一项新民调显示，民主党人佩吉·弗兰纳根在明尼苏达州参议院竞选中领先共和党对手米歇尔·塔福亚。
Democrat Flanagan leads in Minnesota Senate race by double digits: Poll Democrat Peggy Flanagan is leading in the Minnesota Senate race against GOP competitor Michele Tafoya, according to a new poll.
在《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学的民调中，54%的受访者表示，如果当天就是选举日，他们更可能把票投给弗兰纳根；40%的受访者对塔福亚持同样看法。不到0.5%的人选择了其他候选人，5%的人尚未确定选择或未作回答。
In The New York Times/Siena University poll, 54 percent of respondents said they were more likely to cast their ballot for Flanagan if Election Day were that day, while 40 percent said the same for Tafoya. Less than half a percent chose another candidate, and 5 percent were unsure of their choice or gave no answer.
弗兰纳根与塔福亚之间的两位数差距值得注意，因为这位明尼苏达州副州长不久前对这位前NFL记者仅保持微弱领先。而无党派选举评级机构《库克政治报告》不久前刚将这场选情向共和党方向调整，从“可能”民主党转为“倾向”民主党。
The double-digit gap between Flanagan and Tafoya is notable, as the Minnesota lieutenant governor was recently holding a slim lead over the former NFL reporter. And nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report shifted the race toward the Republicans, from “likely” to “lean” Democrat, just a short time ago.
在Decision Desk HQ的民调平均值中，截至周三上午，弗兰纳根以47.4%对43.8%领先塔福亚。
In a polling average from Decision Desk HQ, Flanagan was leading Tafoya 47.4 percent to 43.8 percent on Wednesday morning.
2026年选举周期的当前政治环境似乎有利于民主党，原因包括不受欢迎的伊朗战争、特朗普总统下滑的支持率以及对生活成本的担忧。
The current political environment in the 2026 election cycle is appearing to favor Democrats, due to factors including the unpopular war in Iran, President Trump’s slumping approval rating and concerns about the cost of living.
在伊朗战争期间，石油行业的关键水道霍尔木兹海峡已被关闭，推高了能源价格。据AAA数据，周三上午明尼苏达州普通汽油平均价格约为每加仑4.17美元，高于去年同期的约2.90美元。
Amid the war in Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for the oil industry, has been closed, driving up energy prices. In Minnesota, the average price for a gallon of regular gas in the state on Wednesday morning was about $4.17, up from about $2.90 at the same time last year, according to AAA.
在《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学的明尼苏达州民调中，35%的受访者表示“强烈赞成”或“ somewhat赞成”特朗普的工作表现，62%的人表示“ somewhat不赞成”或“强烈不赞成”总统的履职方式。3%的人对特朗普的工作表现不确定或未作回应。
In the Times/Siena Minnesota poll, 35 percent of respondents said they “strongly approve” or “somewhat approve” of Trump’s job performance, while 62 percent said they “somewhat disapprove” or “strongly disapprove” of how the president is handling his job. Three percent were unsure about Trump’s job performance or did not respond.
《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学民调于10月19日至26日进行，调查了752名明尼苏达州选民，抽样误差幅度为4.1个百分点。
The Times/Siena poll took place from Oct. 19-26, featuring 752 Minnesota voters and 4.1 percentage points as its margin of sampling error.