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美国中期选举前美元下跌、油价走低;加密货币盗窃案后比特币企稳Dollar declines ahead of US midterms as oil falls; bitcoin steadies after crypto theft

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资料图片:2026年3月24日拍摄的插图中所见的美元纸币。路透社/达多·鲁维奇/插图/资料图片FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

纽约,11月2日:周一,随着油价暴跌、股市上涨,美元有所回落。本周将迎来一系列催化剂,包括美国中期选举、大量美国劳动力市场数据以及多家央行的利率决策。

NEW YORK, Nov 2 : The dollar eased on Monday as oil prices tumbled and equities climbed ahead of a week full of catalysts, including the US midterm elections, a host of data on the US labor market and multiple central bank rate decisions.

由于伊朗和卡塔尔官员就结束美以与伊朗之间的战争继续进行谈判,中东地区供应中断的希望有所减轻,原油价格下跌了约6%。

Crude prices tumbled about 6 per cent as continuing talks between Iranian and Qatari officials on ending the US-Israeli war with Iran lifted hopes for reduced disruptions to supply from the Middle East.

油价回落有助于提振股市,此前纳斯达克在2025年3月以来出现了最大的月度百分比跌幅,主要原因是人们对公司在新兴人工智能技术上进行大规模支出的担忧日益增加。

The easing of oil prices helped buoy stocks after the Nasdaq suffered in October its biggest monthly percentage decline since March 2025, largely due to growing concerns about massive spending by companies on the emerging AI technology.

“总体而言,我们看到的只是一个有韧性的市场。油价方面,12月WTI原油周五曾触及105,而现在已跌破100,”纽约班诺克伯恩资本市场公司首席市场策略师马克·钱德勒表示。

"What we have broadly is just a resilient market. Oil prices, the December WTI tested 105 on Friday, and we're below 100 now," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets in New York.

“进入周末时,一切看起来都很糟糕。股市已经抛售,12月WTI原油处于新合约高位。周末结束后,我们回来时,这真是一片如释重负的集体叹息。”衡量美元对包括日元和欧元在内的一篮子货币汇率的美元指数下跌0.38%,报101.59,有望创下自10月15日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅。

"When we went into the weekend, everything looked bad. Stocks had sold off, oil was at new contract highs in the December WTI. And we come back from the weekend, and this is a collective sigh of relief." The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.38 per cent to 101.59 and was on track for its biggest daily percentage decline since October 15.

欧元上涨0.48%,报1.1212美元,即使在惠誉周五晚些时候将法国的评级展望从“稳定”下调至“负面”之后也是如此。制造业指数10月回升 在数据方面,供应管理协会表示,其制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)上个月升至55.5,而9月为54.5,投入价格仍处于高位。

The euro was up 0.48 per cent at $1.1212, even after late Friday's revision by Fitch of France's outlook to "negative" from "stable." MANUFACTURING INDEX RISES IN OCTOBER On the data front, the Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) increased to 55.5 last month from 54.5 in September, while input prices remained elevated.

本周市场还将面对大量劳动力市场数据,将在周五迎来政府关键的10月非农就业报告作为高潮。

Markets will also deal with a flurry of data on the labor market this week, culminating on Friday with the government's key October payrolls report.

S&P Global欧元区制造业采购经理人指数显示,该地区制造业活动在10月保持了良好的增长势头,但随着新订单增长放缓,能源成本上升和供应链中断挤压利润空间,增长有所减弱。

The S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing PMI showed manufacturing activity growth in the region held up well in October, albeit easing as new order growth slowed and rising costs from energy and supply-chain disruptions squeezed margins.

包括英国、澳大利亚、挪威和瑞典在内的多家央行本周将发布政策声明。

Multiple central banks are scheduled to issue policy statements this week, including those in Britain, Australia, Norway and Sweden.

加密货币市场在币安遭黑客攻击后趋于稳定 在加密货币领域,比特币下跌0.06%,报77,765.90美元;以太币上涨1.06%,报2,286.31美元,在上周全球最大加密货币交易所币安遭受创纪录的63亿美元黑客攻击后略有稳定。

CRYPTO MARKETS STEADY AFTER BINANCE HACK In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 0.06 per cent to $77,765.90 and ether rose 1.06 per cent to $2,286.31, steadying slightly following last week's record $6.3 billion heist at Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange.

币安公司表示,自遭受黑客攻击后重新开放以来,该全球最大加密货币交易所的客户已提取了近50亿美元。

Binance's customers have withdrawn almost $5 billion from the world's biggest cryptocurrency exchange since it reopened after the hack, the company said.

美国人周二前往投票站,决定民主党能否从美国总统特朗普领导的共和党手中夺取国会控制权,经济和高物价是选民关注的关键问题。民主党被广泛预测将赢得众议院控制权,但夺取参议院控制权可能更加困难。

Americans head to the polls on Tuesday to determine whether Democrats can wrest control of Congress from US President Donald Trump's Republican Party, with the economy and high prices key issues among voters. Democrats are widely predicted to win the House of Representatives, but wresting control of the Senate may prove more difficult.

英镑上涨0.22%,报1.3424美元。采购经理人指数数据显示,英国制造商在2026年最后一个季度开始时录得两年多来最强劲的产出增长,尽管成本快速上升可能令英格兰银行感到担忧,该央行本周看起来将加息。

Sterling strengthened 0.22 per cent to $1.3424. PMI data showed British manufacturers started the final quarter of 2026 with the strongest output growth in more than two years, although fast-rising costs may worry the Bank of England, which looks set to raise interest rates this week.

对日元而言,美元上涨0.08%,报157.66日元。日本央行在其季度展望报告的完整版本中表示,日本的实际利率最近有所上升,尤其是在长期和超长期区间。

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.08 per cent to 157.66. Japan's real interest rates have risen recently, especially in the long- and super-long zones, the central bank said in a full version of its quarterly outlook report.

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