? YES HE DID, BUT DID WE GET THE JOBS? BOOM. IT'S KIND OF A MIXED BAG THERE. SO A MIXED RECORD. BUT THERE'S A LOT TO BLAME FOR TRUMP'S POLICIES