
G20财政部长和央行行长正在泰国曼谷于周四聚会,全球前景因美以对伊朗的战争而充满不确定性。
The G20 finance ministers and central bank governors are gathering in Bangkok, Thailand, on Thursday amid an uncertain global outlook shaped by the US-Israel war on Iran.
这些会议与国际货币基金组织(IMF)和世界银行的年度会议同步举行,时间为10月12日至10月18日,地点在泰国首都曼谷。以下是关于这些会议的一些关键信息:什么是G20、IMF和世界银行?
The meetings are being held in conjunction with the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, taking place in the Thai capital from October 12 to October 18. Here are some of the key details about the meetings: What are the G20, the IMF and the World Bank?
G20是一个由19个主要经济体组成的经济论坛,包括美国、中国、英国、澳大利亚、巴西、印度、日本、印度尼西亚和沙特阿拉伯,以及欧盟和非盟。该组织实行年度轮值主席国制,目前由美国担任。
The G20 is an economic forum comprising 19 large economies, including the United States, China, the United Kingdom, Australia, Brazil, India, Japan, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia, as well as the European Union and the African Union. The grouping has an annually rotating presidency, currently held by the US.
G20成员国共计占全球国内生产总值(GDP)的约85%,以及全球贸易的四分之三。
Together, the G20 countries account for about 85 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) and three-quarters of global trade.
G20成立于1999年,最初是财政部长和央行行长的论坛,旨在应对亚洲金融危机后共同面临的经济挑战,随后扩大为国家领导人的更广泛论坛。
The G20 was established in 1999 as a forum for finance ministers and central bank governors to address shared economic concerns in the wake of the Asian Financial Crisis, before expanding into a broader forum for national leaders.
IMF总部位于华盛顿特区,是一个促进货币政策、贸易和经济增长方面国际合作的国际金融机构。
The IMF, based in Washington, DC, is an international financial institution that promotes international cooperation on monetary policy, trade and economic growth.
其成员包括世界上除少数国家外的几乎所有主权国家,如朝鲜、古巴、梵蒂冈城和摩纳哥。
Its membership includes all but a handful of the world’s sovereign states, including North Korea, Cuba, the Vatican City and Monaco.
世界银行同样总部位于华盛顿特区,主要职能是向发展中国家提供贷款和赠款。它拥有189个成员国。
The World Bank, also based in Washington, DC, primarily serves as a provider of loans and grants to developing countries. It has 189 member countries.
IMF和世界银行均成立于1944年的布雷顿森林会议,由盟国召集,旨在塑造二战后国际金融秩序的框架。谁将参加这些会议?
The IMF and the World Bank were created at the 1944 Bretton Woods conference in the US, convened by the Allied Powers to establish the contours of the post-World War II international financial order. Who will be attending the meetings?
二十国集团多数成员国的财政部长和央行行长将齐聚曼谷,国际货币基金组织总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃和世界银行集团行长阿贾伊·班加也将出席。
Most finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 will be in Bangkok, along with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva and World Bank Group President Ajay Banga.
美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特将明显缺席此次系列会议,而他是世界最大经济体的最高经济官员,也是二十国集团主席。
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will be a notable absence from the gatherings, as the top economic official of the world’s biggest economy and G20 chair.
美国官员以“国内事务”为由解释贝森特决定不出席这些活动,华盛顿方面将由副部长弗朗西斯·布鲁克和负责国际事务的副部长埃琳·布朗代表出席。
US officials have cited “domestic engagements” for Bessent’s decision to skip the events, at which Washington will be represented by Deputy Secretary Francis Brooke and Undersecretary for International Affairs Erin Browne.
此次二十国集团会议是该集团每年举行的数次财长会议之一,将为12月14日至15日在佛罗里达州迈阿密举行的领导人峰会确定议程。议程上有哪些内容?美国-以色列对伊朗战争带来的经济冲击预计将主导讨论。
The G20 meeting, one of several gatherings of the group’s finance ministers each year, will help shape the agenda for the headline leaders’ summit in Miami, Florida, taking place on December 14-15. What is on the agenda? The economic fallout from the US-Israel war on Iran is expected to dominate discussions.
中东各地的袭击扰乱了整个地区的经济活动,而霍尔木兹海峡航运中断则推动全球能源价格飙升。
Attacks across the Middle East have upended economic activity across the region, while disruption to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz has driven a surge in energy prices worldwide.
过去八个月的大部分时间里,原油价格一直超过每桶100美元,给政府财政和家庭预算带来压力,尤其是在海湾地区和亚洲其他地区。
Crude oil prices have exceeded $100 a barrel for much of the past eight months, placing a strain on government coffers and household budgets, particularly in the Gulf region and the rest of Asia.
会议召开前,澳大利亚国库部长、议员吉姆·查默斯表示,他将利用此次讨论呼吁结束中东冲突并重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,“因为这是全球经济迫切需要的”。
In advance of the meeting, Australia’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers MP said he would use the discussions to call for an end to the conflicts in the Middle East and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz “because that’s what the global economy desperately needs”.
查默斯在一份声明中说:“中东战争正在造成毁灭性的经济影响,并推高全球各地的燃料价格、通胀和利率。”
“The war in the Middle East is having a devastating economic impact and is pushing up fuel prices, inflation and interest rates around the world,” Chalmers said in a statement.
其他可能列入议程的问题包括许多国家不断膨胀的债务水平,美国、加拿大、日本、意大利和法国的债务均已超过国内生产总值的100%。
Other issues likely to feature on the agenda include the ballooning debt levels of many countries, which exceed 100 percent of GDP in the US, Canada, Japan, Italy and France.
格奥尔基耶娃在周三的讲话中警告称,不断攀升的债务对全球经济构成威胁,且不存在让各国政府得以避免增税或削减支出的“魔法”公式。
In a speech on Wednesday, Georgieva warned that mounting debt posed a threat to the global economy and that there was no “magic” formula that would allow governments to avoid tax hikes or spending cuts.
二十国集团成员还将根据各自的经济和地缘政治优先事项,提出更具体的个别关切。
G20 members will also bring more specific individual concerns to the table based on their economic and geopolitical priorities.
例如,美国已多次对“全球失衡”表示担忧,这是对中国国家主导型工业模式的含蓄批评,该模式使中国出口商得以向海外市场大量倾销廉价商品。
The US, for example, has repeatedly expressed concern about “global imbalances”, a veiled reference to China’s state-driven industrial model that has allowed Chinese exporters to flood overseas markets with cheap goods.
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普长期以来一直声称,中国庞大的贸易顺差——截至9月累计达9380亿美元——证明国际贸易对美国制造商不利。
US President Donald Trump has long claimed that China’s large trade surplus, which stood at a cumulative $938bn in September, proves that international trade is stacked against US manufacturers.
在周三向国际货币基金组织发表的一份声明中,贝森特呼吁采取行动解决贸易失衡问题。
In a statement addressed to the IMF on Wednesday, Bessent called for action to address mismatched trade balances.
贝森特表示:“这尤其包括加强其对非市场政策和做法以及汇率在驱动外部失衡中所起作用的分析和参与。”
“This especially includes strengthening its analysis and engagement on the role non-market policies and practices and exchange rates play in driving external imbalances,” Bessent said.
“世界各国政策制定者正在进行艰难的讨论,探讨如何在一些经济体扭曲竞争、损害就业的扭曲性政策下维持以市场为基础的制度。”然而,分歧和相互竞争的利益给协调前景蒙上了阴影。
“Policymakers around the world are having difficult discussions about how to sustain market-based systems amid distortionary policies from some economies that skew competition and hurt employment.”Divisions and competing interests cloud the prospects for coordination, however.
在8月31日至9月1日于美国北卡罗来纳州阿什维尔举行的上一次二十国集团财长会议上,由于中国反对与贸易有关的措辞,成员国未能发表联合公报。
At the last meeting of G20 finance ministers in Asheville, North Carolina, US, held on August 31 and September 1, member countries failed to issue a joint communique after China objected to language to do with trade.