如果民主党控制国会，共和党选民担心他们会过度向左转并推行社会主义政策。如果共和党保持控制权，民主党人则担忧唐纳德·特朗普总统将拥有不受制约的权力。
If Democrats take over Congress, Republican voters are worried they'll move too far to the left and enact socialist policies. If Republicans keep control, Democrats fret about President Donald Trump having unchecked power.
这是CNBC最新民调的发现，显示随着中期选举临近，政治光谱两端各自对另一方心存何种恐惧。调查中的共和党人还表示担心民主党控制国会会导致边境安全削弱和增税。民主党人则表示担忧，若共和党控制国会，移民与海关执法局（ICE）的驱逐行动将持续，针对伊朗的军事行动也将继续。
Those are the findings from a new CNBC poll that shows what each side of the political divide fears about the other as the midterm election looms. Republicans in the survey also say they worry about weakened border security and higher taxes under a Democratic Congress. Democrats say they're concerned about continued Immigration and Customs Enforcement deportations and ongoing military efforts in Iran under a Republican one.
共和党策略师、ROKK Solutions联合创始人罗恩·邦让对结果表示：“这完全显示了两极分化……以及一方会彻底推翻另一方议程的恐惧。”“共和党人担心的是，民主党会回到拜登政府时期的做法。”最新CNBC全美经济调查的结果——调查于10月14日至18日进行，涵盖1000名登记选民——选后可能为两党敲响警钟。在民众对政府普遍不信任的背景下，民主党和共和党的好感度均处于低位。
"That totally shows the polarization … and the fear that one side is going to completely undo the agenda of the other," Ron Bonjean, a Republican strategist and co-founder of ROKK Solutions, said of the results. "What Republicans are worried about is that Democrats are going to go back to the way it was during the Biden administration." The results of the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey — conducted between Oct. 14 and 18 and including 1,000 registered voters — could serve as a warning for both parties after the election. Both Democrats and Republicans have struggled with low favorability amid widespread distrust of the government.
中间偏左智库“第三条道路”的高级政治顾问卢卡斯·霍尔茨表示，如果民主党过度向左转并采纳美国民主社会主义者的政策，可能会挥霍掉一些预测显示他们本可在许多共和党铁票仓取得的进展。
If Democrats lurch too far to the left and adopt Democratic Socialists of America policies, they could squander the gains some forecasts project they could make in many heavily Republican parts of the country, said Lucas Holtz, a senior political advisor at Third Way, a center-left think tank.
霍尔茨说：“如果他们希望保住本周期在拉美裔选民、蓝领选民中取得的进展——他们一直在一轮又一轮的周期中流失这些选民——就不应误读他们的授权。”邦让表示，共和党应当明白，当下选民想要改变方向。
"They should not misread their mandate if they hope to retain the inroads that they're making this cycle with Latino voters, with working-class voters, who they have been hemorrhaging cycle after cycle," Holtz said. And Republicans should understand that voters in this moment want to change course, Bonjean said.
邦让说：“选民绝对希望改变现状，但他们也不想回到民主党掌管华盛顿时的局面。民主党的品牌形象糟糕透顶，共和党的也好不到哪里去。”
"Voters absolutely want change from the way things are going now, but they also don't want to go back to the way things were when Democrats ran Washington," Bonjean said.
受访者可在民主党或共和党控制国会的情况下，最多选出两项最大担忧，这些担忧不一定代表他们最优先考虑的选举议题。哈特研究协会和公众舆论策略公司为CNBC进行的这项民调，还单独询问了人们认为国家面临的最重要问题。在回答该问题时，可负担性问题在各政治光谱中均排名靠前，民主党人和无党派人士还将政府腐败列为首要任务，共和党人则列出了移民和边境安全。
"The branding is so bad on the Democratic side, and it's not great on the Republican side." Respondents were able to select up to two of their biggest concerns in the event that Democrats or Republicans control Congress, which don't necessarily indicate their top electoral priorities. The CNBC survey by Hart Research Associates and Public Opinion Strategies separately asked people to name the most important issues facing the country.
不过，据进步派智库“奠基合作组织”政策、倡导和研究部高级副总裁亚历克斯·哈克雷斯称，选民对对立党派执政后可能采取行动所表达的担忧，反映了中期选举最后几天里铺天盖地的政治广告所传递的信息。民主党在竞选途中猛烈抨击特朗普涉嫌腐败，共和党则试图将民主党描绘成过于激进。
In answering that question, affordability issues ranked highly across the political spectrum, while Democrats and independents also listed government corruption as a top priority, and Republicans listed immigration and border security. Still, the concerns expressed by voters about what the opposing party might do in office reflect the messages in the political advertising that is blanketing much of the country in the final days before the midterm election, according to Alex Jacquez, senior vice president of policy, advocacy, and research at Groundwork Collaborative, a progressive think tank.
“对于民主党人来说，针对他们的主要攻击广告……一直是关于DSA（美国民主社会主义者组织），以及共和党试图利用的文化议题，以将他们与某种极左翼或激进运动挂钩，”哈奎兹说。“但选举的整体基调首先还是关于经济，人们倾向于怪罪总统导致物价上涨，怪罪国会纵容他。”
Democrats on the campaign trail have hammered Trump for his alleged corruption and Republicans have attempted to paint Democrats as overly progressive. "For Democrats, the main attack ads [targeting them] have ... been about DSA and they've been about the cultural issues that Republicans are trying to hit to tie them to a kind of a far-left or radical movement," Jacquez said.
如果民主党控制国会，22%的所有选民表示担心他们无法降低物价，其中包括31%的民主党人、22%的无党派人士和15%的共和党人。如果共和党继续掌控众议院和参议院的议长权杖，24%的选民表示担心物价是否会下降，其中包括32%的共和党人、22%的无党派人士和17%的民主党人。
"But the overall vibe of the election is still first and foremost about the economy, people tend to blame the president for prices and Congress for enabling him." If Democrats gain control of Congress, 22% of all voters said they are concerned about them failing to bring down prices, including 31% of Democrats, 22% of independents and 15% of Republicans.
但这些担忧落后于对制衡特朗普以及与DSA相关政策的担忧。DSA是一个政治组织，近期在纽约市、华盛顿和丹佛等地取得胜利，主张进步的社会政策和民粹主义经济政策。
In the event the GOP retains the gavels in the House and Senate, 24% of voters said they worry whether prices will come down, including 32% of Republicans, 22% of independents and 17% of Democrats. But those worries trail fears about checking Trump and policies associated with the DSA, a political organization that has notched recent wins in places like New York City, Washington and Denver and advocates progressive social and populist economic policies.
在所有受访选民中，44%表示担心特朗普会被允许在其宪法权力之外行事，其中包括74%的民主党人和45%的无党派人士。28%的受访者表示担心DSA政策的实施，其中包括54%的共和党人和22%的无党派人士。
Of all voters polled, 44% said they fear Trump would be allowed to operate beyond his constitutional power, including 74% of Democrats and 45% of independents. Twenty-eight percent of respondents said they are concerned with the implementation of DSA policies, including 54% of Republicans and 22% of independents.