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民调:中期选举前一周,民主党领先8个百分点Democrats hold 8-point advantage 1 week before midterms: Survey

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根据周二发布的一项新民调,在中期选举前的最后一周,民主党对共和党领先8个百分点。

Democrats have an 8-point lead over Republicans in the final week before the midterm elections, according to a new survey released Tuesday.

由NPR和PBS News联合进行的马里斯特民调发现,选民倾向民主党胜过共和党,比例为52%比44%。

The Marist Poll, conducted alongside NPR and PBS News, found voters favor Democrats over Republicans by 52-44 precent.

无党派选民也更倾向民主党而非共和党,52%的人表示如此。民调显示,另有39%的无党派选民表示他们可能会投票给共和党。

Independents also prefer Democrats over the GOP, with 52 percent saying so. Another 39 percent of independents said they are likely to vote for Republicans, the poll shows.

略超过半数的受访者,即51%,表示他们认为其选区的民主党候选人将获胜,46%的人对其选区的共和党候选人持相同看法。

Just over half of respondents at 51 percent said they think the Democrat running in their district will win, and 46 percent said the same about their district’s Republican candidate.

民调人员还发现,44%的受访者表示将把他们对国会的投票作为对特朗普总统的公投以示反对,而21%的人表示他们的投票将支持总统。大约35%的人表示特朗普在其决定投票给谁进入国会的问题上不起作用。

The pollsters also found that 44 percent of respondents said they will use their vote for Congress as a referendum against President Trump, while 21 percent say their votes will be in favor of the president. Roughly 35 percent say Trump has no role in their decision on who they vote into Congress.

民调人员还发现,44%的无党派选民表示将投票反对总统,而12%的人表示他们的投票将支持他。

Pollsters also found that 44 percent of independents said they will vote against the president, compared to 12 percent who said their vote will be in his favor.

绝大多数选民表示他们热衷或非常热衷于在中期选举中投票,比例为84%。数据显示,另有16%的人表示相反情况。

A majority of voters say they are enthusiastic or very enthusiastic to vote in the midterms, at 84 percent. Another 16 percent said the opposite, the numbers show.

略超过90%的民主党人表示热衷,比例略高于表示同样看法的86%共和党选民。根据民调,约76%的无党派选民表示他们渴望投票。

Just over 90 percent of Democrats are slightly more enthusiastic than the 86 percent of GOP voters who said the same. About 76 percent of independents say they’re excited to vote, according to the poll.

民调还发现,略超过四分之三的受访者,即77%,表示他们相信其州或地方政府将公平、准确地举行选举,21%的人表示他们不太有信心或完全没有信心。

It also found that just over three-quarters of respondents, 77 percent, say they are confident that their state or local government will conduct elections fair and accurately, and 21 percent say they are not very confident or not confident at all about the results.

民主党人最相信地方或州领导人将举行公平选举,比例为88%,其次是75%的无党派选民和68%的共和党人。

Democrats lead in believing local or state leaders will hold fair elections, at 88 percent, followed by 75 percent of independents and 68 percent of Republicans.

大多数受访者表示,如果他们的候选人落选,应该接受选举结果,这一比例为81%。另有16%的人认为,他们的候选人应该大概率或肯定会对结果提出质疑。

Most of the survey’s respondents say they think if their candidate loses, they should accept the election results, at 81 percent. Another 16 percent say their candidate should probably or definitely challenge the results.

民主党人和独立人士均表示,他们的候选人应该接受各自的选举结果,比例分别为90%和83%。根据该民调,约70%的共和党受访者持相同意见。

Democrats and independents both said their candidates should accept the respective results of the elections, at 90 and 83 percent respectively. About 70 percent of GOP respondents agreed, according to the poll.

特朗普已跨越多个红州开展竞选活动,作为他最后向选民呼吁支持下周二投票选票上共和党候选人的一部分。近几个月来,因其在经济、通胀、伊朗战争和油价方面的应对,该总统的支持率有所下滑。

Trump has hit the campaign trail across several red states as part of his final pitch to voters to back Republicans on the ballot next Tuesday. The president has seen his approval rating drop in recent months over his handling of the economy, inflation, the Iran war and gas prices.

但最新民调显示,特朗普的支持率为40%,59%的人表示不认可其履职表现。

But the latest poll shows Trump’s approval rating to be at 40 percent, with 59 percent saying they do not approve of his handling of the presidency.

该项NPR/PBS News/Marist民调于10月19日至20日进行,共包含1,289名受访者。误差范围为3.8个百分点。

The NPR/PBS News/Marist survey was conducted Oct. 19-20 and included 1,289 respondents. The margin of error is 3.8 percentage points.

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