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英国悄然转变,为供应链短缺做准备UK makes quiet shift to prepare for supply chain shortages

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英国政府告知家庭应为紧急情况做好准备,并储备三天物资,同时警告称面临天气、网络和敌对威胁。

The UK government told households to be ready for emergencies and keep three days of supplies, as it warns of weather, cyber and hostile threats.

该指南于10月22日悄然发布,国库部国务大臣詹姆斯·默里表示,家庭和政府在韧性建设方面均有责任。

The guidance was quietly launched on Oct 22, with Paymaster General James Murray saying households and government both have a role in resilience.

部长们希望避免抢购囤积,回想起新冠疫情期间的短缺,同时也在为供应链中断以及国防和基础设施方面更大规模的支出抉择做准备。

Ministers want to avoid panic buying, recalling Covid-19 shortages, while also preparing for supply chain disruption and bigger spending choices on defence and infrastructure.

英国政府发布指引,敦促家庭在发生国家紧急情况时“做好准备”,储备必需品并注册政府支持,这标志着官方宣传口径的悄然转变。

AI generated The British government published guidance urging households to “be ready” in the event of a national emergency by stocking up on essentials andg up for government support, signalling a quiet shift in messaging.

新建议要求家庭确保在紧急情况下能够自给自足三天,于10月22日连同安全大臣丹·贾维斯向议会提交的部长书面声明一同,悄悄发布在政府网站上,贾维斯也在社交媒体上发帖宣传该活动。

The fresh advice that households should ensure they could be self-sufficient for three days in case of an emergency was slipped out on a government website on Oct 22, along with a written ministerial statement to Parliament by Security Minister Dan Jarvis, who also posted on social media about the campaign.

英国面临的威胁从恶劣天气、干旱和洪水,到人工智能以及来自俄罗斯和伊朗的敌对活动,这项旨在让英国民众加强防范的活动原本由基尔·斯塔默——安迪·伯纳姆首相的前任——计划于2026年早些时候启动。然而,新领导人因担心这会被视为其就任伊始过于悲观的基调而推迟了发布,彭博社于8月披露了这一消息。

The United Kingdom faces threats from bad weather, drought and flooding to artificial intelligence and hostile activity from Russia and Iran, and the campaign for Britons to step up their preparations had been planned for earlier in 2026 by Keir Starmer, Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s predecessor. However, the new leader delayed the launch due to concerns that it could be seen as an overly pessimistic start to his premiership, as revealed by Bloomberg in August.

伯纳姆上任前四个月一直试图在全国范围内建立乐观情绪。政策宣侧重于公交票价上限和更大权力下放等让人感觉良好的举措,而非国防开支和英国面临的威胁等棘手问题。

Burnham has spent his first four months in office trying to build optimism across the country. Policy announcements have focused more on feel-good steps such as bus fare caps and greater devolution than on thorny issues such as defence spending and the threats facing the UK.

但政府决定在10月22日发布指南,告诉家庭“采取一些简单步骤,以便在日常服务暂时中断时保持准备”,这表明政府现在正寻求提高选民对财政大臣约翰·希利在下周预算案中面临的艰难抉择的认知。这位财政大臣正在权衡增加国防开支的必要性与其他政府支出优先事项。

But the decision to publish guidance on Oct 22, telling households to “take a few simple steps to stay prepared if everyday services are temporarily disrupted”, suggests the government is now seeking to build voter awareness of the difficult decisions facing John Healey in his Budget next week. The Chancellor of the Exchequer is weighing the need to increase defence spending against other government spending priorities.

“个别家庭可以发挥作用,确保自身更具韧性,但政府也有责任确保我们拥有正确的防御能力,”国库部国务大臣詹姆斯·默里10月23日上午对天空新闻台表示。“许多年来以至未来,重点理应放在我们的军事能力、防御能力上。”这份在线清单建议英国民众储备三天量的瓶装水和不易腐烂食品,以及洗手液、手电筒和电池、收音机。还建议他们备好现金、重要文件复印件,以及毛毯和保暖衣物。

“Individual households can play their role in making sure that they’re more resilient, but government has a role in making sure we’ve got the right defences,” Paymaster General James Murray told Sky on Oct 23 morning. “The big focus, rightly for many years and into the future, is on our military capability, our defensive capability.”The online checklist advised Britons to stock up on three days’ supply of bottled water and non-perishable foods, as well as hand sanitiser, a torch and batteries, and a radio. It also advised them to keep cash at hand, copies of important documents, and blankets and warm clothing.

“去年冬天的风暴和今年夏天的野火表明,恶劣天气事件如何会扰乱我们的日常生活,并影响我们依赖的服务,如电话、电力、水和互联网,”贾维斯在声明中说。这些事件“提醒我们,在紧急情况下,我们都可以发挥作用,保护自己、亲人和社区的安全”。

“The storms last winter and the wildfires this summer have shown how severe weather events can cause disruption to our everyday lives and impact the services we rely on, like phones, power, water and the internet,” Jarvis said in his statement. They “are a reminder that we can all play our part to keep ourselves, our loved ones, and our communities safe in times of emergency”.

此举正值部长们面临压力,必须采取重大措施使基础设施现代化并为未来做准备之际。更炎热的夏季和数据中心建设计划正在增加对水的需求,但英国自1992年以来就没有建过新水库,那大约是在水务部门私有化后不久。

The move comes at a time ministers are under pressure to take significant steps to modernise its infrastructure and prepare for the future. Hotter summers and plans for data centre construction are increasing demand for water, but the UK has not built a new reservoir since 1992, shortly after the privatisation of the water sector.

英国还被其顶尖国防专家警告,需要在军事上大幅投资,因为英国没有准备好在全面战争爆发时保卫自己。希利因在军费开支问题上与斯塔默发生争执而辞去了国防大臣职务,现在作为财政大臣,面临着到2035年将国防开支提高到国内生产总值(GDP)3.5%的难题。

Britain has also been warned by its top defence experts that it needs to invest heavily in its military, as it is unprepared to be able to defend itself in the event of a full-scale war. Healey quit his job as defence secretary under Starmer in a row over military spending, and now as chancellor faces the conundrum of getting defence spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2035.

此次推出的方式凸显了政府不想过度渲染担忧的决心,人们对新冠疫情早期超市货架空空如也的记忆仍相对清晰。贾维斯表示,这一举措“使英国与我们许多欧洲同行保持一致,他们也将‘三天准备’信息置于其宣传活动的核心”。

The nature of the roll-out highlights the government’s determination not to overdo the worries, with memories of the empty supermarket shelves of the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic still relatively fresh. Jarvis said the move “brings the UK in line with many of our European peers who also have the three-day message at the heart of their campaign”.

本周没有政府部长被安排在韧性宣传活动启动时发言。国防大臣韦斯·斯特里廷仅在10月22日出席西米德兰兹一家新武器工厂开业仪式时,被记者问及韧性准备工作,才透露启动迫在眉睫。

No government ministers had been scheduled to speak on the launch of the resilience campaign this week. Defence Secretary Wes Streeting only revealed the launch was imminent when asked by journalists about preparation for resilience when he appeared at the opening of a new weapons factory in the West Midlands on Oct 22.

他说,公众需要为“敌对国家行为体或恐怖分子”导致的供应链中断做好准备,随后在BBC《问答时间》节目中补充说,他希望“民众保持警惕但不必惊慌”。

He said the public needed to be prepared for supply chain disruption caused by “hostile state actors or terrorists” and added later in an appearance on BBC’s Question Time that he wanted “people to be alert but not alarmed”.

英国零售联盟(BRC)企业事务总监吉姆·布利上周在下院公共账目委员会发言时表示,他担心过度危言耸听。

Speaking in front of the House of Commons Public Accounts Committee last week, Jim Bligh, corporate affairs director of the British Retail Consortium (BRC), said he was concerned about being too alarmist.

他说:“引发恐慌性抢购非常容易,特别是如果你告诉人们去买某种特定产品——他们就会出去买。如果政府对你说:‘去买x升水’,我们会断水吗?我不知道。” 2020年3月,随着新冠疫情引发对封锁和短缺的担忧,英国购物者蜂拥囤积必需品。卫生纸、意大利面和清洁产品在许多商店的货架上消失,迫使超市加大补货力度。

“Panic buying is quite easy to generate, particularly if you tell people to buy a particular type of product – they will go out to buy it,” he said. “If the government were to say to you, ‘Go and buy x litres of water’, would we run out of water? I do not know.”UK shoppers rushed to stockpile essentials in March 2020 as the Covid-19 pandemic stoked fears of lockdowns and shortages. Toilet paper, pasta and cleaning products vanished from shelves in many stores, forcing supermarkets to ramp up restocking efforts.

那个月,乐购(Tesco)、塞恩斯伯里(Sainsbury’s)、阿斯达(Asda)和莫里森斯(Morrisons)都加入了英国零售业协会(BRC),呼吁消费者只购买自己真正需要的商品,并警告称:如果出现恐慌性抢购行为,可能会导致其他人无法获得基本的生活必需品。来源:彭博社(BLOOMBERG)

Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Asda and Morrisons joined the BRC that month in urging shoppers to buy only what they needed, warning that panic buying risked leaving others without essentials. BLOOMBERG

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