纽约州奥尔巴尼 —— 纽约州州长凯西·霍楚正与纽约市社会主义市长佐赫兰·马姆达尼一同竞选造势，她还在四年前支持其共和党对手的正统犹太社区领袖中取得了进展。
ALBANY, New York — Gov. Kathy Hochul is campaigning with New York City’s socialist mayor and she’s making in-roads with Orthodox Jewish leaders in communities that backed her GOP opponent four years ago.
这位民主党籍州长正试图在深刻政治动荡的时代维系一个复杂的联盟。
The Democratic governor is trying to hold together a complex coalition in an era of profound political upheaval.
在与共和党人李·泽尔丁的竞选中险些遭遇灾难性失败后，霍楚拼凑起她为下周取得压倒性胜利所需的、以及协助同票竞选的众议院候选人、从而决定控制权的众议院微弱多数地位所需的纽约选民横截面。
After a near-catastrophic campaign against Republican Lee Zeldin, Hochul has sewn together a cross-section of New Yorkers she needs for a convincing victory next week and to aid down-ballot House candidates in races that stand to determine control of the narrowly divided chamber.
她选择加入一项联邦教育税收抵免政策，该政策是唐纳德·特朗普总统宏大的国内政策组合的一部分，此举赢得了正统犹太社区的欢呼。她还向纽约市拨付了数亿美元州援助 —— 在马姆达尼就任市长的第一年为其预算提供了支撑。民调显示，霍楚获得了作为其党派基本盘的黑人纽约选民的绝大多数支持。
She opted into a federal education tax credit that was part of President Donald Trump’s sweeping domestic policy package to the cheers of Orthodox communities. She has also steered hundreds of millions of dollars in state aid to New York City — bolstering Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s budget during his first year in office. And polls have shown Hochul has the lion’s share of support from Black New Yorkers, the backbone of her party.
“她设法在民主党左派和右派的分歧中穿针引线，她与双方都合作 —— 公开与马姆达尼合作，也采取了一些进步派可能不同意的立场，”阿尔·夏普顿牧师说。“她设法取得了平衡。在我看来，这一次她展现了更强的政治敏锐度。”这位出生于布法罗的温和派州长需要动员纽约市选民 —— 包括那些因马姆达尼在去年成功竞选中承诺解决负担能力问题而被激活的选民 —— 同时还要吸引关键郊区地区的选民。
“She’s been able to thread the needle with the divide in the Democratic Party between the left and the right, where she’s worked with both sides — openly with Mamdani and taken positions that some of the progressives may have disagreed with,” the Rev. Al Sharpton said. “She’s been able to balance. She’s shown a lot more political acumen to me this time around.”The moderate, Buffalo-born governor needs to muster New York City voters — including those activated by Mamdani’s pledge to address affordability during his successful campaign last year — while also appealing to people in the bellwether suburbs.
如果成功，霍楚的连任竞选将成为一个测试案例，展示民主党如何在未来两年特朗普时代结束之际驾驭意识形态张力。
If successful, Hochul’s reelection campaign to lead this diverse, Democratic-dominated state is a test case for how her party can navigate ideological tensions as the Trump era draws to a close in the next two years.
维系这个脆弱的全州联盟面临巨大挑战，赌注也同样巨大。四年前霍楚尔竞选时，她所在党派在关键众议院选举中遭遇下游选票失利，导致民主党失去对众议院的控制权，州长微弱的“连带效应”被归咎为原因之一。今年的任务更为复杂。
The challenges to hold this fragile, statewide coalition together are enormous. And so are the stakes. Hochul’s run four years ago was marred by down-ballot losses for her party in crucial House races. Democrats lost control of the chamber and the governor’s weak coattails were blamed. This year the task is even more complicated.
一些犹太选民对马姆达尼的崛起以及党内日益增长的反以色列情绪感到不安。郊区选民依然对犯罪问题保持警惕——这是霍楚尔的共和党对手、拿骚县县长布鲁斯·布莱克曼在竞选最后阶段攻击她的议题。左翼选民也对霍楚尔反对提高富人和大企业的所得税感到难以置信。
Some Jewish voters are alarmed by Mamdani’s rise as well as growing anti-Israel sentiment within the party. Suburban voters remain wary of crime — an issue Hochul’s Republican foe Bruce Blakeman is attacking her on in the final days of the campaign. Left-flank voters are also incredulous that Hochul has opposed higher income taxes on wealthy people and large corporations.
“情况很简单。她必须让进步派保持热情，同时不能给郊区温和派找借口离开，”前民主党州参议员、现为奥尔巴尼游说人的大卫·卡卢奇说。“霍楚尔知道郊区是通往奥尔巴尼的路，她不需要让郊区社区爱上她站台的每一位民主党人。她需要说服他们，她会为他们的利益独立行事。”布莱克曼试图将马姆达尼变成一个楔子议题——尤其是在构成这位共和党提名人政治基本盘的、选民众多的郊区社区。
“It’s pretty simple. She’s got to keep the progressives excited without giving suburban moderates a reason to walk away,” said Democratic former state Sen. David Carlucci, now a lobbyist in Albany. “Hochul knows that the suburbs are the road to Albany and she doesn’t need to have the suburban community love every Democrat she’s standing with. She needs to convince them she’ll act independently in their interests.”Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, is trying to turn Mamdani into a wedge issue — especially in the vote-rich suburbs that make up the Republican nominee’s political base.
他在马姆达尼未出席罗纳德·希克斯大主教就职典礼后，指责这位纽约市长反犹太、反基督教。布莱克曼的竞选团队将霍楚尔描绘成马姆达尼那套宏大、昂贵议程的傀儡。他还警告称，马姆达尼的公共安全做法将让弱势群体——包括该州庞大的犹太人口——面临风险。
He’s accused the New York City mayor of being antisemitic and anti-Christian after Mamdani did not attend the installation of Archbishop Ronald Hicks. Blakeman’s campaign casts Hochul as a puppet for Mamdani’s expansive, costly agenda. And he’s warned that Mamdani’s approach to public safety will leave vulnerable people — including the state’s large Jewish population — at risk.
利用这位极具两极分化色彩的民主社会主义者，在郊区社区以及去年市长选举中支持马姆达尼对手安德鲁·库莫的纽约市温和至保守社区，可能会带来最大的政治回报。
Capitalizing on the polarizing democratic socialist will potentially pay the greatest dividends in suburban communities and moderate-to-conservative neighborhoods of New York City, which backed Mamdani's rival Andrew Cuomo in last year’s mayoral election.
“曼马达尼市长——他没有兑现任何承诺，”布莱克曼最近说。“他说会让生活更负担得起；现在比他当市长时更不负担得起了。”曼马达尼的联盟——主要由担心生活成本的年轻选民组成——已经疏远了许多对社会主义持怀疑态度且支持以色列的年长纽约人。不过，霍楚尔仍保留了该州不同犹太社区中一些人的支持。她在哈马斯10月7日袭击事件几天后前往以色列。
“Mayor Mamdani — he hasn’t fulfilled any promises he’s made,” Blakeman said recently. “He said he’d make it more affordable; it’s less affordable now then when he became mayor.”Mamdani’s coalition — composed mainly of younger voters fretting about the cost of living — has alienated many older New Yorkers distrustful of socialism and supportive of Israel. Hochul, though, has retained support from some of the state’s varying Jewish communities. She traveled to Israel days after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks.
受到犹太教堂附近亲巴勒斯坦抗议活动的推动，这位州长在奥尔巴尼支持一项在宗教场所周围设立“缓冲区”的措施。她还签署了新的联邦税收抵免，旨在鼓励向私立和教会学校捐款——这一举动激怒了该州有影响力的教师工会。
Prompted by pro-Palestinian protests near synagogues, the governor backed a measure in Albany creating “buffer zones” around houses of worship. And she signed onto the new federal tax credit meant to encourage donations to private and parochial schools — a move that angered the state’s influential teachers union.
这些举动让一些犹太领袖感到高兴。她正在犹太人聚居的布鲁克林社区竞选，并上周在哈德逊河谷一个极端正统派聚居地基里亚斯乔尔参加了一场为她本人举办的大型集会。
These moves have thrilled some Jewish leaders. She is campaigning in heavily Jewish Brooklyn neighborhoods and attended a massive rally for herself last week in Kiryas Joel, an ultra-Orthodox enclave in the Hudson Valley.
“这位州长深切关心我的社区，并明白犹太社区是纽约这幅美丽马赛克的一部分，”代表布鲁克林伯勒公园的州议员辛查·艾兴施泰因说，伯勒公园是以色列以外最大的正统派和哈西迪犹太社区之一。
“This is a governor who cares deeply about my community and understands that the Jewish community is part of the beautiful mosaic that is New York,” said Assemblymember Simcha Eichenstein, who represents Brooklyn’s Borough Park, home to one of the largest Orthodox and Hasidic Jewish communities outside of Israel.
他形容霍楚尔是“犹太人民的捍卫者”。不过，围绕以色列的政治对这位州长来说依然棘手。布莱克曼将成为纽约州第三位犹太裔州长，他警告犹太选民，如果他们的社区遭到袭击，曼马达尼不会来援助。霍楚尔还在最近接受《政治》杂志的乔纳森·马丁采访时承认，如果以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡连任失败，她的工作会更容易一些。本周以色列选举后，尚未出现明确的胜选者。
He described Hochul as “a champion of the Jewish people.”Still, the politics surrounding Israel remain tricky for the governor. Blakeman, who would be New York’s third Jewish governor, has warned Jewish voters that Mamdani would not come to their aid if their neighborhoods come under attack. Hochul also acknowledged in a recent interview with POLITICO’s Jonathan Martin that it would make her job easier if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lost reelection. After elections in Israel this week, no clear winner has emerged.
“我们必须在那里拥有领导层，他们要明白以色列的安全至关重要——对我而言至关重要，对世界也是如此——同时还要有一个安全的巴勒斯坦国，这一点我一生都在谈论，”她说。“我仍然相信这可以实现。我相信我们需要找到有善意的人来实现这一点，只要内塔尼亚胡还坐在那里，他就不会有意这样做。事实如此，也不会实现。”
“We have to have leadership there that understands the security of Israel is paramount — critically important to me, but also the world — but to have a safe Palestinian state as well, which has been talked about my entire life,” she said. “I still believe that this can happen. I believe we have to get people of goodwill who can make this happen, and as long as Netanyahu is sitting there, that is not in his interest to do that. It’s just not, and it won’t happen.”
同样，她争取黑人选民支持的努力——选举前纽约市议会议长阿德里安·亚当斯作为她的竞选搭档，走访黑人教堂，并经常抨击特朗普——也预计会取得成效。最新的锡耶纳民调显示，她获得了86%黑人选民的支持。
Similarly, her efforts to keep a base of Black support — selecting former New York City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams as her running mate, visiting Black churches and routinely blasting Trump — are also expected to pay off. The most recent Siena poll found she is drawing support from 86% of Black voters.
沙普顿指出她在黑人社区的高曝光度。州长也一直在拉拢他，出席了他的生日派对和他的MSNOW节目庆祝活动。
Sharpton pointed to her visibility in Black neighborhoods. The governor has also courted him, attending his birthday party and a celebration for his MSNOW show.
“我对州长印象深刻，”他说。“我认为她在担任副州长时被低估了。”说服左倾选民支持州长连任是另一个挑战。
“I was impressed with the governor,” he said. “I think she was underestimated as lieutenant governor.”Convincing left-leaning voters to back the governor’s reelection is a different challenge.
霍赫尔反对提高所得税率，尽管她并未完全排除明年提出增税的可能性。她此前因选择谁来领导该州最高法院一事与左翼发生冲突——该提名在民主党占主导地位的州参议院被否决。
Hochul has opposed higher income tax rates, though she has not fully ruled out proposing increases next year. She previously clashed with the left over her choice to lead the state’s highest court — a nomination that was rejected in the Democratic-dominated state Senate.
然而，霍赫尔与马姆达尼建立了工作关系，两人在扩大纽约免费托儿服务这一共同优先事项上达成了共识。她还支持对纽约市昂贵的第二套住房征收一项狭义的税收，税收收入专门用于马姆达尼的预算。
Yet Hochul has forged a working relationship with Mamdani, bonding over the shared priority of expanding no-cost child care in New York. She also backed the creation of a narrow tax on costly New York City second homes, with the revenue earmarked for Mamdani’s budget.
这位市长预计明年将在奥尔巴尼再次推动富人税计划，目前正为州长拉票——这是他明年可能兑现的一种人情。支持州长的马姆达尼盟友们也在左倾的“工人家族党”党线上为她投票，这一举动旨在向霍赫尔传递左翼政治力量日益壮大的信号。
The mayor, who is expected to again undertake a tax-the-rich push in Albany next year, is stumping for the governor — a chit that he can potentially cash in next year. Mamdani’s allies backing the governor are also casting ballots for her on the left-leaning Working Families Party line — a move aimed at sending a message to Hochul about the left’s surging political power.
“在我看来，与市长一起竞选，是她既能吸引选民、利用他的平台，又能与那些即使在大选中也通常不属于她基本盘的左翼选民对话，所能做的最明智之事，”民主社会主义者、州参议员朱莉娅·萨拉扎尔说。
“Campaigning with the mayor in my opinion is the smartest thing that she can be doing both for appealing to voters, taking advantage of his platform, but also speaking to left-wing voters who are just not normally part of her base even in the general election,” state Sen. Julia Salazar, a democratic socialist, said.
这些努力巩固了一种在纽约州长与市长之间不寻常的政治联盟——而这一联盟明年很可能会接受考验。
The efforts have solidified a political alliance unusual between New York governors and mayors — and one that will likely be tested next year.
目前，马姆达尼正充当布莱克曼的尖锐批评者，为州长制作短视频，旨在选举临近之际为她带来最后的助力。市长本周表示，他相信自己的选民会为她投票。
For now, Mamdani is serving as an acerbic Blakeman critic, cutting short-form videos for the governor all in an effort to give her a final jolt in the waning days of the election. The mayor this week said he was confident his voters will turn out for her.
“我听到许多纽约人说，他们对州长所交付的具体成果感到兴奋，”他说。
“What I’ve heard from many New Yorkers is an excitement about the tangible things the governor has delivered,” he said.