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国会山报

特朗普的“全面轰炸”策略淹没各州中期选举信息Trump’s flood-the-zone strategy drowns state-specific midterm messaging

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特朗普总统President Trump

特朗普总统正通过推出一系列旨在赢得摇摆州选民好感的关键举措,来提振面临艰难选举的共和党候选人,但他因关注无关议题而可能掩盖这些公告的风险。特朗普周二在阿拉斯加为现任共和党参议员丹·沙利文的竞选活动中宣传了一项韩国液化天然气投资。总统还因在集会上赦免两名柴油机修工——他们均认罪违反《清洁空气法》——而登上新闻头条。

President Trump is seeking to boost Republican candidates facing tough elections by rolling out a number of key initiatives meant to foster goodwill with voters in battleground states, but he risks overshadowing these announcements with his focus on unrelated issues. Trump touted a South Korean liquified natural gas investment Tuesday during a campaign stop in Alaska for incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan. The president also made headlines when he pardoned two diesel mechanics — who both pleaded guilty to violating the Clean Air Act — on stage during the rally.

然而,在同一场活动中,特朗普攻击了得州参议院民主党候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科,原因是该州代表最近离开竞选路线,相距3000英里。周一,特朗普在杨斯敦为俄亥俄州共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特(R-Ohio)和俄亥俄州共和党州长候选人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米举行集会,期间他宣布其政府已选定克利夫兰作为海军潜艇部件维修中心的所在地。

However, during the same event, Trump attacked Texas Senate Democratic nominee James Talarico over the state representative's recent absence from the campaign trail 3,000 miles away. On Monday, Trump rallied for Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio) and Ohio Republican gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy in Youngstown, where he announced that his administration selected Cleveland to house a Navy submarine component repair center.

但特朗普在集会上大部分时间都在抨击俄亥俄州民主党人在移民问题上的立场,并暗指2024年关于该州海地社区的过去无根据说法。总统还利用俄亥俄州的集会抨击了密歇根州参议院民主党候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛德。特朗普无关且有时令人眉头紧锁的言论有可能掩盖旨在提振共和党的州经济倡议,因为经济仍是该党在中期选举前夕面临的问题。

But Trump spent much of the rally hammering Ohio Democrats on immigration and alluding to past, unfounded claims about the state’s Haitian community in 2024. The president also used the Ohio rally to lash out at Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Trump’s unrelated, sometimes eyebrow-raising remarks risk drowning out state economic initiatives meant to boost Republicans as the economy remains an issue for the party ahead of the midterms.

总统在周三亚利桑那州的集会上引起新闻关注,告诉与会者他认为“泄密者应该被枪杀”,并且他最初曾询问卡塔尔酋长是否可以借用一架喷气式飞机临时作为空军一号使用,而在酋长将其赠予美国之前。随着距离中期选举不到一个月,共和党人已经在围绕似乎在恶化的经济指标传递信息方面遇到困难,这种动态正在上演。

The president made news at a rally in Arizona on Wednesday, telling rallygoers he believes “leakers should be shot” and that he originally asked the emir of Qatar if he could borrow a jet to be temporarily used as Air Force One before the emir gifted it to the U.S. The dynamic is playing out as Republicans are already struggling to message around what seem to be worsening economic indicators less than a month out from the midterms.

劳工统计局周三发布的数据显示,9月份消费者物价指数上涨0.6%,较2025年9月份上涨3.7%。上个月的就业报告低于预期,9月份仅新增2.9万个岗位。“有时候很难与头条新闻作对,而如今今日的最新头条是‘通胀甚至高于预期’,”一位共和党策略师说。“因此你正面临逆风,你正面临艰难的政治环境,你正面临人们已经感受到的情况。”

Data released Wednesday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the consumer price index rose 0.6 percent in September and was up 3.7 percent relative to September 2025. And last month's jobs report was lower than expected, with only 29,000 jobs added in September. “It’s hard to fight the headlines sometimes, and right now the latest headlines today are ‘inflation climbed even higher than anticipated.’ And so you’re fighting headwinds, you’re fighting a tough political environment, you’re fighting what people already feel,” said one Republican strategist.

该策略师补充道:“与此同时,他的信息实际上并未真正聚焦于这些问题。在我看来,他以老派的方式列出了一系列抱怨,认为这些能激发基础支持者的热情。”该策略师进一步指出,特朗普及其党内盟友对经济问题并未向MAGA基础和共和党选民提供安抚。总统偏离信息的策略并非新鲜事,且对他及其共和党盟友动员基础支持者效果甚佳。

“At the same time, his message isn’t really focused on any of that. It’s a listing of grievances and things I think in an old-school way he felt motivated the base,” the strategist added, arguing that the MAGA base and Republican voters are not getting reassurances from Trump and party leaders on the economy. The president's strategy of going off message is nothing new and has worked well for him and his Republican allies to galvanize the base.

“特朗普从不坚持一致的信息,通常会传递多个相互冲突的信息,”共和党策略师罗恩·博让说。“最终你得到的就是特朗普满天飞。”他继续说道。全国各州的选民最近一直在接触大量总统的信息,这是他中期冲刺的一部分。仅此一周,总统就在俄亥俄州、阿拉斯加州、亚利桑那州和蒙大拿州举行了他标志性的竞选集会。

“Trump never stays on a consistent message and usually has multiple messages that he delivers that get in the way of each other,” said Ron Bonjean, a Republican strategist. “In the end what you get is a whole lot of Trump,” he continued. Voters in states across the country have gotten a whole lot of the president recently as part of his midterm blitz. Just this week alone, the president has held his signature campaign rallies in Ohio, Alaska, Arizona and Montana.

“这些活动有助于尝试激发基础支持者中一直缺乏的热情,”博让说。“让总统到场、保持专注,并展示他仍然关心共和党人出门投票,这很有帮助。”“如今,让共和党人前往投票站是一项真正的紧迫任务,”他补充道。然而,博让指出,共和党历来在疏远独立选民和摇摆选民方面面临挑战,而经济公告可能在这方面派上用场。

“They’re helpful to try to generate enthusiasm that has been lacking among the base,” Bonjean said. “Getting the president there and focused and show that he still cares about Republicans showing up to vote is helpful.”“Right now, getting Republicans to the polls is a real urgency,” he added. However, Bonjean noted Republicans have historically struggled with the risk of turning off independent and swing voters, which is where the economic announcements could come in handy.

“由于汽油价格高企,共和党人正在为可负担性问题进行辩护,他在这些州宣布的项目上只传递单一信息,与其试图制造下一波全国性头条新闻,他更应专注于此,”博恩让说。除了本周在俄亥俄州和阿拉斯加的宣布之外,上周特朗普在与内布拉斯加州参议员皮特·里克茨(共和党)的集会上签署了一项行政命令,推广红色染料柴油,因为燃油价格正在对农业部门造成破坏。

“Because of the high gasoline prices and the questions on affordability that Republicans are playing defense on, having these single messages on projects that he’s announcing in states, he would be better focused on that as opposed to trying to make the next wave of national headlines,” Bonjean said. On top of this week's announcements in Ohio and Alaska, last week Trump signed an executive order promoting red dye diesel at a rally with Nebraska Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) as fuel prices wreak havoc on the agriculture sector.

上个月,总统在椭圆形办公室宣布了一项位于爱荷华州的150亿美元钢铁厂项目。正在竞选连任的爱荷华州共和党众议员玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯和正在竞选参议员的爱荷华州共和党众议员阿什利·欣森均出席了该宣布。“总统的经济政策创造了数千个就业岗位,并为美国各地社区带来了万亿美元的新投资,”共和党全国委员会全国新闻秘书娜塔莉·巴尔达萨雷说。

And last month, the president announced in the Oval Office a $15 billion steel plant project for Iowa. GOP Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (Iowa), who is running for reelection, and Ashley Hinson (Iowa), who is running for Senate, were both present for the announcement. "The president's economic policies have created thousands of jobs and brought trillions in new investment to communities across America,” said Natalie Baldassarre, national press secretary at the Republican National Committee.

“无论是爱荷华州的钢铁厂,还是阿拉斯加的LNG(液化天然气)管道,总统的政策都在让人们口袋里有更多钱,并带来将远超中期选举的实际成果,”她继续说道。阿拉斯加共和党策略师阿特·哈克尼正在支持苏利文,他表示,特朗普的信息传递是否有助于或损害竞选之旅,最终在阿拉斯加并不重要。“这真的不是这里的重点,”哈克尼说。

“Whether it's a steel plant in Iowa or an LNG [liquefied natural gas] pipeline in Alaska, the president's policies are putting more money in people's pockets and delivering real results that will last long beyond the midterms,” she continued. Art Hackney, an Alaska-based Republican strategist who is supporting Sullivan, said whether Trump’s messaging helps or hurts on the campaign trail does not ultimately matter in Alaska. “That’s really not the point up here,” Hackney said.

“阿拉斯加是一个资源州,”他继续说道,并称特朗普在椭圆形办公室就管道问题的宣布“具有戏剧性的历史意义”。在周三于亚利桑那州集结支持者之后,特朗普前往蒙大拿州,举行其西部竞选之旅的第三场集会。当被《国会山报》采访时被问及他对特朗普在集会上的信息传递有何看法时,蒙大拿州民主党国会候选人萨姆·福斯特格表示,他正专注于经济问题。

“Alaska is a resource state,” he continued, calling Trump’s Oval Office announcement on the pipeline “dramatically historical.”After rallying supporters Wednesday in Arizona, Trump traveled to Montana to hold the third rally in his western campaign swing. When asked in an interview with The Hill what he thinks about Trump’s messaging at rallies, Montana Democratic congressional candidate Sam Forstag said he was focused on economic issues.

“在这次访问之前,我还没有太多时间观看他的其他集会。这里一直很忙碌,”福斯特格在访问前说。“我处理这件事的方式是,我正在和现场的人交谈,”他继续说道,并补充说,“人们正深受其苦。”

“I haven’t had much time to watch his other rallies. It’s been pretty busy out here,” Forstag said ahead of the visit. “The way I’m approaching it is, I’m talking to people on the ground," he continued, adding, “People are hurting deeply.”