
以色列基法尔阿扎 — 以色列裔美国人基思·西格尔说,他不搞政治。即使在2023年10月7日被哈马斯绑架、在加沙被扣押为人质484天后,也是如此,尤其是在那之后。
KFAR AZA, Israel — Israeli American Keith Siegel doesn’t do politics, he said. Even, and especially, after he was kidnapped by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, and held hostage in Gaza for 484 days.
但当被问及总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在周二投票前的收官论点——只有他能保卫以色列安全——时,西格尔只是说:“我不同意。”
But when asked about Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s closing argument going into Tuesday’s voting that only he can keep Israel safe, Siegel simply said, “I don’t agree.”
在自那以后的首次大选前夕,现年67岁的西格尔罕见地回到了他在基法尔阿扎的家中。这个基布兹距离加沙边境仅一英里,2023年10月7日有80人在此遇害,19人被哈马斯掳走。
On the eve of the first election since then, Siegel, now 67, made a rare visit to his home in Kfar Aza, a kibbutz a mile from the Gaza border where 80 people were murdered and 19 were taken captive by Hamas on Oct. 7.
随着远处巴勒斯坦领土附近传来自动武器射击声和迫击炮弹爆炸声,西格尔表示,他希望这场毁灭和创伤能够结束。
As automatic gunfire and mortar rounds went off in the distance near the Palestinian territory, Siegel said he wanted the devastation and trauma to end.
“我恨战争,我恨杀戮,我恨死亡,在我看来,那些不必要的死亡,”他说。“我不只为我们以色列人着想,我也为加沙那些出生时就被迫面对这种他们未曾选择的现实的孩子们着想。”
“I hate war and I hate killing and I hate death, and unnecessary death, from my point of view,” he said. “I don’t only think about us Israelis, I also think about children in Gaza that were born into this reality they didn’t choose.”
以色列基法尔阿扎,摄于2026年10月24日。朱莉娅·杰斯特 / MS NOW哈马斯发动的惨烈的10月7日恐怖袭击从根本上重塑了以色列政治——并造就了内塔尼亚胡的一位强劲挑战者:加迪·艾森科特,这位前以色列国防军参谋长转而成为对手,可能是将这位长期总理赶下台的人。
Kfar Aza, Israel is seen on on Oct. 24, 2026. Julia Jester / MS NOW The gruesome Oct. 7 terrorist attacks by Hamas fundamentally reshaped Israeli politics — and created a formidable challenger to Netanyahu: Gadi Eisenkot, his former Israeli Defense Forces chief of staff turned rival who could be the one to oust the longtime prime minister from power.
2023年12月,对哈马斯战争爆发两个月后,艾森科特25岁的儿子加尔在加沙作战时阵亡。六个月后,艾森科特因缺乏结束冲突的战略,辞去了内塔尼亚胡战时紧急内阁的职务。
In December 2023, two months into the war against Hamas, Eisenkot’s 25-year-old son, Gal, was killed while fighting in Gaza. Six months later, Eisenkot resigned from Netanyahu’s emergency war Cabinet, citing a lack of strategy to end the conflict.
艾森科特的个人损失促使他决定与前任老板对决,他的悲痛引起了仍因那一天及随后多条战线的战争而震惊的以色列人的共鸣。他承诺将就10月7日袭击事件周围的失职展开独立调查。
Eisenkot’s personal loss motivated him to run against his former boss, his grief resonating with Israelis still reeling from that day and the ensuing war fronts. He has promised an independent inquiry into the failures surrounding the Oct. 7 attacks.
西格尔表示,他不专注于指责,但他——和许多以色列人一样——想要答案,想知道袭击发生前和发生后究竟哪里出了问题。
Siegel said he is not focused on blame, but he — like many Israelis — wants answers as to what went wrong leading up to and in the aftermath of the attacks.
“这是一次巨大的失败,掌权者需要被追责,或者需要对发生的事情负责,主要是为了尽一切可能确保类似事件不再发生,”西格尔说。
“This enormous failure, people that were in charge need to be held accountable or need to be responsible for what happened, primarily in order to do everything possible that something like that won’t happen again,” Siegel said.
2026年10月24日,基思·西格尔在以色列基法尔阿扎发言。朱莉娅·杰斯特 / MS NOW以色列第12频道最近的一项民调发现,10月7日的责任归属可能会影响70%选民的决定,其中83%的人表示内塔尼亚胡至少承担一定程度的责任,只有8%的人说他完全不负责任。
Keith Siegel speaks on Oct. 24, 2026, in Kfar Aza, Israel. Julia Jester / MS NOW A recent poll from Israel’s Channel 12 found responsibility for Oct. 7 was likely to influence the decisions of 70% of voters, with 83% saying Netanyahu bears at least some degree of responsibility and only 8% saying he doesn’t at all.

即使选举结果出来后,可能还需要数周时间才能选出新总理,这很可能需要多个政党组建联合政府。
Even after the results of the election come in, it may take weeks for a new prime minister to be chosen, which likely will require multiple political parties to come together in a coalition.
周六晚上,数万名抗议者聚集在特拉维夫的“被扣押人员广场”举行反内塔尼亚胡示威,汇聚了反对派“变革”阵营的选民。
On Saturday night, tens of thousands of protesters gathered in Tel Aviv’s Hostages Square for an anti-Netanyahu demonstration, bringing together voters across the opposition “change” bloc.
首次投票的塔尔·施奈德表示,哈马斯的袭击让他意识到,拥有一个健康的政府关乎“生死”。
First-time voter Tal Schneider said the attack by Hamas made him realize having a healthy government is “life or death.”
“这很危险,”18岁的施奈德说。“我即将服兵役,如果我将身处一场没完没了的战争,我不想服役。但我想服役,我想保护我的人民,可这个政府太腐败了,这将变得不可能。”
”It’s dangerous,” said Schneider, 18. “I’m going to serve in the army, and if I will be in a never-ending war, I don’t want to serve. But I want to serve, I want to protect my people, but this government is so corrupt that it will be impossible.”
玛雅·卡托尔扎于2023年初首次参与政治活动,抗议内塔尼亚胡推动改革以色列司法体系。但10月7日让她大彻大悟。
Maya Katorza first became politically active in early 2023, protesting Netanyahu’s push to overhaul Israel’s judicial system. But Oct. 7 opened her eyes.
“这真的令人震惊,”她说。“让我们觉得更像是关乎我们的生存。”
Hostage Square is seen on Oct. 22, 2026, in Tel Aviv, Israel. Julia Jester / MS NOW
2026年10月22日,以色列特拉维夫的“被扣押人员广场”景象。朱莉娅·杰斯特 / MS NOW“这里有一种我个人以前从未感受过的力量,”身穿印有希伯来语歌词“我没有别的国家”T恤的卡托尔扎说,这件衣服是她从一家餐馆得到的,该餐馆正在帮助10月7日遭袭基布兹的以色列撤离居民。
“It was really shocking,” she said. “Made it much more like our life depends on it.”“There is a power here I personally didn’t feel before,” said Katorza, wearing a shirt featuring the Hebrew lyric, “I have no other country,” which she got from a restaurant helping Israelis evacuated from kibbutzes attacked on Oct. 7.

在以色列各地,各社区团结起来,填补内塔尼亚胡政府在袭击发生后留下的空白,从交通到食品供应再到心理咨询。
Throughout Israel, communities came together to fill the gaps left by the Netanyahu government in the aftermath of the attacks, from transportation to food supply to counseling.
临床心理学家、拥有美国和以色列双重国籍的塔米·卢比奇正在从阿拉斯加为受10月7日事件影响的以色列人提供志愿心理健康服务。
Tami Lubitsch, a clinical psychologist and dual U.S.-Israeli citizen, is offering volunteer mental health services from Alaska to Israelis impacted by Oct. 7.
“这个国家正在分崩离析,”卢比奇说。“这就是一个什么都做不对的政府,而这在某种程度上就是它的本质。当你致力于战争和仇恨的心态时,它会影响到一切。他们正在建立一种仇恨文化,如果这种情况继续下去,以色列的道德根基就会消失。”
“The country is falling apart,” Lubitsch said. “It’s just a government that can’t do anything right, and that’s kind of the nature of it. When you devote yourself to the mentality of war and hatred, it’s gonna affect everything. They’re building a culture of hate, and if that would continue, the very moral foundation of Israel would be gone.”
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡于2026年10月22日在以色列耶路撒冷本耶胡达市场进行竞选访问时发表讲话。约翰·韦塞尔斯/法新社通过盖蒂图片社不过,并非所有人都将责任归咎于内塔尼亚胡。
Benjamin Netanyahu speaks at Ben Yehuda Market during a campaign visit on Oct. 22, 2026, in Jerusalem, Israel. John Wessels / AFP via Getty Images Still, not everyone places the blame on Netanyahu.
10月7日当天正在以色列国防军服役、并曾在加沙待过的埃利·拉姆将责任归咎于哈马斯的“坏人”,并表示如果没有内塔尼亚胡,以色列人将不被允许保护自己的国家。
Ely Ram, who was serving in the IDF on Oct. 7 and has spent time in Gaza, blames the “bad people” of Hamas and said without Netanyahu, Israelis would not be allowed to protect their country.
“我很害怕,”24岁的拉姆在特拉维夫一家酒吧说,那里距离大规模的反内塔尼亚胡集会只有几个街区。“因为另一方不想要以色列的安全。”
“I’m afraid,” Ram, 24, said at a Tel Aviv bar a few blocks away from the massive anti-Netanyahu rally. “Because the other side doesn’t want Israel’s security.”
自10月7日以来,以色列在加沙、黎巴嫩和伊朗等多条战线作战,这给以色列军队带来了压力,使得是否要求该国约8万名极端正统派男性服兵役的辩论成为此次选举的决定性议题。
The wars fought on multiple fronts by Israel since Oct. 7 — in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran — have put a strain on the Israeli military, making the debate over requiring military service for the country’s roughly 80,000 ultra-Orthodox men a defining issue in this election.
根据以色列民主研究所9月的一项民意调查,72%的以色列人希望极端正统派哈雷迪人——他们以研读《托拉》来逃避兵役——被征召入伍。
According to a September poll by the Israel Democracy Institute, 72% of Israelis want the ultra-Orthodox Haredim, who avoid military service with religious study of the Torah, to be drafted.
2026年5月28日,在以色列耶路撒冷,一名极端正统派哈雷迪犹太男子在反对征兵和逮捕逃避兵役的经学院学生的抗议活动中与以色列警察对峙。阿鲁阿兰/汉斯·卢卡斯/法新社通过盖蒂图片社“事实是,你作为作战士兵进入加沙,不知道自己能否活着回来,也不知道我们会在那里待多久,因为总理不允许征召宗教人士,所以士兵数量越来越少、越来越少,”18岁的首次投票者塔尔·平卡斯说,他支持退役将军亚伊尔·戈兰和民主党。
An Ultra Orthodox Haredi Jewish man confronts Israeli police during a protest against military conscription and the arrest of draft evasion yeshiva students on May 28, 2026, in Jerusalem, Israel. Aruallan / Hans Lucas / AFP via Getty Images “It’s the fact that you can go into Gaza as a combat soldier not knowing if you’ll come back alive or how long we’ll be staying there because the prime minister doesn’t allow recruiting religious people, so the amount of soldiers are fewer and fewer and fewer,” said first-time voter Tal Pinkas, 18, who is supporting retired Gen. Yair Golan and The Democrats.
耶路撒冷希伯来大学的政治学家鲁文·哈赞认为,内塔尼亚胡指望以色列人民健忘,是在犯一个“灾难性错误”。
Reuven Hazan, a political scientist at Jerusalem’s Hebrew University, thinks Netanyahu is making a “catastrophic mistake” by hoping the people of Israel will have short memories.
“在这四年里,我们经历了无数撼动以色列社会根基的事件,”他说,并列举了司法改革抗议、10月7日事件、加沙战争和伊朗战争。“以色列社会已经精疲力竭。它累了。它不是创伤后,它仍在经历创伤。”
“We’ve had in these four years an endless amount of events that have shaken Israeli society to the core,” he said, citing judicial overhaul protests, Oct. 7, the war in Gaza and the Iran war. ”Israeli society is spent. It’s tired. It’s not post-trauma. It’s going through trauma still.”
哈赞说,这些事件将以色列人推向两个方向:转向政治右翼和变得更加宗教化。虽然这两种转变本应对内塔尼亚胡有利,但如果他失去权力,公众要求围绕10月7日袭击追究更多责任的呼声本会发挥重要作用。卡托尔扎支持戈兰和民主党,她担心以色列在世界舞台上的声誉。
These events, Hazan said, have moved Israelis in two directions: to the political right and becoming more religious. While both shifts should be beneficial to Netanyahu, if he loses power, a public outcry for more accountability around the Oct. 7 attacks would have played a significant role. Katorza, who supports Golan and The Democrats, is worried about Israel’s reputation on the world stage.
“我想到以色列的所有外交事务都随着这届政府的政治而付诸东流,”她说。“从来没有哪个时候,以色列在美国政治版图的两边——共和党和民主党——都如此不受欢迎、如此得不到支持。”对内塔尼亚胡的考验内塔尼亚胡政府对10月7日事件的回应引发了国际批评和谴责。周一,一份联合国报告得出结论,以色列在约旦河西岸犯下了战争罪和反人类罪,并且即使在所谓的停火期间,仍在加沙继续实施种族灭绝。
“I think about all foreign affairs of Israel going down the drain with the politics of this government,” she said. “There was never a time that Israel was so unliked and so unsupported by both sides of the political map in the United States, the Republicans and the Democrats.”A test for Netanyahu The Netanyahu government’s response to Oct. 7 has prompted international criticism and condemnation. On Monday, a United Nations report concluded that Israel has committed war crimes and crimes against humanity in the West Bank and is continuing to commit genocide in Gaza, even amid a so-called ceasefire.
以色列政府拒绝了这份联合国报告,称其是“一场旨在妖魔化以色列国、将其存在本身描绘为犯罪的虚假信息运动”。
The Israeli government rejected the U.N. report, calling it a “misinformation campaign to demonize the State of Israel and portray its very existence as criminal.”
哀悼者参加了一场巴勒斯坦人的集体葬礼,这些人的遗体是从2023年10月以色列空袭中击中的一栋居民楼废墟中找到的,葬礼于2026年10月1日在加沙城举行。Dawoud Abu Alkas / 路透社据哈马斯运营的卫生部估计,加沙战争期间已有超过7.4万名巴勒斯坦人丧生,联合国机构认为这一数字是准确的。联合国近东巴勒斯坦难民救济和工程处估计,加沙约82%的建筑物已受损,其中约三分之二已被摧毁。
Mourners attend a mass funeral for Palestinians, whose bodies were recovered from the rubble of a residential building hit in an Israeli strike in October, 2023, on Oct. 1, 2026, in Gaza City. Dawoud Abu Alkas / Reuters More than 74,000 Palestinians have been killed during the Gaza war, according to estimates from the Hamas-run health ministry, which U.N. agencies consider to be accurate. UNRWA estimates that about 82% of structures in Gaza have been damaged and about two-thirds of those have been destroyed.
但如果你问遍各个政治派别的以色列人,许多人否认加沙发生种族灭绝的说法,辩称以色列别无选择,并努力减少平民伤亡。
But if you ask Israelis across the political spectrum, many reject claims of genocide in Gaza, arguing Israel has no other choice and works to mitigate civilian casualties.
投票支持贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里赫领导的极右翼宗教犹太复国主义党的沙伊·蒂拉姆说,从10月8日开始,内塔尼亚胡做得“非常好”,并称种族灭绝的指控是“骗局”和“洗脑”。
Shay Tiram, who is voting for Bezalel Smotrich’s far-right Religious Zionist Party, said starting on Oct. 8, Netanyahu did “a very good job” and called accusations of genocide a “hoax” and “brainwash.”
“我们知道我们是一个爱好和平的民族,我们并没有选择这场战争,”35岁的蒂拉姆说。“但你攻击我们,我们就必须保护自己……我们需要把他们赶走。”以色列人的选择2026年10月23日,在特拉维夫,一名骑自行车的人从一座人行天桥下经过,桥上展示着电子竞选广告牌,上面有前以色列国防军总参谋长加迪·艾森科特(左)和总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡。
“We know that we are a nation of peace, and we didn’t choose this war,” said Tiram, 35. “But you attack us, we have to protect ourselves … We need to displace them.”A choice for Israelis A cyclist rides beneath a pedestrian bridge displaying electronic election billboards showing former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, left, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Oct. 23, 2026, in Tel Aviv.
Erik Marmor / picture alliance via Getty Images在选举的最后几天,许多选民将这场竞选视为两位总理热门候选人——内塔尼亚胡和艾森科特——之间的选择。
Erik Marmor / picture alliance via Getty Images In the closing days of the election, many voters saw the race as a choice between the two front-runners for prime minister, Netanyahu and Eisenkot.
尽管内塔尼亚胡和艾森科特在某些政策问题上意见一致,包括反对两国方案,但他们在几个关键领域存在分歧:约旦河西岸、唐纳德·特朗普总统的加沙和平计划以及以色列极端正统派犹太人的兵役问题。
While both Netanyahu and Eisenkot agree on certain policy issues, including opposition to a two-state solution, there is daylight between them in a few key areas: the West Bank, President Donald Trump’s Gaza peace plan and military service for Israel’s ultra-Orthodox Jews.
“政策会有所改变,但通常达不到外界所认为的政策改变的标准,”以色列民调专家和政治分析人士达莉娅·沙因德林说。
“There will be a change of policy, but it doesn’t usually meet the standards of what outsiders see as a change of policy,” said Dahlia Scheindlin, an Israeli pollster and political analyst.
“内塔尼亚胡和他的联盟想要吞并加沙,他们想要重建定居点,他们想要巴勒斯坦人离开,”她说。“艾森科特投入此事时,并没有完全相同的信念。”
“Netanyahu and his coalition want to annex Gaza, they want to rebuild settlements, and they want Palestinians to leave,” she said. “Eisenkot is not going into it with quite the same convictions.”
艾森科特的支持者认为,尽管他的政治立场与内塔尼亚胡一样强硬,但他不那么极化,可以提供一个全新的局面。
Supporters of Eisenkot believe he could provide a fresh slate as a less polarizing personality, even with similar hawkish politics to Netanyahu.
在周日特拉维夫一场集会的结语中,艾森科特誓言要兑现他的竞选承诺:追究10月7日的责任、让极端正统派参军,并在18个月内终结哈马斯对加沙的统治。
In his closing argument at a rally in Tel Aviv on Sunday, Eisenkot vowed to deliver on his campaign promises on Oct. 7 accountability, ultra-Orthodox military participation and ending Hamas rule of Gaza within 18 months.
“任何相信‘我们的以色列’能再这样撑过四年的人,都处在危险的错觉之中,”他对支持者说。“逃避兵役、失败、疏忽和谎言——这就是‘逃兵政府’的道路。如果我们继续走这条路,以色列很快就会不再是我们所熟知的那个国家。这是最后的警钟。”
“Anyone who believes that ‘our Israel’ can survive another four years like this is operating under a dangerous delusion,” he told his supporters. “Draft evasion, failure, negligence, and lies—this is the path of the ‘government of draft-dodgers.’ If we continue down this road, Israel will very soon cease to be the country we know. This is a final wake-up call.”
2026年8月17日,以色列反对党领袖、前军方总参谋长加迪·艾森科特在以色列基里亚特马拉基为即将到来的以色列大选进行竞选活动。阿米尔·科恩 / 路透社内塔尼亚胡则拿艾森科特缺乏外交经验与他本人与世界领导人长期的关系作对比。
Israeli opposition leader and former military chief Gadi Eisenkot campaigns ahead of Israel’s upcoming general election on Aug. 17, 2026, in Kiryat Malachi, Israel. Amir Cohen / Reuters Netanyahu, for his part, has contrasted Eisenkot’s lack of diplomatic experience with his own long-standing relationships with world leaders.
内塔尼亚胡多次强调自己获得特朗普的背书,并强调有必要完成对伊朗的战争,他一直在以愈发末日化的措辞描述这场战争,包括使用一张人工智能生成的、显示特拉维夫上空出现核弹爆炸云的照片。
Netanyahu has repeatedly highlighted his endorsement from Trump, emphasizing the need to finish the war with Iran, which he has been characterizing in increasingly apocalyptic terms, including with an artificial intelligence-generated photo of a nuclear bomb cloud over Tel Aviv.
内塔尼亚胡还继续试图把阿拉伯裔以色列人政治力量的任何增长描绘为对以色列身份的威胁。
Netanyahu has also continued to try to depict any increase in the political power of Arab Israelis as a threat to Israel’s identity.
内塔尼亚胡在社交媒体上将可能包括阿拉伯拉阿姆党领袖曼苏尔·阿巴斯在内的反对派政府描述为“剥夺以色列的犹太身份,向我们的敌人让步屈服”,或者是一个“努力保护以色列国的强大右翼政府,它将完成使命,一劳永逸地消除伊朗威胁”。
On social media, Netanyahu described an opposition government that could include Mansour Abbas, leader of the Arab Ra’am party, as one that “robs Israel of its Jewish identity and concedes and bows to our enemies or a strong right-wing government that works to protect the state of Israel, that will finish the job and remove the Iranian threat once and for all.”
随着阿拉伯裔以色列人的投票率达到创纪录水平,如果内塔尼亚胡或艾森科特都无法直接获得所需的议会61席多数——根据民调这不太可能——他们在组建联盟的过程中可能变得至关重要。
With Arab Israelis voting at a record high rate, they could become critical in the coalition building process if neither Netanyahu or Eisenkot reach the needed 61-seat Knesset majority outright, which is unlikely based on polling.
阿拉伯领导人历来被排除在以色列政府之外——但一些选民表示,这种情况应该改变。
Arab leaders have historically been excluded from the Israeli government — but some voters say that should change.
莱昂·齐的童年好友在10月7日诺瓦音乐节大屠杀中被哈马斯残忍杀害,他表示,如果齐所支持的候选人艾森科特获胜,阿巴斯应该在政府中占有一席之地。
Leon Tsi — whose childhood friend was brutally murdered by Hamas at the Nova Festival massacre on Oct. 7 — said Abbas should have a seat at the table should Tsi’s preferred candidate, Eisenkot, win.
35岁的齐说,以色列政客经常吹嘘以色列是中东罕见的民主典范,“那就拿出民主的样子来”。
Israeli politicians often tout Israel as a rare example of a democracy in the Middle East, Tsi, 35, said, “so act like one.”
“有不同种类的犹太教,不同种类的穆斯林,不同种类的群体,”他补充道。“我们必须承认这一点。”乔什·艾尼格在卡法阿扎参与报道。
“There are different kinds of Judaism, different kinds of Muslim, different kinds of groups,” he added. “And we have to recognize it.”Josh Einiger in Kfar Aza contributed reporting.