德国预计截至2030年的税收总收入将略高于5月份的预测，因为经济表现出的韧性强于预期，尽管政府明年将没有额外的财政空间。
Germany expects total tax revenue through 2030 to be marginally higher than a projection from May as the economy proves more resilient than anticipated, though the government will have no additional fiscal leeway next year.
财政部在一份电子邮件声明中表示，预测显示，今年联邦税收收入将达到3791亿欧元（约合4250亿美元），比5月份发布的上一次预测低约30亿欧元。预计未来四年的累计增幅将达33.9亿欧元。
The projection shows that federal tax income for this year will reach €379.1 billion ($425 billion), or some €3 billion lower than a forecast given in the previous estimate released in May, the Finance Ministry said in an emailed statement. A cumulative increase over the next four years is projected to amount to €3.39 billion.
德国财政部长拉尔斯·克林拜尔在声明中表示，尽管中东战争造成干扰，税收收入预计将保持稳定，使政府处于“稳健”地位。
Revenue is expected to remain stable despite disruptions from the war in the Middle East, leaving the government in a “robust” position, German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil said in a statement.
克林拜尔说：“对于2027年，我们总体上不会获得任何新的财政空间，但也不必填补任何新的缺口。然而，有一点非常清楚：我们必须继续整合联邦预算，以便为未来创造腾挪空间。”稳定的税收收入对弗里德里希·默茨的政府来说是个好消息，该政府在一系列州选举失利后面临压力。但由于德国宪法规定的债务限制在经济增长时对借贷的限制更严，额外资金在财政缓解方面可能作用不大。因此，部分额外收入将被较低的借贷额度所抵消。
“For 2027, we will not gain any new fiscal leeway overall, but we also will not have to close any new gaps,” Klingbeil said. “However, one thing is very clear: We will have to continue consolidating the federal budget in order to create room for maneuver for the future.”The stable revenue is welcome news for Friedrich Merz’s government, which has come under pressure following a string of state election defeats. But extra funds may mean little in terms of fiscal relief since Germany’s constitutionally enshrined debt restrictions limit borrowing more tightly when the economy is growing. As a result, part of the additional revenue will be offset by a lower borrowing allowance.
默茨上周提议削减能源税，辩称额外税收收入可帮助支付该措施费用。克林拜尔反驳称，他欢迎此类减税，但表示需要在别处筹集资金，并辩称默茨提出的融资方案算不过账。
Merz last week proposed cutting energy taxes, arguing that the additional receipts could help pay for the measure. Klingbeil countered that he would welcome such a cut but said it would need to be funded elsewhere, arguing that Merz’s proposed financing did not add up.
政府正步入其任期中最困难的阶段。它已推行多项社会福利改革并提议增税，但在东德州选举失利后，这些计划面临重新审视。
The government is entering the most difficult phase of its term. It’s pushed through several social welfare reforms and proposed tax increases, but those plans are coming under renewed scrutiny following election defeats in eastern Germany.
计划中的节省开支和新税收带来的额外收入已被纳入2027年预算草案，议会必须在11月底前批准。如果梅尔茨领导的基民盟主导的联盟集团与克林拜尔领导的社民党未能达成协议，僵局可能会将政府推向进一步的动荡。
The planned savings and additional revenue from new taxes are included in the draft 2027 budget, which parliament must approve by the end of November. If Merz’s Christian Democratic-led bloc and Klingbeil’s Social Democrats fail to reach an agreement, the standoff risks pushing the government into further turmoil.