
MANAUS, Brazil — 环保主义者、土著团体和气候科学家正在庆祝巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦连任,这意味着将继续关注制止非法砍伐世界上最大的热带雨林亚马逊。
GABRIELA SÁ PESSOA MANAUS, Brazil — Environmentalists, Indigenous groups and climate scientists are celebrating the reelection in Brazil of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva , which brings the prospect of a continued focus on stopping the illegal cutting of the Amazon, the largest rainforest in the world.
但支持者也警告说,日益由极右翼和农业企业派系主导的国会可能会破坏保护森林和应对气候变化的这些努力。
But supporters also warned that a Congress increasingly dominated by the far right and the agribusiness caucus could undermine those efforts to protect the forest and combat climate change .
卢拉在周日的决选中以51.78%的得票率击败了参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗,后者是极右翼前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗的儿子,弗拉维奥得票率为48.21%。在首轮投票中落后后,卢拉实现了反超,以440万票的优势获胜。
Lula defeated Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, son of far-right former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Sunday’s runoff with 51.78% of the vote to 48.21%. After trailing in the first round, Lula staged a comeback to win by 4.4 million votes.
“亚马逊可以松一口气了!”巴西科学家大卫·拉波拉说,他是即将发布的联合国气候报告中关于所谓“临界点”一章的主要作者。科学家们正在辩论,茂密潮湿的亚马逊雨林可能转变为更干燥生态系统的阈值,这将对生物多样性和气候产生不可逆转的后果。森林吸收了大量二氧化碳,二氧化碳是一种推动全球变暖的温室气体。大约60%的亚马逊位于巴西境内。
“The Amazon can breathe a sigh of relief!” said David Lapola, a Brazilian scientist and lead author of a chapter on so-called tipping points in an upcoming United Nations climate report. Scientists debate the threshold beyond which the dense, humid Amazon rainforest could shift to a drier ecosystem, with irreversible consequences for biodiversity and the climate. The forest absorbs vast amounts of carbon dioxide, a greenhouse gas that drives global warming. About 60% of the Amazon lies in Brazil.
卢拉的胜利反映了选民支持的转变以及全国投票率的提高。在亚马逊地区,土著社区和倡导团体动员选民,并在上周法院裁决的帮助下,为居住在偏远地区的人们争取到了政府交通工具。
Lula’s victory reflected shifts in voter support and higher turnout nationwide. In the Amazon, Indigenous communities and advocacy groups mobilized voters and, aided by court rulings last week, helped secure government transportation for those living in remote areas.

巴西土著人民联合组织(APIB)是向法院提起诉讼以确保土著选民投票权的组织之一。该组织在一份声明中表示,卢拉的胜利反映了“为保卫民主、生命和土著人民权利而开展的基层动员的力量”。
The Articulation of Indigenous Peoples of Brazil, known as APIB, was among the organizations that went to court to secure Indigenous voters’ access to the polls. Lula’s victory reflected the “strength of grassroots mobilization in defense of democracy, life and Indigenous peoples’ rights,” it said in a statement.
弗拉维奥·博索纳罗周一拒绝认输,并表示将请求选举法院宣布结果无效。他面临巨大障碍:必须拿出足以推翻卢拉获胜优势的舞弊证据,并在结果于12月18日获认证前说服法院。来自巴西各机构以及地区领导人的早期信号——包括反对卢拉的保守派总统——表明,该结果将在国内外获得接受。
Flávio Bolsonaro refused to concede Monday and said he would ask the electoral court to nullify the results. He faces a high hurdle: presenting evidence of fraud sufficient to overturn Lula’s winning margin and persuading the court before the results are certified Dec. 18. Early signals from Brazil’s institutions and regional leaders, including conservative presidents who oppose Lula, suggest the outcome will be accepted at home and abroad.
弗拉维奥·博索纳罗曾承诺推行与其父亲一致的政策,后者于2019年至2022年执政。在雅伊尔·博索纳罗执政期间,随着其政府削弱环境执法机构并放宽法规,森林砍伐激增。卢拉政府上周宣布,亚马孙森林砍伐率降至有记录以来最低水平。
Flávio Bolsonaro had pledged to pursue policies aligned with those of his father, who governed from 2019 through 2022. Deforestation surged under Jair Bolsonaro as his administration weakened environmental enforcement agencies and loosened regulations. Lula’s government last week announced the lowest Amazon deforestation rate on record.
预计卢拉将继续致力于遏制森林砍伐,并通过国际捐赠以及公私资金为可持续经济提供融资。虽然他是环保人士、气候科学家以及其他希望保护亚马孙地区人士的明确首选,但卢拉提出的政策也招致批评。最近,他支持在亚马孙附近近海海域钻探石油的努力。
Lula is expected to continue efforts to curb deforestation and finance a sustainable economy through international donations as well as public and private funding. While he was the clear favorite for environmentalists, climate scientists and others who want to protect the Amazon, Lula has put forward policies that have drawn criticism. Most recently, he has supported efforts to drill for oil in offshore waters near the Amazon.

尽管如此,弗拉维奥·博索纳罗呈现出一种两难抉择,在许多环保人士看来,这将使亚马孙和巴西整体环境保护面临风险。他否认气候变化,却将自己包装为环保捍卫者。然而,他在森林保护或融资方面鲜有细节,仅呼吁“现代化”环境法律,并赋予亚马孙土地所有者更多决策权——环保人士警告,这些提议可能削弱保障措施并加速森林砍伐。
Still, Flávio Bolsonaro presented a stark choice that for many environmentalists felt would put the Amazon and Brazil’s overall environmental protections at risk. He had denied climate change while casting himself as an environmental defender. However, he offered few details on forest protection or financing, calling for “modernizing” environmental laws and giving Amazon landowners more decision-making power — proposals environmentalists warned could weaken safeguards and accelerate deforestation.
巴西气候观察组织是一个由172个组织组成的非营利联盟,该组织欢迎卢拉连任,但表示十分之七的新当选议员反对气候和环境议程。该组织援引了近期削弱农药规则、原住民土地权利和环境许可的措施,并敦促卢拉扩大联盟、加强与国会的关系。
Brazil’s Climate Observatory, a nonprofit coalition of 172 organizations, welcomed Lula’s reelection but said seven in 10 incoming lawmakers oppose the climate and environmental agenda. It cited recent measures weakening pesticide rules, Indigenous land rights and environmental licensing, and urged Lula to broaden his alliances and strengthen ties with Congress.
“必须不懈追求在巴西所有生物群系中终止毁林的目标,”该组织表示。
“The goal of ending deforestation across Brazil’s biomes must be pursued relentlessly,” the group said.
专注于环境保护和原住民权利的非营利组织亚马逊观察组织也欢迎卢拉获胜,同时警告立法障碍。
Amazon Watch, a nonprofit focused on environmental protection and Indigenous rights, also welcomed Lula’s victory while warning of legislative obstacles.
“由寻求向采矿业开放原住民土地并削弱环境保护的力量加强的国会,仍然是一个严重威胁,”亚马逊观察组织法律顾问安娜·阿尔菲尼托说。
“A Congress strengthened by forces seeking to open Indigenous lands to mining and weaken environmental protections remains a serious threat,” said Ana Alfinito, an Amazon Watch legal adviser.
世界自然基金会巴西分会表示,巴西庞大的生物多样性和所占亚马逊雨林份额,使其在应对气候变化中具有战略角色。该组织认为,卢拉通过国际合作强化了巴西的领导地位。
WWF Brazil said the country’s vast biodiversity and share of the Amazon give it a strategic role in addressing climate change. It credited Lula with strengthening Brazil’s leadership through international cooperation.

“保持这种领导地位对于动员其他国家、提高全球承诺的雄心以及将协议转化为具体行动至关重要,”该组织表示。
“Maintaining this leadership is essential to mobilizing other countries, raising the ambition of global commitments and turning agreements into concrete action,” the organization said.
气候观察组织国际政策主管克劳迪奥·安杰洛表示,卢拉连任已经带来了一个成果:荷兰周一向“永远热带森林基金”承诺5亿美元,该基金由巴西支持,于去年在巴西举行的联合国气候峰会上启动。
Claudio Angelo, the Climate Observatory’s head of international policy, said Lula’s reelection had already delivered a result: a $500 million pledge Monday from the Netherlands to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility, a Brazil-backed fund launched at last year’s U.N. climate summit in Brazil .
该倡议向发展中国家付费以保持森林屹立不倒,但一直难以在年底前筹集到最初的100亿美元。荷兰的承诺使承诺总额达到78亿美元。
The initiative pays developing countries to keep forests standing but has struggled to secure an initial $10 billion by year’s end. The Dutch pledge brings commitments to $7.8 billion.
安杰洛表示,潜在捐助者曾因等待选举结果而搁置计划,称荷兰的承诺是对卢拉胜选的信任投票。
Angelo said prospective donors had put plans on hold pending the election results, calling the Dutch pledge a vote of confidence in Lula’s victory.
“有人有理由担心,弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗获胜可能会使TFFF受阻,巴西退出,基金未能实现100亿美元的目标,”安杰洛说。
“There was justified concern that a Flávio Bolsonaro victory could derail the TFFF, that Brazil would pull out and the fund would miss its $10 billion target,” Angelo said.