
根据彭博社的一项调查,瑞典央行可能会在明年第一季度末之前将借贷成本上调两次,每次幅度为四分之一个百分点,这比此前预期的要快。
Sweden’s central bank will probably have made two quarter-point increases to borrowing costs by the end of the first quarter next year, sooner than previously expected, according to a Bloomberg survey.
上周接受调查的经济学家维持了9月份的预测,即瑞典央行将在本季度将政策利率从目前的1.75%上调至2%。但他们将第二次加息至2.25%的预期时间从明年第三季度提前到了2027年1月至3月期间。
Economists polled last week retained their forecast from September that the Riksbank will raise its policy rate to 2% from the current 1.75% during this quarter. But they brought forward the expected timing of a second increase to 2.25% to the January-to-March period of 2027 from the third quarter of next year.
这一新预测仍落后于市场定价,隔夜掉期显示交易员预计到3月份的政策会议将收紧78个基点。
The new forecast still lags market pricing with overnight swaps indicating traders see 78 basis points of tightening by the March policy meeting.

最近一次央行会议的会议纪要显示,以埃里克·蒂坚(Erik Thedéen)为首的官员认为,随着经济势头增强,而通过霍尔木兹海峡对欧洲的能源供应依然受限,通胀过高的风险正在增加。
The minutes of the most recent central bank meeting showed officials led by Erik Thedéen saw an increasing risk of too-high inflation as the economy gathers momentum while energy supplies to Europe via the Strait of Hormuz remain restricted.
经济学家还将今年瑞典经济增长预期从2.3%上调至2.6%,同时维持对明年2.2%的预测不变。
Economists also increased their forecasts for Swedish economic growth this year to 2.6% from 2.3% while keeping their 2.2% projection for next year.
另一项调查显示,分析师维持对今年挪威大陆国内生产总值增长1%的预测不变,同时将明年的预测从1.4%上调至1.5%。
A separate survey showed analysts kept their forecast for Norway’s mainland gross domestic product expansion this year at 1% while raising for next year to 1.5% from 1.4%.