根据一项最新的民调，距离中期选举不到三周之际，民主党在通用投票中领先共和党3个百分点。这一差距仅略高于误差范围。
Democrats are leading by 3 points on the generic ballot against Republicans with the midterms less than three weeks out, according to a new poll. That’s just outside the margin of error.
周四发布的AARP民调显示，49%的受访者支持民主党，46%支持共和党，另有5%的受访者不确定自己的政党选择。
The AARP poll, released Thursday, found 49 percent of respondents backing Democrats and 46 backing Republicans, while 5 percent were unsure about their choice of party.
民主党在AARP民调中的微弱领先，正值共和党面临复杂政治环境之际。
The slight lead for Democrats in the AARP poll comes amid rocky political territory for the GOP. The party is facing down issues like the unpopular war in Iran, Trump’s slumping approval rating and concerns about the cost of living.
该党正应对诸如伊朗战争不受欢迎、特朗普支持率下滑以及生活成本担忧等问题。
The poll surveyed 1,368 likely voters within congressional districts that the nonpartisan election handicapper labeled as toss-ups or leaning Republican or Democrat at the time, from Oct. 1-5. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.
此次民调于10月1日至5日对1368名可能投票的选民进行了调查，这些选民来自非党派选举分析机构当时认定为势均力敌或倾向共和党或民主党的国会选区。抽样误差为±2.7个百分点。在AARP民调中，特朗普的支持率为42%，反对率为56%。
In the AARP poll, Trump’s approval rating among respondents was 42 percent, with his disapproval at 56 percent.
福克斯新闻预测，民主党将在今年的中期选举中重新夺回众议院，这是该媒体首次预测民主党将在本届选举中赢得国会任一议院。
Fox News has predicted that Democrats will retake the House in this year’s midterms, the first time the outlet has predicted a win of either house of Congress by Democrats in this election cycle.
福克斯新闻评论员Rémy Numa在周二发布的最新权力排名讨论中表示：“结合民主党候选人质量的提升，以及共和党主导的选区重划可能未能达到预期，今年众议院很可能已超出共和党的掌控范围。”
“Combined with Democrats’ candidate quality improvements and a Republican-led redistricting effort that could fall short of expectations, the House is likely out of reach for the GOP this year,” Fox News contributor Rémy Numa said while discussing his latest power rankings, released Tuesday.