澳元触及自7月初以来的最低水平，因国内劳动力数据促使交易员下调对澳大利亚储备银行加息的预期，其跌势进一步延伸。
The Australian dollar touched the lowest level since early July, extending its decline after domestic labor data pushed traders to scale back expectations of interest rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia.
周四，澳元一度下跌1.1%，触及0.6894美元，在十国集团货币中对美元表现落后于所有同业。澳大利亚上月失业率上升和岗位减少表明劳动力市场出现放缓迹象，限制了央行再次加息的可能性。
The currency dropped as much as 1.1% to touch $0.6894 on Thursday, lagging behind all peers in the Group of 10 against the greenback. Australia’s higher unemployment and job losses last month showed signs of softer labor market, limiting the chances of another rate increase from the central bank.
“失业率的意外上升一直是澳元的明显拖累，增加了澳大利亚储备银行已经加息足够且正在放缓经济的风险，”德意志银行美洲地区外汇研究主管Tim Baker表示。“人工智能相关资产的抛售也起不到帮助作用，”他补充道，因为澳元对风险偏好敏感。
“The surprise rise in unemployment has been a clear drag on the Australian dollar, raising the risk that the RBA has hiked enough and is slowing the economy,” said Tim Baker, head of foreign-exchange research for the Americas at Deutsche Bank. “The artificial-intelligence selloff hasn’t helped either” as the currency is sensitive to risk appetite, he added.
随着人工智能交易的下跌速度加快，投资者转向债券寻求避险，股票也出现下滑。截至目前，澳元在对美元的十国集团货币中表现一直是其中的佼佼者，这得益于澳大利亚储备银行激进的加息周期。政策制定者在9月份上调利率，使得今年的累计加息幅度达到一个百分点。
Stocks have been sliding as a decline in the AI trade gathered speed and pushed investors to seek safety in bonds. So far this year, the Aussie has been one of the best performers in the Group of 10 against its US counterpart, buoyed by the RBA’s aggressive rate hiking cycle. Policymakers raised rates in September, bringing this year’s increase to one percentage point.
根据10月15日的一份备忘录，野村证券策略师Dominic Bunning和Yusuke Miyairi因澳元兑英镑在过去24小时内触及止损水平，而终止了看涨澳元的交易建议。他们指出，英国经济扩张更为强劲，而澳大利亚劳动力市场数据疲弱，是他们放弃该观点的原因，该观点是在今年9月初形成的。
Nomura strategists Dominic Bunning and Yusuke Miyairi ended a trade recommendation betting in favor of the Australian dollar against the British as the pair reached its stop-loss level during the past 24 hours, according to a Oct. 15 note. They cited stronger economic expansion in the UK and weak labor market data in Australia as reasons for exiting their view, which they started in early September.
过去三周，对冲基金一直在削减对澳元的看涨头寸，但自12月以来，他们仍然持有对该货币的积极看法。
Hedge funds have been curtailing their bullish views on the Aussie for the past three weeks, while still remaining positive on the currency since December.
“目前这一数据证实了11月维持利率不变的预期，”加拿大帝国商业银行（CIBC）策略师马克西米利安·林（Maximillian Lin）表示，指的是下次澳大利亚储备银行（RBA）政策会议。“我们仍认为12月加息是可能的，”他补充道，因为就业数据“众所周知具有波动性”。
“For now this data affirms a November hold,” said Maximillian Lin, a strategist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, referring to the next RBA policy meeting. “We still think a December hike is possible” as jobs data is “notoriously volatile,” he added.