
航运情报及相关安全领域人士透露,尽管面临美国的海上封锁,自7月起伊朗仍成功出口了部分液化石油气与航空燃油。
Iran has managed to export some liquefied petroleum gas and jet fuel since July, despite a US naval blockade, shipping intelligence showed and people involved in security said.
据四位长期监测海湾地区石油运输情况的海事安全专家向路透社透露,近几周来,德黑兰一直在阿曼附近海域,借助其他海湾产油国日益频繁的船对船转运活动来掩盖自身的石油出口行为。
Tehran has in recent weeks been concealing such cargoes among a growing volume of ship-to-ship transfers by other Gulf producers off Oman, four people in maritime security who track Gulf oil movements told Reuters.
此次报道首次披露了伊朗的石油出口情况及其运作方式。虽然这些出口量仅相当于伊朗以往能源出口规模的一小部分,但它们却是极为罕见的例证,证明在伊朗原油出口已全面受阻的情况下,其石油产品仍能突破封锁线。
The Iranian exports and methodology are reported for the first time here. While a fraction of its former energy exports, the cargoes are rare evidence of petroleum products getting through a blockade that has halted Iran's crude exports.
美国反核伊朗联盟(UANI)是一家致力于追踪伊朗相关油轮动向的倡导组织,该组织利用船舶定位及卫星监测技术进行分析后指出:自7月中旬以来,至少有8艘装载伊朗液化石油气的油轮离开了阿曼湾。
Analysis by US advocacy group United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), which monitors Iran-related tanker traffic using ship and satellite tracking, shows at least eight gas tankers carrying Iranian LPG have left the Gulf of Oman since mid-July.
此外,海事情报机构SynMax提供的卫星图像及分析结果显示:9月份,另一艘装载伊朗航空燃油的油轮顺利抵达缅甸。
Another tanker carrying Iranian jet fuel reached Myanmar in September, additional satellite imagery and analysis by maritime intelligence group SynMax show.
2023年,美国以缅甸军方对平民实施空袭为由,对缅甸的航空燃油产业实施了定向制裁。据联合国统计,此类空袭已导致数千名平民丧生。缅甸军政府则多次否认其空袭目标为平民,坚称相关军事行动仅针对武装组织。
The US imposed targeted sanctions in 2023 on Myanmar's jet-fuel industry, citing military airstrikes on civilians that the United Nations says have killed thousands of people. Myanmar's military government has repeatedly denied targeting civilians, saying its operations are directed against armed groups.
路透社对相关船舶及美国财政部的制裁名单进行比对后发现:上述8艘液化石油气运输船中,有6艘以及那艘运载航空燃油的油轮均因运输伊朗石油及石化产品而遭到美国制裁。
Six of the eight gas tankers and the jet fuel tanker are under US sanctions for transporting Iranian petroleum and petrochemical products, a Reuters analysis of the vessels and sanctions imposed on ships by the US Treasury showed.
“目前我们仅观察到少量运载伊朗液化石油气的油轮成功通过封锁线,绝大多数装载伊朗石油产品的船只均被美军拦截或迫使其改变航向,”UANI的高级研究分析师杰米玛·谢利说道。
"What we have seen passing is a handful of tankers carrying Iranian LPG, but the overwhelming majority of tankers laden with Iranian products have been redirected by US forces," said Jemima Shelley, senior research analyst with UANI.
谢利称,一些伊朗液化石油气运输船在阿曼沿海的希纳斯和苏哈尔镇附近转运货物,另一些船只则先在阿曼湾等候,随后才试图突破美国设置的封锁线。据美国中央司令部介绍,该封锁线位于阿曼湾内、伊朗与巴基斯坦边境附近。据谢利透露,这些液化石油气货物的总量估计达410万桶。
Shelley said some Iranian LPG tankers transferred cargoes near the Omani coastal towns of Shinas and Sohar, while others waited in the Gulf of Oman before heading past the US blockade, which US Central Command has said sits across the Gulf of Oman near the Iran-Pakistan border. The total amount of these LPG cargoes was estimated at 4.1 million barrels, Shelley said.
谢利指出,这些运输行动更多是出于“投机目的”,并不能说明伊朗正试图借助小型船只来出口石油及石化产品这一新趋势。
Shelley said the shipments were driven "more by opportunism" than showing a new trend of Iran trying to export its oil and petrochemicals by using smaller ships.
根据UANI的分析,谢利称大部分货物最终被运往马来西亚东部外海,在那里进行进一步的船对船转运,目的地很可能是中国。
Most of the cargoes sailed to Malaysia's Eastern Outer Port Limits to conduct further STS transfers for likely destinations in China, Shelley said, based on UANI's analysis.
伊朗政府尚未对置评请求作出回应。缅甸军方支持的政府也未就该国是否接收了伊朗提供的航空燃油一事予以答复。
The Iranian government did not respond to a request for comment. Myanmar's military-backed government did not respond to a request for comment on whether the country had received Iranian jet fuel.
美国中央司令部称,自4月13日起对与伊朗相关的石油出口实施的海上封锁措施“坚不可摧”。该封锁措施在6月份因美伊达成初步谅解而暂时解除,但在协议破裂后于7月14日重新实施。
The US military's Centcom said its naval blockade, which was first imposed on Iran-related oil exports on April 13, is "ironclad". The blockade was lifted in June after the US reached a draft understanding with Iran, but it was reimposed on July 14 following the collapse of the agreement.
一位美国军方官员向路透社表示,船只能够通过封锁线并不意味着其成功规避了封锁。该官员补充说,每艘船只都会经过单独评估,包括对其相关文件进行审查;出于人道主义考虑,部分船只也可能获准通行。
A US military official told Reuters that the passage of a vessel does not necessarily mean it had evaded the blockade. Every ship was assessed individually, including through a review of its papers, and some vessels could be allowed through for humanitarian reasons, the official added.
该官员还指出,船只是否出现在美国制裁名单上并非决定其是否受封锁限制的唯一因素,出于行动需要,美军也会密切监视某些船只但并不采取行动。
The official said the appearance of a vessel on US sanctions lists is not the only factor to make it subject to the blockade, adding that US forces are also closely monitoring some ships without taking action against them for operational reasons.
美国中央司令部在10月13日发布的最新通报中称,在最近一次封锁实施的三个月里,美军已迫使4艘商船失去行动能力,另有135艘船只被命令掉头返航。
Centcom said in an update on October 13 that during the three months of the latest blockade, four commercial vessels had been disabled and 135 ships had been turned around by US forces.
美国军方曾调转来自亚洲的船只,并扣押了一些油轮,这是美国中央司令部此前的声明所提到的。
The US military has turned around ships from Asia and also seized some tankers, previous Centcom statements said.
华盛顿将其封锁与一项制裁行动结合起来,旨在切断伊朗剩余的金融联系并剥夺其收入。上周,它对17艘涉及运输伊朗原油、石化产品和石油产品的船只实施了新的制裁。
Washington has coupled its blockade with a sanctions campaign aimed at severing Iran's remaining financial links and depriving it of revenue. Last week, it imposed fresh sanctions on 17 vessels involved in transporting Iranian crude, petrochemicals and petroleum products.
美国财政部发言人对暗示船只规避封锁的航运数据提出质疑,称船只可能伪造其位置或在装载时使用虚假身份。该发言人表示,此类数据“应持保留态度”。
A US Treasury spokesperson questioned shipping data suggesting vessels had evaded the blockade, saying ships could spoof their locations or use false identities when loading. Such data "should be taken with a grain of salt", the spokesperson said.
财政部发言人称,“经济逃兵”行动与封锁相结合,正“使伊朗政权窒息”。
The Treasury spokesperson said Operation Economic Outcast, together with the blockade, was "suffocating the Iranian regime".
风险情报公司Verisk Maplecroft的中东首席分析师托比约恩·索尔特维特表示,尽管目前没有迹象表明华盛顿将缓解其封锁,但伊朗的经济状况恶化可能会促使德黑兰采取更大的风险。
Torbjorn Soltvedt, principal Middle East analyst at risk intelligence company Verisk Maplecroft, said although there was no sign of Washington easing its blockade, worsening economic conditions in Iran could push Tehran to take greater risks.
他补充道:“如果伊朗能够让产品油轮通过,即使数量很少,喷气燃料可能是一个不错的选择。伊朗的航空业正日益受到美国制裁的压力,越来越多的飞机被迫停飞,且伊朗炼油厂可能出现喷气燃料的过剩。”
"If Iran can move product tankers through, even in small numbers, jet fuel may be a good option. Iran's aviation industry is under increasing pressure from US sanctions, with a growing number of planes grounded, and a potential surplus of jet fuel at Iranian refineries," Soltvedt added.
据Kpler数据,伊朗原油出口在9月降至零,这是该分析公司自2013年开始追踪该生产商以来,首次出现没有装运的一个月。
Iranian crude exports fell to zero in September, according to Kpler, the first month without a shipment since the analytics firm began tracking the producer in 2013.
美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特表示,封锁阻止了中国对伊朗原油的大部分采购,并使伊朗无法向客户交付原油。
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said the blockade prevented most Chinese purchases of Iranian oil and left Iran unable to deliver crude to customers.