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南华早报

日本和中国都可以帮助孟加拉国充分发挥潜力Both Japan and China can help Bangladesh reach its full potential

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在日出之国,孟加拉国期盼着一个新的黎明。随着总理塔里克·拉赫曼访问日本而带来的希望,超越了签署的协议或预期的财政支持。它展现了一个摆脱威权统治的国家,渴望将其新的政治声音转化为更大的经济机遇和选择自由。

In the Land of the Rising Sun, Bangladesh looks forward to a new dawn. The hope that comes with Prime Minister Tarique Rahman’s visit to Japan goes beyond the deals signed or the financial support expected. It shows a country that has emerged from authoritarian rule and wants to turn its new political voice into bigger economic chances and freedom of choice.

对于一个由人民选择的政府而言,外交政策必须回答一个问题:它如何为赋予其权力的民众改善生活?孟加拉国需要就业、稳定的能源、强大的工业以及民众信任的机构。其外交应有助于实现这些目标,同时维护孟加拉国自主决定道路的能力,而不陷入大国争端之中。

For a government chosen by the people, foreign policy must answer one question: how does it make life better for the people who gave it power? Bangladesh needs employment, steady energy, strong industries and institutions that people trust. Its diplomacy should help those goals while preserving Bangladesh’s ability to decide its path without getting caught in the fights of larger powers.

日本在这方面的努力中发挥了作用。它在孟加拉国独立后不久就对其表示欢迎,当时饱受战争蹂躏的国家不得不进行重建。随着时间的推移,日本帮助建设了道路、 ports和其他基础设施,使经济得以增长。达卡的地铁、机场的第三航站楼以及马塔巴利港的开发,展现了历经不同政府和代际考验依然持久的友谊。

Japan plays a role in that effort. It welcomed Bangladesh soon after independence, when a war‑scarred nation had to rebuild. Over time, Japan helped build the roads, ports and other infrastructure that let the economy grow. Dhaka’s metro, the airport’s third terminal and the development of the Matarbari port show a friendship that has endured across governments and generations.

这种持续的伙伴关系正是此次访问意义重大的原因。孟加拉国回归民主,为通过在国内承担更多责任来巩固旧有友谊提供了机遇。对于拉赫曼和日本首相高市早苗而言,面临的挑战是将这种信任转化为切实成果:将公路和港口与工厂连接起来,将技术与技能相匹配,并将这种善意转化为能够在全球市场上实际竞争的企业。

That ongoing partnership is why this visit is so significant. Bangladesh’s return to democracy provides an opportunity to build on the old friendship by being more accountable at home. For Rahman and Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the challenge is to turn that trust into tangible outcomes: link roads and ports with factories, match technology with skills and turn that goodwill into companies that can actually compete in the global market.

他们10月27日会晤的联合声明为这一雄心规划了路径。升级后的孟加拉湾产业增长带项目——被称为“实现共同繁荣的BIG-B”——涵盖了互联互通、经济实力和公私合营。它将孟加拉国设想为一个连接孟加拉湾周边工业、能源和贸易的枢纽。这一愿景的成功取决于各部分如何协同合作。2025预计日本的私人投资在五年内可能达到1万亿日元(合63亿美元),潜在创造20万个工作岗位。

The joint statement from their October 27 meeting gives this ambition a path. The upgraded Bay of Bengal Industrial Growth Belt project – called “BIG-B for Shared Prosperity” – encompasses connectivity, economic strength and public‑private partnership. It imagines Bangladesh as a hub that connects industry, energy and trade around the Bay of Bengal. The success of that vision depends on how all the parts work together. Projected Japanese private investment could reach 1 trillion yen (US$6.3 billion) over five years, potentially creating 200,000 jobs.

尽管这只是一个预测,但这个数字显示了机遇的规模。将这些机会转化为就业需要持续推进海关、许可证、可靠电力和清晰规则方面的工作。

While it is a projection, that number shows the size of the opportunity. Turning these chances into jobs needs ongoing work on customs, licensing, reliable power and clear rules.

日本也可以从中受益。一个富有成效的孟加拉国提供了制造业机遇、市场需求以及南亚与东南亚之间更好的联系。日本企业可以带来技术、管理专长以及获得既定生产网络的渠道。孟加拉国可以提供劳动力、企业家和一个不断增长的市场。持久的友谊将从这种交流中生长出来,也将从那些在仪式的欢迎结束后仍有理由留下的企业中生长出来。

Japan can also benefit. A productive Bangladesh offers manufacturing opportunities, market demand and better links between South and Southeast Asia. Japanese companies can bring technology, management know-how and access to established production networks. Bangladesh can offer workers, entrepreneurs and a growing market. A lasting friendship will grow from that exchange and from companies that have reasons to stay after the ceremonial welcome.

堆放在孟加拉国吉大港的货运集装箱,摄于2月1日。照片来源:法新社Stacks of freight containers at Bangladesh’s Chattogram Port, on February 1. Photo: AFP

这种伙伴关系符合也包括中国的东方视角。孟加拉国6月与北京发表的联合声明推动了在工业、贸易、绿色能源和互联互通方面的合作,包括蒙格拉港的现代化改造和吉大港工业区的建设。这些承诺对孟加拉国的未来依然重要。与东京关系的拉近不会影响孟加拉国与中国的持续友谊。

This partnership fits into a view of the East that also includes China. Bangladesh’s joint statement in June with Beijing pushes cooperation in industry, trade, green energy and connectivity, including modernising the Mongla port and building an industrial zone in Chittagong. Those promises remain important for Bangladesh’s future. Closer ties with Tokyo will not affect Bangladesh’s ongoing friendship with China.

它们之间有互补的空间。更好的交通和能源供应可以帮助制造商,无论他们的资金来源如何。中国设备、日本产业专长和孟加拉国企业都可以滋养同一个不断增长的经济。这种合作需要合同、坚实的标准和良好的商业头脑。当竞争发生时,孟加拉国应着眼于成本、可靠性、安全性以及对工人和供应商的好处。

There is room for them to complement each other. Better transport and energy supply can help manufacturers no matter where their money comes from. Chinese equipment, Japanese industrial expertise and Bangladeshi enterprise can all feed the same growing economy. That cooperation needs contracts, solid standards and good business sense. When competition occurs, Bangladesh should look at cost, reliability, security and the benefits to workers and suppliers.

印度继续庇护前总理谢赫·哈西娜并允许她在其领土上进行政治活动,这让孟加拉国感到更加不安。持久的友谊必须建立在一个国家的人民之上,而不是某一个领导人或政党。新德里表示,达卡的引渡请求仍在法律审查中。重建信任同样需要对孟加拉国的苦难及其民主梦想保持政治敏感性。印度对此的回应将塑造建立在平等、相互信任和尊重基础上的关系机遇。

India continues to shelter former prime minister Sheikh Hasina and allows her to conduct political activities from its territory, which has made Bangladesh more uncomfortable. Lasting friendship must be built with a country’s people, not one leader or party. New Delhi says Dhaka’s extradition request remains under legal examination. Rebuilding trust also needs political sensitivity to Bangladesh’s suffering and its democratic dreams. India’s answer to that will shape the chances for a relationship based on equality, mutual trust and respect.

国内的政治意愿和承诺也极为重要。拥有人民授权的政府必须使合同接受公开审查、加强机构建设,并确保经济机遇延伸至任何特权利益集团之外。投资者需要对规则有信心;公民需要对这些规则保护公共利益有信心。当问责制成为优先事项和实践时,民主复兴可以为两者提供帮助。

Political will and commitment at home are also very important. A government with the people’s mandate must make contracts open to review, strengthen institutions and ensure economic opportunities extend beyond any privileged interest groups. Investors need confidence in the rules; citizens need confidence that those rules protect the public interest. Democratic renewal can help both when accountability becomes a priority and practice.

各项优先事项已经就位。帮助国内企业成为供应商。将培训与雇主需求挂钩。在增加任何经济论据尚不充分的新项目之前,先利用现有基础设施。公布融资承诺并追踪实际收到的投资、实际产生的出口和实际维持的就业。与日本的农业合作框架有一个工作组,可以把宏大构想转化为实际行动。

The priorities are in place. Help domestic firms become suppliers. Link training to employer needs. Use existing infrastructure before you add any new projects whose economic case is still not fully established. Publish the financing commitments and track the actual investment received, actual exports generated and actual jobs sustained. The agriculture co-op framework with Japan has a working group that can take big ideas and turn them into real action.

过去17年来,孟加拉国外交政策严重向印度倾斜。民主复兴提供了一个机遇,可以围绕人民自身的意愿重新定义孟加拉国在地区的地位。

For the 17 years, Bangladesh’s foreign policy leaned heavily towards India. Democratic renewal offers an opportunity to redefine Bangladesh’s position in the region around the will of the people themselves.

与日本的伙伴关系对于实现这些愿望具有巨大价值,与中国及更广泛地区建立建设性关系也是如此。当那个黎明的光芒能够在人民的生活中被看到时,一个新的黎明才具有意义。

Partnership with Japan can be of immense value in realising those aspirations, as can forging constructive relations with China and the wider region. A new dawn will have meaning when the light of that dawn can be seen in the lives of the people.

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