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日本核心通胀可能自12月以来首次超过央行目标Japan core inflation likely exceeded BOJ target for first time since December

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2023年3月24日,日本东京,一名女子在一家商店里查看商品。路透社/Androniki Christodoulou/资料照片A woman looks at items at a shop in Tokyo, Japan, March 24, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou/ File Photo

日本9月核心消费者通胀率可能超过央行2%的目标,原因是中东冲突推高能源价格,这一影响传导至家庭,路透社周五的一项民调显示。

全国核心消费者价格指数(CPI),该指数包含能源项目但剔除鲜食价格,预计9月较去年同期上涨2.1%,这是根据对15位经济学家的民调得出的结论。这将较8月的1.7%加速,并使核心通胀自12月以来首次超过日本央行2%的目标。

Japan's core consumer inflation in September likely exceeded the central bank's 2% target as higher energy prices driven by the Middle East conflict fed through to households, a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

“随着伊朗局势出现恶化,除大米以外的食品以及日用品的增长预计将加速,”瑞穗证券市场经济学家片桐亮介说道。

周二发布的另一份数据显示,日本9月批发通胀年率上涨6.8%,虽然较前一个月有所放缓,但凸显了持续的价格压力,这些压力继续推动市场对日本央行近期加息的预期。

The nationwide core consumer price index (CPI), which includes energy items but excludes fresh food prices, is expected to have risen 2.1% in September from a year earlier, according to a poll of 15 economists That would mark an acceleration from 1.7% in August and put core inflation above the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time since December "Amid the emerging deterioration of the situation in Iran, growth is expected to accelerate for food items excluding rice as well as daily necessities," said Ryosuke Katagi, a market economist at Mizuho Securities Separate data released on Tuesday showed Japan's wholesale inflation rose 6.8% year-on-year in September, slowing from the previous month but underscoring persistent price pressures that continue to fuel market expectations of a near-term BOJ rate hike The BOJ may signal this month that underlying inflation has roughly hit its 2% target, highlighting its readiness to raise interest rates again in the coming months.

日本央行可能在本月表明,潜在通胀已经大约达到其2%的目标,这凸显了其在未来几个月再次加息的准备。但央行内部许多人对在10月29日至30日的政策会议上再次加持持谨慎态度。

内务省将于10月23日星期五上午8:30发布CPI数据(格林尼治时间10月22日23:30)。

But many in the central bank are wary of hiking again at its October 29-30 policy meeting The internal affairs ministry will release CPI data at 8:30 a.m. on Friday, October 23 (2330 GMT on October 22)