根据国际货币基金组织（IMF）的说法，阿拉伯国家的财政储备以及备用石油出口设施正在帮助减轻伊朗战争对中东最大经济体（沙特阿拉伯）造成的冲击。
Arabia’s fiscal buffers and backup oil-export facilities are helping curb the damage to the Middle East’s largest economy from the Iran war, according to the International Monetary Fund.
尽管本月局势进一步升级——伊朗支持的胡塞武装对沙特阿拉伯的主要机场发动了致命袭击——但该机构仍认为沙特阿拉伯比其海湾邻国更能应对这些动荡。IMF中东事务负责人在采访中表示：“沙特阿拉伯在危机中展现了其抵御冲击的能力。”
Despite this month’s escalation that saw the Iran-backed Houthis stage deadly attacks on the kingdom’s main airport, the IMF still sees Saudi Arabia as better placed than its Gulf peers to ride out the upheaval, the lender’s Middle East director said in an interview.
“沙特阿拉伯拥有充足的储备资金，同时也投资了大量基础设施，这使得他们能够在短时间内重新调整石油出口路线。”这位位于华盛顿的机构承认，沙特经济受到了严重打击；IMF预测沙特经济在2026年的增长率将为负3.3%，这是自新冠疫情以来的最糟糕表现。沙特的邻国科威特和卡塔尔的国内生产总值预计也将下降超过15%。
Saudi Arabia “has proved during the crisis its capacity to withstand shocks,” Jihad Azour said on the sidelines of the IMF’s annual meetings in Bangkok, Thailand. There’s “the level of reserves, but also the investment in infrastructure which allowed them to redirect oil exports in a very short time.”The Washington-based lender acknowledges the serious blows dealt to the kingdom, this week projecting the Saudi economy will contract 3.3% in 2026 — the worst performance since the Covid-19 pandemic. Arab neighbors Kuwait and Qatar are both expected to see their gross domestic product tumble more than 15%.
自2月底美国和以色列对伊朗发动攻击以来，伊朗及其代理人多次袭击沙特的关键能源设施，并封锁了沙特通过霍尔木兹海峡的海上运输通道。就在两周前，也门的胡塞武装又发动了新的袭击，导致多人死亡、大量航班停飞——而此时利雅得即将举办全球投资者的盛会。
Since the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February, the Islamic Republic and its proxies have targeted some of Saudi Arabia’s major energy sites and blocked its main shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz. That was before new strikes by Yemen’s Houthis killed more than a dozen people and grounded many flights — all less than two weeks before Riyadh is due to host its flagship gathering of global investors.
作为全球最大的石油出口国，沙特阿拉伯仍能够将石油产品顺利销往市场；由于战争导致全球油价上涨，沙特的财政收入还有可能增加。沙特当局通过利用通往红海沿岸的石油管道，迅速调整了石油运输路线，从而稳定了市场秩序。
The world’s largest oil exporter is still getting its product to markets and Saudi Arabia will potentially garner more revenue due to higher global prices as a result of the war. By using the East-West Pipeline to the Red Sea coast, authorities swiftly redirected shipments, helping stabilize the market.
“沙特阿拉伯建立了一套有效的韧性机制，在这次重大危机中发挥了重要作用，”阿祖尔（Jihad Azour）表示。IMF预测沙特阿拉伯2027年的国内生产总值增长率将达到7.9%。
They “developed a framework of resilience that worked well during one of the most important shocks,” Azour said. The IMF forecasts GDP growth at 7.9% in 2027.
阿祖尔表示，沙特港口也帮助了在危机期间面临物流困难的其他海湾合作委员会成员，这是该地区应当培育的合作典范。
Saudi ports have also benefited other members of the Gulf Cooperation Council struggling with logistics during the crisis, an example of collaboration the region should nurture, according to Azour.
“海湾合作委员会有机会提升互联互通水平，”他说。“我们建议加速一体化进程，深化其金融市场，同时发展若干联合基础设施项目。”
“There is an opportunity for the GCC to increase the level of connectivity,” he said. “We recommend the acceleration of integration, deepening their financial markets and also developing a certain number of joint infrastructure projects.”