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美联储决议前亚洲货币普遍走弱 卢比料承受温和压力Weakness across Asian FX before Fed decision to put mild pressure on rupee

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孟买10月28日电 - 交易员称,印度卢比周三可能小幅低开,追随大多数亚洲同行货币的跌势,投资者等待美联储在当地市场收盘后的政策决定,以寻找进一步加息前景的线索。

MUMBAI, Oct 28 - The Indian rupee may open marginally weaker on Wednesday, tracking losses across most Asian peers, with investors awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision after local market hours for clues on the outlook for further rate hikes.

交易员称,卢比预计将在95.12-95.16区间开盘,周二收盘上涨0.1%,报95.1150卢比兑1美元。

The rupee is expected to open in the 95.12-95.16 range, per traders, having settled 0.1% higher at 95.1150 to the dollar on Tuesday.

周二盘中卢比一度跌至95.24,随后收复失地,两名交易员称,国有银行抛售美元,可能是代表印度储备银行行事。交易员视95.30为印度货币关键的近期支撑位。

The rupee managed to recover in Tuesday's session after slipping to 95.24 intraday amid dollar sales by state-run banks which two traders said may be on behalf of the Reserve Bank of India. Traders see 95.30 as a key near-term support level for the Indian currency.

一位私营银行外汇交易员表示,尽管油价飙升,卢比表现出韧性,显示印度储备银行干预在遏制货币压力方面发挥了更大作用,汇率基本维持在95卢比兑1美元附近的区间震荡。

The rupee's resilience despite surging oil prices points to the increased role of the RBI's intervention in containing pressure on the currency, with the exchange rate largely range-bound around the 95-per-dollar mark, a currency trader at a private-sector bank said.

亚洲时段布伦特原油上涨1.6%,报每桶115.74美元,此前沙特阿拉伯一家炼油厂遭袭击,重燃对中东供应风险的担忧;沙特是世界最大原油出口国。

Brent crude rose 1.6% to $115.74 per barrel in Asia trading, after an attack on a refinery in Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter, revived concerns around the risks to supply in the Middle East.

印度通过印度储备银行为炼油商开设的特别窗口直接购买美元,在一定程度上缓冲了卢比免受高油价冲击。然而,持续高企的油价给卢比前景蒙上阴影,并拖累资本流动。

India has partly cushioned the rupee from the impact of elevated oil prices through a special RBI window for refiners to purchase dollars directly. However, persistently high oil prices are clouding the rupee's outlook and weighing on capital flows.

美联储暂停加息 市场和经济学家普遍预期美联储周三将维持利率不变。不过,通胀担忧依然居前沿,投资者认为任何暂停加息都可能是短暂的,进一步加息仍在考虑之中。

FED PAUSE Markets and economists widely expect the Federal Reserve to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday. However, with inflation concerns still front and centre, investors see any pause as likely to be short-lived, with further rate hikes remaining on the table.

荷兰国际集团(ING Bank)分析师在报告中表示,持续的物价压力担忧意味着“我们确实预期12月会加息”。

Ongoing concerns about price pressures mean "we do expect a December interest rate rise", analysts at ING Bank said in a note.

他们补充称,美联储维持利率不变的决定可能并非全票通过,可能有三名委员持异议主张加息。

The Fed decision to keep rates unchanged may not be unanimous, they added, with the potential for three dissenters to call for a hike.

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