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德国之声

波兰希望印度推动俄罗斯实现乌克兰和平Poland wants India to push Russia towards peace in Ukraine

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尽管印度和波兰在乌克兰问题上立场相左,两国关系依然良好。图片来源:Manish Swarup/美联社照片/图片联盟India and Poland have good ties despite conflicting stances on Ukraine Image: Manish Swarup/AP Photo/picture alliance

在最近访问印度期间,波兰总理唐纳德·图斯克似乎竭尽全力讨好纳伦德拉·莫迪,将这位印度领导人形容为全球不确定和不稳定时期的一座“希望灯塔”。

During his recent visit to India, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk seemingly went out of his way to ingratiate himself to Narendra Modi, describing the Indian leader as a "beacon of hope" in the times of global uncertainty and instability.

两位总理讨论的问题之一是乌克兰战争,这是一个与波兰接壤的国家,华沙在外交和军事上支持该国抗击俄罗斯。

One of the issues the two prime ministers discussed was the war in Ukraine, a country bordering Poland which Warsaw supports diplomatically and militarily against Russia.

莫迪在联合记者会上表示:“我们将支持旨在实现和平的一切努力。”

"We will support all efforts aimed at achieving peace," Modi said during the joint press briefing.

先前的报道显示,印度曾制定一项计划,旨在制止俄罗斯和乌克兰之间对能源基础设施的打击,并保护运输谷物和燃料的船只。在前往新德里之前,图斯克也曾表示印度“可以在这场战争中发挥建设性作用”,并称这一方面对他的意义“非常重要”。

Previous reports indicated India had formulated a plan to halt strikes on energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine and protect ships transporting grain and fuel. Before traveling to New Delhi, Tusk had also indicated that India "could play a constructive role" regarding the war, saying that this aspect was "very important" to him.

尽管在他访问期间没有宣布任何具体步骤,但欧洲的许多人仍然希望印度能够利用其与俄罗斯的友谊来促进和平谈判。

While no concrete steps were announced during his trip, many in Europe still hope India can use its friendship with Russia to boost peace talks.

然而,分析人士警告称,新德里与克里姆林宫的接触并不自动赋予其对俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京及其决策的影响力。

Analysts warn, however, that New Delhi's access to the Kremlin does not automatically grant it sway over Russian President Vladimir Putin and his decisions.

印度前驻波兰大使阿尼尔·瓦德瓦表示,印度不太可能在欧洲的坚持下牺牲自身利益。到目前为止,新德里在呼吁对话与外交、抵制全面配合西方制裁的压力的同时,一直保持着与莫迪维的政治和防务关系。

India is unlikely to sacrifice its own interests at Europe's insistence, says India's former ambassador to Poland Anil Wadhwa. So far, New Delhi has maintained its political and defense relationship with Moscow while calling for dialogue and diplomacy and resisting pressure to align fully with Western sanctions.

此外,尽管新德里可能能够与莫斯科和基辅进行沟通,但并不能保证任何一方会对其实际努力作出回应或做出让步。

Moreover, while New Delhi may be able to communicate with both Moscow and Kyiv, there is no guarantee either side will respond to its efforts or make concessions.

他对德国之声表示:“波兰希望印度利用其接触弗拉基米尔·普京的渠道来鼓励停火和有意义的谈判,同时也承认新德里对俄罗斯军事决策的影响力存在局限性。”

"Poland wants India to use its access to Vladimir Putin to encourage a ceasefire and meaningful negotiations, while recognizing the limits of New Delhi's influence over Russian military decisions," he told DW.

瓦德瓦说,面临的挑战是如何将印度的外交渠道转化为切实的成果,同时又不过高期望。n他说:“印度可以为局势降温做出贡献,并有助于为谈判创造条件,但它无法保证和平。”波兰的这一倡议也反映了欧洲深化与印度关系的更广泛努力。

The challenge, Wadhwa said, was to translate India's diplomatic access into practical outcomes without expecting too much. "India can contribute to de-escalation and help create conditions for negotiations, but it cannot guarantee peace," he said. The Polish initiative also reflects a wider European effort to deepen relations with India.

贾瓦哈拉尔·尼赫鲁大学欧洲研究中心主席兼让·莫内讲席教授乌姆穆·萨尔马·巴瓦告诉德国之声,图斯克的访问有两个目标:加强印度与其本国之间的关系,以及说服新德里将欧盟对乌克兰战争的视角纳入考量。

Ummu Salma Bava, chairperson and Jean Monnet Chair at the Centre for European Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University, told DW that Tusk's visit had two objectives: strengthening ties between India and his own country and persuading New Delhi to factor in the EU's perspective on the Ukraine war.

巴瓦说:“乌克兰战争已成为欧洲安全的中心议题。尽管发生战争,印度与莫斯科的紧密联系仍引发了人们对发展印度与欧盟之间安全合作的担忧。”

"The Ukraine war has become central to European security. India's strong association with Moscow despite the war has raised concerns on developing cooperation on security between India and the EU," Bava said.

作为一个前线国家,波兰不希望俄罗斯从其与印度的关系中获得额外的经济利益。n据巴瓦称,到目前为止,“双方成功地将乌克兰问题分门别类地处理”,同时推进了贸易、安全和防务方面的合作。n但她警告说,双方的分歧可能会使未来扩大防务和安全合作的努力变得复杂。n另一位前驻波兰特使阿杰·比萨里亚表示,印度的立场已经“成熟为潜在的调停者”,其与基辅和莫斯科沟通的能力现在被认为是有用的。

Poland, a frontline state, does not want Russia to gain additional economic benefits from its relationship with India. So far, according to Bava, "both sides have managed to compartmentalize the Ukraine issue" while advancing cooperation on trade, security and defense. But their differences could complicate future efforts to expand defense and security cooperation, she warned. Ajay Bisaria, another former envoy to Poland, says India's position has "matured into that of a potential peacemaker" and its ability to communicate with both Kyiv and Moscow is now perceived as useful.

n据比萨里亚称,甚至连华沙也没有将“俄罗斯问题”视为“印度-欧洲或印度-波兰关系中的重大摩擦点”。比萨里亚告诉德国之声:“欧洲,尤其是波兰,理解印度与俄罗斯伙伴关系的深度,正如印度赞赏欧洲大部分地区看待莫斯科和乌克兰战争时的截然不同的视角一样。”

According to Bisaria, not even Warsaw regards "the Russia question" as a "significant irritant in the India-Europe or India-Poland relationship." "Europe, and Poland in particular, understands the depth of India's partnership with Russia, just as India appreciates the very different lens through which much of Europe views Moscow and the war in Ukraine," Bisaria told DW.

nw比萨里亚认为,这种看法的转变部分是因为美国改变了其自身对冲突的立场并寻求调解。在他看来,这增强了欧洲各国政府在存在对莫斯科分歧的情况下仍与印度保持紧密联系的理由。

This shift in perspective, according to Bisaria, is partly due to the US changing its own stance on the conflict and seeking mediation. This, in his view, strengthens the case for European governments to pursue close ties with India despite their differences over Moscow.

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