特朗普总统昨晚承诺，物价已经开始下降；然而，今天早上公布的新通胀数据显示，成本仍在上升。《Inside Politics》节目组分析了经济形势可能对共和党在下个月中期选举中的胜算产生的影响。10月。TBS电视台今晚播出特别节目。
President Trump promised last night that prices are already starting to come down. But new inflation statistics out this morning show costs are still going up. The Inside Politics panel breaks down how the economy could affect GOP chances in next month's midterms. ' OCTOBER. THREE ON TBS. >> WAR IS GOING TO END VERY SOON, AND WHEN IT DOES, YOUR PRICES ARE GOING TO COME TUMBLING DOWN.
战争很快就会结束，届时物价也会大幅下跌。事实上，现在已经开始下降了。我们取得了前所未有的经济成就。
THEY ALREADY ARE. WE HAVE ECONOMIC SUCCESS LIKE NOBODY THOUGHT POSSIBLE. >> THAT WAS PRESIDENT TRUMP CAMPAIGNING LAST NIGHT IN ALASKA, PROMISING THAT PRICES ARE ALREADY FALLING.
这是特朗普总统昨晚在阿拉斯加州竞选时的讲话，他声称物价已在下降。然而，中期选举前发布的最后一份通胀报告却给出了截然不同的结果：美国民众的支出正在增加，通胀率不降反升。9月份的通胀率高达3.7%，为5月份以来的最高水平。推动这一趋势的不仅是汽油价格，还有机票、汽车维修费用、电费等等。
BUT TODAY'S FINAL INFLATION REPORT BEFORE THE MIDTERMS DELIVERED A DIFFERENT VERDICT. AMERICANS ARE PAYING MORE. INFLATION IS GOING UP, NOT DOWN. 3.7% IN SEPTEMBER, THE HIGHEST SINCE MAY. AND IT'S NOT JUST GASOLINE, WHICH IS DRIVING THAT. IT'S PLANE TICKETS, CAR TUNE UPS, POWER BILLS AND MORE.
这一数据显然是个危险信号，但对于所有参与竞选的共和党人而言却并不意外——因为他们从选民口中切实听到了民众对当前生活状况的真实反馈。
UH, THIS IS A A NUMBER AMARIANNA THAT IS KIND OF A RED FLASHING LIGHT, BUT IT'S NOT NEWS TO ANY REPUBLICAN ON THE BALLOT BECAUSE THEY'RE HEARING IT IN REAL TERMS WITH REAL LIVE VOTERS ON HOW THEIR LIVES ARE RIGHT NOW. >> YOU'RE RIGHT.
您说得对，这根本不是什么新鲜事。事实上，今天我与几位共和党策略师就此进行了交流；尤其是那些长期关注众议院选举情况的人士都表示，这种情况其实早已在预料之中。如今，共和党人正从原本被认为具有竞争力的州或选区撤走资金，转而用于巩固那些原本稳操胜券的席位，因为他们实在没料到竞选环境会变得如此艰难。即便“MAGA Inc.”竭尽全力投入资金，我所接触的许多人士仍认为相关选情并未如预期般出现转机——原因很简单：选民们早已清楚当前的经济状况。
IT'S NOT NEW AT ALL. AND FRANKLY, I WAS TALKING TO A COUPLE OF REPUBLICAN STRATEGISTS TODAY IN LIGHT OF THIS, AND ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU TALK TO THOSE WHO HAVE BEEN COVERING A NUMBER OF HOUSE RACES, THEY'RE LIKE, THIS IS ALREADY MORE OR LESS BAKED IN. YOU'RE SEEING REPUBLICANS ACTUALLY PULLING MONEY FROM STATES OR DISTRICTS WHERE THEY WERE BELIEVED, THAT THEY WERE MORE COMPETITIVE IN TO TRY AND SHORE UP REPUBLICANS IN SAFE SEATS BECAUSE THEY GENUINELY DID NOT THINK THAT IT WOULD BECOME SUCH A TOUGH ENVIRONMENT FOR THEM. AND I MEAN, AS MUCH MONEY AS EVEN MAGA INC. HAS TRIED TO POUR IN. A NUMBER OF PEOPLE THAT I'VE TALKED TO HAVE JUST NOT SEEN THOSE RACES TIGHTEN IN THE WAY THAT THEY EVEN EXPECTED, SIMPLY BECAUSE, AGAIN, VOTERS ALREADY KNOW WHAT'S HAPPENING ON THE ECONOMY. >> THEY ALREADY KNOW.
他们确实心知肚明。接下来我们就用具体数据来直观展示民众的真实感受。我们将对比工资水平与通胀率，也就是人们的收入与物价水平之间的差距。这是2025年1月特朗普总统再次就职时的数据：红色代表工资水平，橙色则代表物价水平。
AND LET'S JUST ILLUSTRATE WHAT THEY KNOW AND WHAT THEY'RE FEELING. WE'RE GOING TO USE THE NUMBERS TO SORT OF HELP HIT IT HOME. SO WE'RE GOING TO SHOW YOU WAGES VERSUS INFLATION. OKAY. HOW MUCH PEOPLE ARE MAKING VERSUS HOW MUCH THINGS COST. SO THIS IS JANUARY 2025, WHEN PRESIDENT TRUMP WAS INAUGURATED AGAIN.
现在的情况是：生产出来的产品价值高于其成本。而未来则会变成：生产出来的产品价值低于其成本。事情就是这么简单又令人遗憾。
RED IS WHAT YOU MAKE. AND THE ORANGE IS WHAT IT COSTS. WHAT YOU MAKE IS MORE THAN WHAT IT COSTS. THIS IS WHERE WE ARE NOW. WHAT YOU MAKE IS LOWER THAN WHAT IT COSTS.
没错。我认为其中一个重要原因就是，特朗普的支持者总喜欢强调一个事实：在拜登执政期间通胀率实际上更高，甚至超过了7%。看看2022年大选期间的情况吧，当时通胀率也超过了7%。不过当时人们明白这与新冠疫情有关，因此并未完全将责任归咎于拜登政府。而如今，他们则可以拿关税政策以及伊朗战争这类问题来指责特朗普政府。另外，正如你提到的那个图表所示，目前的通胀率其实并没有出现显著变化。
IT'S AS SIMPLE AND SAD AS THAT. >> YEAH. I THINK A BIG PART OF THIS, TOO, IS THAT, YOU KNOW, THE TRUMP PEOPLE LIKE TO ALWAYS POINT TO THE FACT THAT INFLATION ACTUALLY WAS HIGHER DURING THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION. IT ACTUALLY WENT ABOVE 7%. LOOK AT THE SAME POINT IN THAT ELECTION CYCLE, THE 2022 CYCLE INFLATION WAS OVER 7% HEADING INTO THAT ELECTION. THE DIFFERENCES ARE THAT PEOPLE KNEW THAT THAT HAD SOMETHING TO DO WITH COVID. THEY DIDN'T TOTALLY BLAME THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION ON IT VERSUS NOW THEY HAVE THESE THINGS THAT THEY CAN POINT TO THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ON THE TARIFFS AND THE IRAN WAR SPECIFICALLY. AND THE OTHER THING IS THAT CHART THAT YOU POINTED OUT, THE INFLATION IS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY