
惠誉评级周三表示,无论即将到来的中期选举结果如何,美国都可能面临持续的财政压力,不断上升的福利支出和债务偿付成本恐将推高政府债务。
The US is likely to face continued fiscal pressures regardless of the outcome of the upcoming midterm elections, with rising entitlement spending and debt-servicing costs threatening to push government debt higher, Fitch Ratings said Wednesday.
在一份报告中,这家信用评级机构警告称,民主党控制国会一个或两个议院可能会增加在联邦债务上限和政府拨款问题上发生政治边缘政策博弈的可能性,从而可能给该国已经巨大的财政赤字带来进一步压力。
In a report, the credit rating agency warned that Democratic control of one or both chambers of Congress could increase the likelihood of political brinkmanship over the federal debt ceiling and government funding, potentially putting further pressure on the country's already-large fiscal deficit.
然而,惠誉表示,无论哪个党派控制国会,美国财政前景的根本驱动因素都将持续存在,并指出不断上升的福利支出和债务偿付成本是主要挑战。
However, Fitch said the underlying drivers of the US fiscal outlook would persist regardless of which party controls Congress, pointing to rising entitlement expenditures and debt-servicing costs as key challenges.
该机构称,如果不改变政策,这些结构性压力可能导致该国债务与国内生产总值(GDP)比率进一步恶化。
Without policy changes, these structural pressures are likely to lead to a further deterioration in the country's debt-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio, the agency said.
根据惠誉的数据,2026财年美国联邦预算赤字达到近2万亿美元,相当于GDP的6.1%。
The US federal budget deficit reached nearly $2 trillion, equivalent to 6.1% of GDP, in fiscal 2026, according to Fitch.
该机构预测,包括州和地方政府收支平衡在内的一般政府赤字将在2026年扩大至GDP的7.5%,2027年达到7.6%。州和地方政府收支平衡约占GDP的1%。
The agency forecasts that the general government deficit, which includes the balances of state and local governments, will widen to 7.5% of GDP in 2026 and 7.6% in 2027. State and local government balances account for around 1% of GDP.
惠誉表示,这样的赤字将是在“AA”级别评级主权国家中最高的。
Such a deficit would be the highest among sovereigns rated in the 'AA' category, Fitch said.
该机构还警告称,除非有其他措施抵消,否则两大主要政党的财政优先事项可能会增加预算压力。
The agency also warned that the fiscal priorities of both major political parties could add to budgetary pressures unless offset by other measures.