在整个以色列大选竞选期间，关注焦点始终集中在两个“阵营”上——一个由总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导，另一个则反对他。在外界观察者眼中，“挺内塔尼亚胡”和“反内塔尼亚胡”这两个标签暗示着存在两种截然不同的国家愿景，且下一届政府的政策将取决于哪一方赢得大选。
Throughout the Israeli election campaign, the focus has been on two “blocs” – one led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the other opposing him. To the outside observer, the “pro-Netanyahu” and “anti-Netanyahu” labels imply that there are two different visions for the country and that the policies of the next government will depend on which one wins the elections.
这种假设并不令人意外。在世界各国，不同候选人在竞选期间都会为本国提出不同愿景。但在以色列，特别是涉及巴勒斯坦人问题时，情况与此截然相反。
This assumption is not surprising. In countries across the world, different candidates offer different visions for their country during electoral races. But in Israel, and particularly as it pertains to the Palestinians, this cannot be further from the truth.
外交官们询问神话般的“两国方案”的前途，谈论加沙重建计划。他们假设缺乏进展的原因在于内塔尼亚胡。没有了他，一切都会改变。我们只能希望如此。
Foreign diplomats ask about the future of the mythical “two-state solution” and talk about reconstruction plans in Gaza. They assume that Netanyahu is the reason for the lack of progress. Without him, everything will change. We can only wish.
人们本以为，三年的种族灭绝、悬而未决的战争罪起诉、国际法院的裁决和待决案件，以及大量记录以色列暴行的报告，会影响以色列大选。人们本以为，当以色列人走向投票站时，会思考他们对巴勒斯坦人做了什么，这将为未来埋下什么隐患，甚至从自私角度考虑，这对他们自己意味着什么。但他们不会。
One would think that three years of genocide, pending war crimes indictments, rulings and pending cases at the International Court of Justice as well as the scores of reports documenting Israel’s atrocities would affect the Israeli election. One would assume that when taking to the polls, Israelis would be thinking of what they have done to Palestinians, what this will breed for the future and, even selfishly, what it means for them. But they will not.
相反，绝大多数以色列人将投票给那些和他们一样、支持继续剥夺巴勒斯坦人自由、继续殖民约旦河西岸、继续摧毁加沙、继续对巴勒斯坦人实施种族灭绝、继续轰炸并窃取邻国主权领土土地的候选人。
Instead, the vast majority of them will vote for candidates who, like them, support the continued denial of freedom for the Palestinians, the continued colonisation of the West Bank, the continued destruction of Gaza, the continued genocide of Palestinians and the continued bombing of and theft of land from neighbouring sovereign nations.
所有这些都体现在候选人自己提出的口号和声明中：支持内塔尼亚胡的人呼吁将加沙夷为平地，希望将被占领的约旦河西岸变成加沙，并宣称巴勒斯坦人中没有无辜者。
All this is apparent in the slogans and the statements that the candidates have put forward themselves: those supporting Netanyahu have called for Gaza to be flattened, have wished for the occupied West Bank to be turned into Gaza and have proclaimed that there are no innocents among the Palestinians.
他们的广告展示推土机推倒巴勒斯坦人的房屋、巴勒斯坦人挨饿以及以色列炸弹在平民区爆炸的画面，候选人承诺会做得更多。“占领、驱逐、定居”是其中一句口号。
Their ads feature bulldozers tearing down Palestinian homes, Palestinians starving and Israeli bombs exploding in civilian areas, with candidates promising even more. “Occupy. Expel. Settle” is one slogan.
反对派呢？他们的立场并无不同。例如，内塔尼亚胡的强硬对手阿维格多·利伯曼长期以来也坚持认为加沙“没有无辜者”。他和其党内成员一直致力于阻止食物进入加沙，并公开呼吁接管黎巴嫩。
What about the opposition? Their positions do not differ. For example, Avigdor Liberman, a staunch Netanyahu rival, has also long maintained that there are “no innocents in Gaza”. He and members of his party have worked to block food from getting into Gaza and have openly called for the takeover of Lebanon.
甚至被视为左翼的反对派成员，如亚伊尔·戈兰，也批评国际社会承认巴勒斯坦国，并支持以色列在被占约旦河西岸的非法定居点。没有一位来自反对党的候选人支持建立巴勒斯坦国。
Even members of the opposition, who are considered leftists, like Yair Golan, have criticised the international recognition of Palestine and support Israel’s illegal settlements in the occupied West Bank. Not a single candidate from the opposition parties supports the establishment of a Palestinian state.
因此，种族灭绝和“两国方案”不会出现在10月27日的选票上。以色列的“永久战争”也不会。相反，选举之争将集中在细节上：哈雷迪（极端正统派）犹太人是否应参与这些战争，以及应该惩罚巴勒斯坦人到何种程度。
So, genocide and the “two-state solution” will not be on the ballot on October 27. Neither will Israel’s “forever wars”. Rather, the electoral battle will be over the details: whether the Haredim (ultra-Orthodox) Jews should participate in these wars and how much Palestinians should be punished.
简而言之，即将到来的这次选举可能改变的只是以色列政府的面孔，而非其政策。
In short, what this coming election may change in Israel is the face of the government, not the policy.
那么，什么样的社会会压倒性地投票给公开谈论其渴望犯下战争罪行的政客？答案在于，这些罪行在以色列已变得常态化，司空见惯，以至于不主张这些罪行反而显得格格不入。
The question then is what kind of a society overwhelmingly votes for politicians who openly speak about their desire to commit war crimes? The answer lies in the fact that these crimes have become normalised in Israel, so commonplace that not advocating for them is odd.
自以色列在巴勒斯坦人房屋的废墟上、通过对巴勒斯坦人的种族清洗建国以来，以色列社会从未为其行为面对过后果，无论这些行为是窃取土地、杀戮、监禁、集体惩罚，甚至是种族灭绝。
Since the establishment of Israel on the ruins of Palestinian homes and through the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians, Israeli society has never faced consequences for its actions, whether those actions were land theft, killing, imprisonment, collective punishment or even genocide.
国际社会向以色列人传递的信息是，他们“占有正义”，而要想精准得到他们想要的——没有巴勒斯坦人的巴勒斯坦——所需要的只是对巴勒斯坦人施加更多的暴力。
The message the world has sent to Israelis is that they are “in their right” and that all that is needed is even more violence against the Palestinians to get precisely what they want: Palestine without Palestinians.
因此，尽管外国外交官及其政府可能将罢免内塔尼亚胡视为解决方案，但这并不能解决核心问题：即认为以色列人享有优越权利的信念；认为他们可以对巴勒斯坦人随心所欲且无人能够阻止他们的信念。
So while foreign diplomats and their governments may be viewing the removal of Netanyahu as the solution, this would not resolve the central problem: the belief that Israelis have superior rights; that they can do as they wish to Palestinians and that no one can stop them.
长期以来，以色列一直被告知它可以随心所欲，而在国际上无需承担任何后果。改变不会来自国内。它只能以施加后果的形式从外部到来。
For far too long, Israel has been told that it can do as it pleases and face no consequences internationally. Change will not come from within the country. It can only come from the outside in the form of consequences.
例如，制裁可能会奏效。广泛的制裁可以在经济和政治上孤立以色列，并向以色列人明确表明，他们并不拥有犯下暴行而不被追究责任的特权。
Sanctions, for example, could work. Wide-ranging sanctions that isolate Israel economically and politically and make clear to the Israelis that they do not have the exceptional right to commit atrocities without being held to account.
无论哪个阵营赢得以色列选举，国际集团都必须改变沉默和绥靖的政策。如果不这样做，我怀疑“占领。驱逐。定居”将不会只是一句竞选口号。它将成为两个“阵营”都将兑现的承诺。
Regardless of which bloc wins the Israeli elections, the international community must change its policy of silence and accommodation. If not, I suspect that “Occupy. Expel. Settle” will not remain a campaign slogan. It will be a promise that both “blocs” will fulfil.