2026年10月30日，在华盛顿特区白宫椭圆形办公室，美国副总统万斯聆听美国总统唐纳德·特朗普接待斯蒂芬·哈伯德。
US Vice President JD Vance listens to US President Donald Trump as he hosts Stephen Hubbard in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on October 30, 2026.
ALEX WROBLEWSKI/AFP via Getty Images 周四在得克萨斯州韦瑟福德的一次演讲中，副总统万斯似乎很享受顺便嘲讽民主党参议员候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科的机会。
ALEX WROBLEWSKI/AFP via Getty Images At a Thursday speech in Weatherford, Texas, Vice President JD Vance seemed to relish the opportunity to snipe at Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico.
“现在，詹姆斯·塔拉里科还说，除了白人身份之外，他真的必须与自己的男子气概作斗争，”万斯说。“你知道吗，詹姆斯，好消息是，根本没什么好斗争的，”他在人群的欢呼声中结束了讲话。
"Now James Talarico has also said that he really has to grapple with his masculinity in addition to his whiteness," Vance said. "And you know, James, the good news is, there ain't a whole lot to grapple with," he finished to cheers from the crowd.
万斯发表这番演讲的当天下午，总统特朗普在南卡罗来纳州罗克希尔发表了讲话，作为其中期选举前密集集会的一部分。虽然万斯的演讲风格与总统有所不同——更少一些滑稽喜剧演员的色彩，更多一些老练政客的做派——但其中包含了大量MAGA（让美国再次伟大）的基因，从侮辱候选人的男子气概到承诺恢复美国的伟大。所有这一切都让人感受到，一旦2028年竞选明年全面展开，万斯的总统竞选纲领可能会是什么样子。
Vance gave the speech the same afternoon that President Trump spoke in Rock Hill, South Carolina, as part of his pre-midterm blitz of rallies. And while Vance's delivery was different from the president's – less borscht-belt comedian, more practiced politician – it contained plenty of MAGA DNA, from insulting a candidate's masculinity to promising a return of American greatness. It all gives a sense of what a Vance presidential pitch might look like once 2028 campaigns begin in earnest next year.
万斯在他的演讲中描绘了一幅他童年时期美国的美好画卷——本周在北卡罗来纳州，他唤起了美国人在2001年9月11日之后拥有的“自豪感、团结感和同舟共济感”。
Vance paints a rosy picture of the America of his youth, in his speeches – in North Carolina this week he invoked the "sense of pride and unity and fellowship" Americans had after September 11, 2001.
他在多次演讲中补充了这一信息，回忆起他的童年橄榄球队是由当地小企业赞助的。
He added to that message in multiple speeches remembering his childhood football teams being sponsored by local small businesses.
“我清晰地记得，看着我的旧球衣，看到那些赞助过这些球队的企业名字，并意识到我效力过的大多数球队，那些企业已经不复存在了，”他在密歇根州豪厄尔说。“它们是远方政客的牺牲品，那些政客根本不在乎密歇根州或俄亥俄州发生了什么，而付出代价的是我们。” 文化斗士 这是一个关于诺曼·洛克威尔式的美国愿景被华盛顿精英玷污的故事。万斯讲述的故事是，他的民粹主义政治品牌可以把它带回来。
"I distinctly remember looking in my old jerseys and seeing the names of the businesses that had sponsored those teams and realizing that most of the teams I played for, those businesses no longer existed," he said in Howell, Michigan "They were casualties of politicians in a faraway place who didn't give a damn what happened to Michigan or Ohio, and it was us that paid the consequences." Culture warrior It's a story about a Norman Rockwell vision of America corrupted by Washington elites. The story Vance tells is that his brand of populist politics can bring that back.
但这不仅关乎经济；万斯大力倾注于特朗普执政期间经历的文化战争。在关于儿童橄榄球的故事中，万斯谈到了早在“黑人的命也是命”运动出现之前的种族和谐：“工人阶级黑人家庭的孩子和工人阶级白人家庭的孩子会一起踢橄榄球，彼此欢呼，从不担心他们的肤色或谁拥有更多特权，”他在北卡罗来纳州对人群说。
But it's not just about economics; Vance leans hard into the culture wars fought during the Trump years. In his stories about peewee football, Vance talks about racial harmony well before the advent of Black Lives Matter: "the children of working-class Black families and the children of working-class white families would play football together, would cheer with one another, would never worry about the color of their skin or who had more privilege," he told the crowd in North Carolina.
这相当于对特朗普的反觉醒MAGA信息进行了更传统、更雄辩的包装。然而，万斯在他的言论中也在尝试粗俗的表达，偶尔爆粗口或在得克萨斯州的讲台上对人群说他“热得蛋都要流汗了”。
It amounts to a more traditional, more eloquent packaging of Trump's anti-woke MAGA message. However, Vance also is experimenting with crassness in his remarks, dropping the occasional swear word or telling the Texas crowd he was "sweating my balls off" at the podium.
万斯目前的挑战在于，在效力的共和党总统不受欢迎的同时，还要为共和党候选人造势。
The challenge for Vance right now is in promoting GOP candidates while the Republican president he serves is unpopular.
这种挑战在总统的政策直接导致经济困境的地方尤为严峻。万斯在竞选演讲中通常不会提及伊朗战争——这场战争导致汽油和柴油价格飙升——但他确实将伊朗战争引发的油价上涨归咎于地缘政治的不幸和反复出现的结果：“还记得2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰时油价飙升吗？顺便说一句，当时的飙升幅度远高于今天，”他告诉蒙大拿州的一群人。
That challenge is particularly acute where the president's policies have directly caused economic woes. Vance doesn't tend to bring up the Iran War up in his stump speeches – a war that sent gas and diesel prices spiraling upward – but he does cast the gas prices caused by the Iran war as an unfortunate, recurring result of geopolitics: "Remember in 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine and gas prices skyrocketed?
“它们在1979年飙升。它们在2001年飙升。它们在2007年飙升。每当某个独裁者决定发脾气时，它们就会飙升。” 同样，万斯也承认牛肉价格高昂，将其归咎于肉类加工商的整合问题，同时回避了特朗普自身的政策已经激怒了牛肉生产商这一事实 反欺诈沙皇 今年穿插在他的竞选演讲中的，还有以总统特朗普反欺诈特别工作组负责人身份的公开露面，该工作组的目标是根除社会安全网计划中的渎职行为。该工作组为万斯提供了履历素材以及讲述个人故事的机会。
They skyrocketed, by the way, far higher than they are today," he told a Montana crowd "They skyrocketed in 1979. They skyrocketed in 2001. They skyrocketed in 2007. They skyrocket every time some tin pot dictator decides to throw a tantrum." Likewise, Vance has acknowledged the high price of beef, casting it as a problem of consolidation among meatpackers, while sidestepping that Trump's own policies have angered beef producers Anti-fraud czar Interspersed with his campaign speeches this year have been appearances as the head of President Trump's anti-fraud task force, which has a goal of rooting out malfeasance in social safety net programs. The task force provides Vance with both resume material and an opportunity to talk about his personal story.
“我在一家杂货店当了几年收银员，这是我的第一份工作，迪伦食品公司，距离我们今天站立的地方大概有20英里，”他上周在辛辛那提对人群说。“我的很多家人也受益于这些由联邦税收资金提供的食品福利计划。” 万斯最初因回忆录而步入政坛，该书讲述了他在贫困的俄亥俄州南部农村长大的经历。
"I worked as a cashier at a grocery store for a couple of years, this was my very first job, Dhillon Foods, probably 20 miles from where we're standing today," he told a crowd in Cincinnati last week. "I also had a lot of members of my family benefit from these food benefit programs provided by federal tax dollars." Vance was first propelled onto the political scene as a result of his memoir about growing up in poor, rural southern Ohio.
他的生平履历赋予了他一些特朗普总统所不具备的政治工具，比如能够以个人身份谈论服兵役和经济困境。
His biography gives him some political tools that President Trump does not have, like the ability to talk personally about military service and economic difficulties.
然而，民众喜爱特朗普并不是因为他的生平具有亲和力，而是因为他的大放厥词和毫不掩饰的愤怒。任何意图参选2028年的共和党候选人面临的挑战都在于，如何效仿特朗普持续了十多年、独一无二的政治表演，以及有什么东西——如果有的话——能够在共和党选民心中取代这种表演。JD Vance White House
However, crowds loved Trump not because of his biographical relatability but because of his bombast and unfiltered anger. The challenge for any would-be 2028 Republican candidate is figuring out how to follow Trump's singular, decade-plus-long performance, and what – if anything – can replace that in the hearts of GOP voters. JD Vance White House