随着关键的中期选举临近，盖洛普的一项新民意调查显示，现在认为民主党的美国人比2009年以来的任何时候都多。
As the crucial midterm elections approach, a new Gallup poll revealed that more Americans now identify as Democrats than at any point since 2009.
季度民意调查显示，50%的受访者表示自己是民主党人或“更倾向”民主党，而39%的人表示共和党也有同样的看法--这是自2009年第一季度以来民主党的最高差距。
The quarterly poll showed that 50% of those polled said they are Democrats or “lean more” toward the Democratic Party, while 39% said the same about the Republican Party — the highest margin for the Democrats since the first quarter of 2009.
盖洛普的这项民意调查基于电话采访，对“居住在美国所有50个州和哥伦比亚特区的3，000名18岁及以上的成年人”进行了“随机样本”。盖洛普报告称，在95%的置信水平下，抽样误差幅度为±2个百分点。
Gallup based the poll on telephone interviews with “random samples” of “3,000 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.”The margin of sampling error was ±2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, Gallup reported.
这对共和党人来说可能是个坏消息，他们迫切希望在美国人11月前往投票站时保持对国会的控制。唐纳德·特朗普总统甚至承诺，如果共和党取得胜利，将向每个成年人提供5，000美元。但民意调查专家内特·西尔弗证实，这不太可能。
That could be bad news for Republicans, who are desperate to keep control of Congress when Americans head to the polls in November. President Donald Trump has even promised $5,000 to every adult if the GOP pulls out a victory. But polling guru Nate Silver confirmed that’s not very likely.
西尔弗在最近的一次播客中表示：“这是我试图预测的更一致的选举之一，从这个意义上说，每一个指标都对共和党不利。”“也许除了外部资金之外，这是他们唯一能做的事情。”事实上，根据NBC新闻关于民意调查平均值的报告，共和党没有表现出接近民主党9个百分点的优势的迹象--这是该党“迄今为止在国会竞选中最大的领先优势”。
“This is one of the more consistent elections that I’ve tried to forecast, in that sense that like, every indicator is bad for Republicans,” Silver said on a recent podcast. “Except maybe the outside money, that is the one thing they have going for them.”In fact, Republicans showed no signs of closing in on the Democrats’ 9-percentage-point advantage — the party’s “largest lead yet in the race for Congress,” according to NBC News’s report on polling averages.
报告称：“在调整可能的选民规模后，国会平均水平为52%至43%，衡量美国人在个别种族和候选人等因素发挥作用之前是更喜欢民主党还是共和党控制的国会。”该媒体解释了为什么检查民意调查平均值可以更准确地了解情况：个人民意调查可能会出现波动，但平均值可以广泛地了解调查的趋势，并且可以控制异常值，这也是NBC新闻现在发布平均值的原因之一。
“The congressional average, which stands at 52% to 43% after adjusting to a likely voter scale, measures whether Americans prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats or Republicans before things like individual races and candidates come into play,” the report said. The outlet explained why examining polling averages gives a more accurate picture of the situation: Individual polls can bounce around, but an average gives a broad sense of where surveys are trending, and it controls for outliers, which is one reason NBC News released our averages now.
在一系列民意调查公布之际，例如在选举周期的最后阶段，平均值可以成为跟踪选举中发生的事情并深入了解共和党人、民主党人和独立人士如何看待特朗普和国会之争的宝贵工具。
At a time when a flurry of polling is released, such as in the homestretch of an election cycle, averages can be valuable tools for tracking what’s happening in the election and diving deeper into how Republicans, Democrats and independents view Trump and the battle for Congress.
自从七名国会候选人得到美国民主社会主义者的支持以来，共和党人一直试图将中期选举视为一场反对社会主义和共产主义的斗争。其他候选人，例如正在竞选密歇根州参议员的进步派阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德（D），并不认为自己是民主社会主义者，但被共和党人描绘成民主社会主义者。
Republicans have been trying to frame the midterms as a battle against socialism and communism, since seven congressional candidates are backed by the Democratic Socialists of America. Other candidates, like progressive Abdul El-Sayed (D), who’s running for Senate in Michigan, do not identify as democratic socialists but have been painted as such by Republicans.
尽管对共和党的预测很可怕，但特朗普上周在俄亥俄州的一次集会上预测，“他们将迎来一个大惊喜。这很简单：你必须出去投票。你必须出去。你必须投票给这些人，”特朗普敦促道。“如果你这样做，我们就会赢，而且会大获全胜。”“我们要把它塞进他们的A里，好吗？”特朗普补充道。
Despite the dire predictions for the GOP, Trump predicted at an Ohio rally last week, “They’re in for a big surprise. It’s very simple: You gotta get out and vote. You gotta get out. You gotta vote for these guys,” Trump urged. “If you do that, we’re gonna win and we’re gonna win big.”“And we’re gonna shove it up their a, okay?”
新的：
Trump added.