美国选民将于11月3日前往投票站，参加一场可能改变唐纳德·特朗普总统任期最后两年走向的选举。共和党试图守住其在国会的微弱多数优势，而民主党则希望夺回众议院、参议院或两院控制权。
Americans head to the polls on November 3 in an election that could change the course of Donald Trump’s final two years in office. Republicans are trying to hold on to narrow majorities in Congress, while Democrats are hoping to take back the House, the Senate or both. There are three main possibilities: Democrats win the House, but Republicans keep the Senate; Democrats take control of both chambers; or Republicans hold on to both. Each outcome would shape how easily Trump can push his agenda and how much Congress can hold his administration to account. For India, the stakes go beyond US politics.
主要有三种可能：民主党赢得众议院，但共和党保住参议院；民主党控制两院；或共和党守住两院。每种结果都将决定特朗普推行其议程的难易程度，以及国会对其政府进行制衡的力度。
The results could influence debates over trade and tariffs, H-1B visas and immigration, as well as the wider India-US relationship. Here are the key races and what each possible outcome could mean for Trump, and for India: America votes: the fight for Congress Who controls the House and the Senate for the rest of Donald Trump’s term?
对印度而言，利害关系超越了美国政治。选举结果可能影响贸易和关税、H-1B签证及移民等议题的辩论，以及更广泛的美印关系。以下是关键竞选及各种可能结果对特朗普和印度的意义：美国大选：国会控制权之争谁将在唐纳德·特朗普剩余任期内控制众议院和参议院？以下是利害所在，以及选举之夜将如何展开。
Here is what is at stake, and how the night will unfold. Seat counts are before the vote. Forecasts are Decision Desk HQ’s, updated Nov 2; they are probabilities, not results. ★Live 435 seats up 35 seats up 36 races 53.1 million by Nov 1 Democrats 84% House, 64% Senate 5:30 am IST Wednesday
席位数为投票前数据。预测为Decision Desk HQ的数据，更新于11月2日；为概率，非结果。★实时435个席位改选35个席位改选36场竞选截至11月1日，5310万张选票民主党众议院胜率84%，参议院胜率64%周三上午5:30（印度标准时间）435个席位改选35个席位改选36场竞选截至11月1日，5310万张选票民主党众议院胜率84%，参议院胜率64%周三上午5:30（印度标准时间）01权力平衡众议院 · 435席214民主党对218共和党民主党 214独立人士 1空缺 2共和党 218暂停 播放众议院所有435个席位均参与选举。
435 seats up 35 seats up 36 races 53.1 million by Nov 1 Democrats 84% House, 64% Senate 5:30 am IST Wednesday 01The balance of power The House · 435 seats 214Democrats
现状共和党占218席。民主党占214席。1席由独立人士持有，2席空缺。控制线控制权需218席。01权力平衡参议院 · 100席47民主党+盟友对53共和党民主党 45独立人士 2共和党 53暂停 播放参议院100席中有35席改选。共和党守住22席，民主党守住13席。现状共和党占据 53 个席位。民主党占据 45 个席位，另有两名与其结盟的独立议员。
vs 218Republicans Democrats 214 Independent 1 Vacant 2 Republicans 218 Pause Play The House Every one of the 435 seats is on the ballot. Where it stands Republicans hold 218. Democrats hold 214. One seat is held by an independent and two are vacant. The line Control takes 218 seats. 01The balance of power The Senate · 100 seats 47Democrats + allies vs 53Republicans Democrats 45 Independents 2 Republicans 53
关键线控制参议院需要 51 个席位。若出现 50–50 平局，副总统 J·D·万斯将为共和党投下决定性一票。4民主党必须净增个席位，才能夺取控制权。02 流程投票如何运作5310 万截至 11 月 1 日周日早晨已投出的提前选票：约 2900 万张现场投票，2300 万张邮寄投票。2022 年中期选举整个提前投票期共 4600 万张。
Pause Play The Senate 35 of the 100 seats are up. Republicans defend 22 of them, Democrats 13. Where it stands Republicans hold 53. Democrats hold 45, plus two independents who caucus with them. The line Control takes 51. At 50–50, Vice President JD Vance breaks ties for Republicans. 4 The net number of seats Democrats must gain, , to take control. 02The process How the vote works
2026 年，截至 11 月 1 日5310 万2022 年，整个提前投票期4600 万佛罗里达大学分析，经半岛电视台发布。提前选票不显示选民的具体选择。我投了★ ★ ★ 1提前投票和邮寄投票选票已陆续寄出数周。规则因州而异。2选举日，11 月 3 日投票站分六个时区分批关闭，从印第安纳州和肯塔基州部分地区的美国东部时间下午 6 点，到阿拉斯加阿留申群岛的凌晨 1 点。
53.1million ballots cast early by Sunday morning, Nov 1: about 29 million in person and 23 million by mail. The whole 2022 midterm early vote was 46 million. 2026, by Nov 1 53.1m 2022, whole early vote 46m University of Florida analysis, via Al Jazeera. Early votes do not show who people voted for. IVOTED★ ★ ★1 Early and mail voting Ballots have been coming in for weeks. Rules vary by state. 2
3计票与宣布胜选新闻机构根据部分计票结果预测胜选者；这些宣布并非官方结果。邮寄选票计数可能需时数日：俄勒冈州统计选举日当天或之前加盖邮戳、在七天内送达的选票。4决选与排序复选制若无参议员候选人获得过半数选票，佐治亚州将于 12 月 1 日举行决选。阿拉斯加采用排序复选制。5认证各州在投票后数周内认证官方结果。2027 年 1 月 3 日新一届国会宣誓就职。
Election Day, Nov 3 Polls close in waves across six time zones, from 6 pm Eastern in parts of Indiana and Kentucky to 1 am in Alaska’s Aleutian Islands. 3 Counting and calls News organisations project winners from partial counts; those calls are not official. Mail ballots can take days: Oregon counts ballots postmarked by Election Day that arrive within seven days. 4 Runoffs and ranked choice Georgia holds a runoff on Dec 1 if no Senate candidate wins a majority. Alaska uses ranked-choice voting. 5 Certification States certify official results in the weeks after the vote. 6 Jan 3, 2027 The new Congress is sworn in. Closing times and counting rules per Political.org (Oct 27).
关闭投票时间及计票规则据 Political.org（10 月 27 日）资料。03 如何投票美国人如何在 11 月 3 日投出选票1核实登记状态通过 vote.gov 查询您的登记状态，该网站链接至各州选举办公室。部分州允许在选举日当天登记。2查找投票站您所在州或县的选举网站会列出投票站地址。地点可能与上次选举不同。3若州政府要求则携带身份证件身份证件要求由各州自行设定。
03How to vote How Americans cast their ballot on Nov 3 1 Check you are registered Look up your status through vote.gov, which links to every state’s election office. Some states let you register on Election Day itself. 2 Find your polling place Your state or county election website lists it. It may have moved since the last election. 3 Bring ID if your state asks ID rules are set by each state. Some require photo ID, others accept a utility bill or a signature. 4 Vote
部分州要求带照片的身份证，其他州接受水电费账单或签名验证。4投票投票时间由各州自行设定。如果投票站关闭时您正在排队，请留在队中：您仍可投票。5名字不在名单上？
Polling hours are set by each state. If you are in line when polls close, stay in line: you can still vote. 5 Name not on the list? Ask for a provisional ballot. Federal law gives you that right; officials check your eligibility afterwards. 6 Voting by mail? Deadlines differ. Some states need the ballot to arrive by Election Day; others count it if it is postmarked by then. Not a US citizen?
要求一张临时选票。联邦法律赋予您这项权利；官员事后会核实您的资格。6邮寄投票？
Only US citizens can vote in federal elections. Green-card holders and people on H-1B, F-1 or other visas cannot vote in them. A US citizen living in India? Americans abroad vote absentee through the Federal Voting Assistance Program (FVAP.gov). Ballot return deadlines depend on the state where you last lived. Guidance from vote.gov, the US Election Assistance Commission and FVAP. Rules vary by state: check your state election office. 04The forecast Democrats favoured in the House.
截止日期各不相同。一些州要求选票必须在选举日当天或之前送达；其他州则规定只要在选举日当天或之前加盖邮戳即计入统计。非美国公民？
The Senate is closer House 84% chance Democrats win control Projected 241 Democratic seats · 218 needed Senate 64% chance Democrats win control
只有美国公民才能在联邦选举中投票。绿卡持有者以及持有 H-1B、F-1 或其他签证的人员不能在联邦选举中投票。身在印度的美国公民？
Projected 52 Democratic seats · 51 needed Decision Desk HQ forecast, updated Nov 2. Blue: chance of a Democratic majority; red: Republican. A 64% chance still misses about one time in three. 05Reality check Why Democrats may fall short of a landslide 40–50 competitive House seats
海外美国人通过联邦投票援助计划（FVAP.gov）缺席投票。选票寄回截止日期取决于您最后居住的州。
Analysts estimate only 40 to 50 of the 435 seats are truly competitive. Many expect a Democratic majority of perhaps 5 to 20 seats. 10 pts still not enough? Even a 10-point national swing would likely leave Democrats two Senate seats short, says Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman.
指南来源：vote.gov、美国选举援助委员会和联邦投票援助计划。规则因州而异：请咨询您所在州的选举办公室。04 预测民主党在众议院占优。参议院更为胶着众议院84%民主党赢得控制权的几率预计民主党 241 个席位 · 需要 218 个席位参议院64%民主党赢得控制权的几率预计民主党 52 个席位 · 需要 51 个席位Decision Desk HQ 预测，11 月 2 日更新。
2×older voters In 2022, voters aged 50 and over made up nearly twice as much of the electorate as those under 50. Older voters have leaned Republican. $188m ad gap Republicans outspent Democrats by $188 million on Senate battleground ads by the end of September (AdImpact). Trump spent more than $277 million, mostly via MAGA Inc; Elon Musk about $366 million this cycle. 47–35 generic ballot Reuters/Ipsos polling shows registered voters favouring Democrats 47% to 35%. But polls have often underestimated Republicans, most of all when Trump was on the ballot.
蓝色：民主党占多数的几率；红色：共和党。64% 的几率仍意味着约三分之一的情况会落空。05 现实核查为何民主党可能无法大获全胜40–50个竞争激烈的众议院席位分析人士估计，435 个席位中只有 40 到 50 个真正具有竞争力。许多人预计民主党的多数优势可能仅为 5 到 20 个席位。10 个百分点仍不够？
1–2 pts the “socialist” label Republican attacks painting Democrats as socialists could cut the Democratic edge by one or two points in close races, says former Clinton adviser Bill Galston. Reasons given by analysts and strategists to Reuters, Nov 2. 06Four endings Pick an outcome Tap an outcome to see what it would mean 62%Democrats win both 21%Democratic House, Republican Senate 15%Republicans keep both 2%Republican House, Democratic Senate 62% of simulations end with: Democrats win both HouseDemocratic SenateDemocratic What it could mean
库克政治报告的大卫·沃瑟曼表示，即使全国范围出现 10 个百分点的选情摇摆，民主党在参议院仍可能差两个席位。2 倍年长选民2022 年，50 岁及以上选民占选民总数的比例，几乎是 50 岁以下选民的两倍。年长选民倾向共和党。
Democrats control Senate committees, judicial confirmations and cabinet nominations They would likely block many of Trump’s judicial nominees Trump keeps his veto, and most bills still need 60 Senate votes 21% of simulations end with: Democratic House, Republican Senate HouseDemocratic SenateRepublican
1.88 亿美元广告支出差距据 AdImpact 统计，截至 9 月底，共和党在参议院关键战场州的广告支出比民主党多出 1.88 亿美元。特朗普花费超过 2.77 亿美元，主要通过“让美国再次伟大公司”（MAGA Inc）；马斯克本周期投入约 3.66 亿美元。47–35通用选票路透社/益普索民调显示，登记选民中支持民主党者占47%，支持共和党者占35%。
What it could mean Democrats gain House committees, subpoena power and the ability to investigate the administration Senate Republicans can block most Democratic priorities Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Oct 20 there would be “very little” a Democratic House could do to block Trump’s agenda A 50–50 Senate also stays Republican, and a few swing senators become kingmakers 15% of simulations end with: Republicans keep both HouseRepublican SenateRepublican
但民调往往低估共和党支持率，尤其是在特朗普出现在选票上的时候。1–2个百分点“社会主义者”标签前克林顿顾问比尔·加尔顿表示，共和党将民主党描绘成社会主义者的攻击，可能会在势均力敌的竞选中将民主党的优势削减一到两个百分点。分析人士和策略师向路透社给出的理由，11月2日。06四种结局选择一种结果点击一种结果以查看其含义62% 民主党赢得两院 21% 民主党赢众院，共和党守参院 15% 共和党守住两院 2% 共和党赢众院，民主党赢参院62%模拟结果为：民主党赢得两院众院民主党参院民主党可能意味着民主党控制参院委员会、司法提名确认和内阁提名确认他们很可能会阻挠特朗普的许多司法提名人特朗普保留否决权，大多数法案仍需参院60票通过21%模拟结果为：民主党赢众院，共和党守参院众院民主党参院共和党可能意味着民主党获得众院委员会、传票权力和调查政府的能力参院共和党可阻挠大多数民主党优先事项财政部长斯科特·贝森特于10月20日表示，民主党控制的众院“几乎无法”阻挠特朗普的议程50比50的参院仍由共和党控制，少数摇摆参议员成为关键人物15%模拟结果为：共和党守住两院众院共和党参院共和党可能意味着特朗普和共和党将宣称获得新的授权特朗普在提名人和任命方面将面临极少的国会制约政府关门和债务上限对峙的风险将缓解2%模拟结果为：共和党赢众院，民主党赢参院众院共和党参院民主党可能意味着预测者认为这是最不可能的结果，路透社未为此设定情景。
What it could mean Trump and Republicans would claim a fresh mandate Trump would face few congressional constraints on nominees and appointments The risk of shutdown and debt-ceiling showdowns would ease 2% of simulations end with: Republican House, Democratic Senate HouseRepublican SenateDemocratic What it could mean Forecasters see this as the least likely outcome, and Reuters did not set out a scenario for it. Share of Decision Desk HQ simulations, Nov 2. What each outcome could mean: Reuters scenarios, Nov 2.
决策台总部模拟占比，11月2日。各结果可能意味着什么：路透社情景分析，11月2日。07 关键战场控制权将在此决出美国 堪萨斯州 爱荷华州 俄亥俄州 美国参议院势均力敌存在众议院势均力敌选情的州暂停 播放参议院势均力敌选情决策台总部将三场参议院竞选评为势均力敌。这三个席位目前均由共和党人持有。堪萨斯州罗杰·马歇尔（共和党，现任）对阵亚当·汉密尔顿（民主党）民主党获胜几率 50%爱荷华州阿什利·辛森（共和党）对阵乔什·图雷克（民主党）。
07The battleground Where control will be decided United StatesKansasIowaOhioUnited States Senate toss-up State with a House toss-up Pause Play Senate toss-ups Decision Desk HQ rates three Senate races as toss-ups. All three seats are held by Republicans now. Kansas Roger Marshall (R, incumbent) vs Adam Hamilton (D) 50%Democratic chance Iowa Ashley Hinson (R) vs Josh Turek (D). Open seat: Joni Ernst is not running
空缺席位：乔尼·恩斯特不参选民主党获胜几率 53%俄亥俄州乔恩·赫斯特德（共和党，获委任）对阵谢罗德·布朗（民主党），特别选举民主党获胜几率 55%众议院势均力敌选情十个众议院席位势均力敌，民主党获胜几率均在51%至58%之间。
53%Democratic chance Ohio Jon Husted (R, appointed) vs Sherrod Brown (D), special election
佛罗里达州第22选区 德克萨斯州第15选区 德克萨斯州第35选区 爱荷华州第2选区 缅因州第2选区 蒙大拿州第1选区 俄亥俄州第7选区 宾夕法尼亚州第1选区 科罗拉多州第3选区 北卡罗来纳州第11选区决策台总部，11月2日。08 众议院竞选可能决定多数党地位的十场众议院竞选向右滑动 →科罗拉多州第8选区盖布·埃文斯 ★曼尼·鲁蒂内尔特朗普在2024年以1.8个百分点优势赢得该选区。
55%Democratic chance House toss-ups Ten House seats are toss-ups, each with a 51% to 58% Democratic chance. FL-22TX-15TX-35IA-2ME-2MT-1OH-7PA-1CO-3NC-11 Decision Desk HQ, Nov 2. 08House races
该选区近40%为西班牙裔。佛罗里达州第25选区贾里德·莫斯科维茨 斯科特·辛格由佛罗里达州共和党重新划分选区；特朗普在新选区以9至10个百分点优势获胜。莫斯科维茨是现任民主党众议员。爱荷华州第1选区玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯 ★克里斯蒂娜·博汉南双方第三次交锋：博汉南在2022年和2024年落败。民主党在支出上以1100万美元对700万美元领先共和党。
Ten House races that could decide the majority Swipe →Colorado 8 Gabe Evans ★Manny Rutinel Trump won it by 1.8 points in 2024. The district is nearly 40% Hispanic. Florida 25 Jared MoskowitzScott Singer Redrawn by Florida Republicans; Trump carried the new district by 9 to 10 points. Moskowitz is a sitting Democratic congressman. Iowa 1 Mariannette Miller-Meeks ★Christina Bohannan
缅因州第2选区保罗·勒佩奇 马特·邓拉普空缺席位：民主党众议员贾里德·戈登不寻求连任。特朗普以9个百分点优势赢得该选区。预测机构将其评为倾向共和党。蒙大拿州第1选区亚伦·弗林特 萨姆·福斯塔格空缺席位：瑞安·津克不参选。特朗普以近12个百分点优势获胜；10月的两项民调显示福斯塔格微弱领先。北卡罗来纳州第1选区唐·戴维斯 ★劳里·巴克豪特共和党重新划分选区，将其从一个特朗普以3个百分点优势获胜的选区，变为一个他以两位数百分点优势获胜的选区。
Their third contest: Bohannan lost in 2022 and 2024. Democrats have outspent Republicans $11m to $7m. Maine 2 Paul LePageMatt Dunlap Open: Democrat Jared Golden is retiring. Trump won it by 9 points. Forecasters rate it lean Republican. Montana 1 Aaron FlintSam Forstag Open: Ryan Zinke is not running. Trump won by nearly 12 points; two October polls showed Forstag narrowly ahead. North Carolina 1 Don Davis ★Laurie Buckhout Republicans redrew it from a seat Trump won by 3 points into one he carried by double digits. New York 17
纽约州第17选区迈克·劳勒 ★凯特·康利卡玛拉·哈里斯在2024年赢得的三个共和党现任议员席位之一，这使劳勒成为最脆弱的共和党众议员。俄亥俄州第7选区马克斯·米勒 ★布莱恩·波因德克斯特一个曾经稳固的共和党席位如今被视为势均力敌。民主党已斥资约1200万美元，共和党约600万美元。得克萨斯州第15选区莫妮卡·德拉克鲁兹 ★博比·普利多特朗普以18个百分点优势赢得该选区。
Mike Lawler ★Cait Conley One of three Republican-held seats Kamala Harris won in 2024, making Lawler the most vulnerable House Republican. Ohio 7 Max Miller ★Brian Poindexter A once-safe Republican seat now seen as a toss-up. Democrats have spent about $12m to Republicans’ $6m. Texas 15 Monica De La Cruz ★Bobby Pulido Trump won it by 18 points. A poll last month showed Pulido, a Tejano music star, ahead by 7. Washington 3 Marie Gluesenkamp Perez ★John Braun
上个月的一项民调显示，特哈诺音乐明星普利多领先7个百分点。华盛顿州第3选区玛丽·格鲁森坎普·佩雷斯 ★约翰·布劳恩一名温和派民主党人，所在选区特朗普以微弱优势获胜。布劳恩在前两名初选中领先。★ 现任议员。由路透社于11月2日精选。09 关键候选人七场值得关注的参议院竞选得克萨斯州 缅因州 阿拉斯加 北卡罗来纳州 佐治亚州 密歇根州 新罕布什尔州得克萨斯州JT詹姆斯·塔拉里科 民主党对阵KP肯·帕克斯顿 共和党帕克斯顿在共和党决选初选中击败参议员约翰·科宁。
A centrist Democrat in a district Trump narrowly won. Braun led the top-two primary. ★ incumbent. Races selected by Reuters, Nov 2. 09Key candidates Seven more Senate races to watch TexasMaineAlaskaN. CarolinaGeorgiaMichiganN. Hampshire Texas JT James TalaricoDemocrat VS KP Ken PaxtonRepublican Paxton beat Sen. John Cornyn in a Republican primary runoff. Trump won Texas by nearly 14 points in 2024. Recent polls show Talarico narrowly ahead or tied.
特朗普在2024年以近14个百分点优势赢得得克萨斯州。近期民调显示塔拉里科微弱领先或持平。缅因州TJ特洛伊·杰克逊 民主党对阵SC苏珊·柯林斯 共和党，现任议员杰克逊取代了退选的格雷厄姆·普拉特纳。缅因州在2024年投票反对特朗普。近期民调显示竞争激烈。阿拉斯加MP玛丽·佩尔托拉 民主党对阵DS丹·沙利文 共和党，现任议员阿拉斯加采用排序选择投票制。
Maine TJ Troy JacksonDemocrat VS SC Susan CollinsRepublican, incumbent Jackson replaced Graham Platner, who withdrew. Maine voted against Trump in 2024. Recent polls show a close race. Alaska MP Mary PeltolaDemocrat VS DS Dan SullivanRepublican, incumbent Alaska uses ranked-choice voting. Trump won it by 13 points in 2024. Recent polls show Peltola narrowly ahead.
特朗普在2024年以13个百分点优势赢得该州。近期民调显示佩尔托拉微弱领先。北卡罗来纳州RC罗伊·库珀 民主党对阵MW迈克尔·沃特利 共和党空缺席位：汤姆·蒂利斯（共和党）将退休。特朗普在2024年以3个百分点优势获胜。近期民调显示库珀领先两位数。佐治亚州JO乔恩·奥索夫 民主党，现任议员对阵MC迈克·柯林斯 共和党特朗普在2024年以2个百分点优势获胜。
N. Carolina RC Roy CooperDemocrat VS MW Michael WhatleyRepublican Open seat: Thom Tillis (R) is retiring. Trump won by 3 points in 2024. Recent polls show Cooper ahead by double digits. Georgia JO Jon OssoffDemocrat, incumbent VS MC Mike CollinsRepublican Trump won by 2 points in 2024. Polls have consistently shown Ossoff ahead. Michigan AE
民调一致显示奥索夫领先。密歇根州AE阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德 民主党对阵MR迈克·罗杰斯 共和党空缺席位：加里·彼得斯（民主党）将退休。特朗普在2024年赢得密歇根州。近期民调显示埃尔-赛义德微弱领先。新罕布什尔州CP克里斯·帕帕斯 民主党对阵JS约翰·E·苏努努 共和党空缺席位：珍妮·沙欣（民主党）将退休。哈里斯以近3个百分点优势获胜。民调显示帕帕斯领先5至8个百分点。
Abdul El-SayedDemocrat VS MR Mike RogersRepublican Open seat: Gary Peters (D) is retiring. Trump won Michigan in 2024. Recent polls show El-Sayed narrowly ahead. N. Hampshire CP Chris PappasDemocrat VS JS John E. SununuRepublican Open seat: Jeanne Shaheen (D) is retiring. Kamala Harris won by nearly 3 points. Polls have shown Pappas ahead by 5 to 8 points. Tap a state. Candidates, 2024 margins and polling direction as reported by Al Jazeera, Oct 31. 10Governors 36 states pick a governor. Races to watch Arizona Katie Hobbs ★Andy Biggs
点击一个州。候选人、2024年胜选差距和民调走向，据半岛电视台10月31日报道。10州长36个州选举州长。值得关注的竞选亚利桑那州凯蒂·霍布斯 ★安迪·比格斯佐治亚州凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯里克·杰克逊密歇根州乔斯林·本森约翰·詹姆斯威斯康星州大卫·克劳利汤姆·蒂芙尼内华达州亚伦·福特乔·隆巴多 ★爱荷华州罗布·桑德扎克·拉恩堪萨斯州辛迪·霍尔舍泰·马斯特森蓝色：民主党。
Georgia Keisha Lance Bottoms Rick Jackson Michigan Jocelyn Benson John James Wisconsin David Crowley Tom Tiffany Nevada Aaron Ford Joe Lombardo ★
红色：共和党。★ 现任者。竞争性竞选按库克政治报告8月27日名单列出。俄亥俄州在下一节。11印度因素印度裔美国人名字出现在选票上VR维韦克·拉马斯瓦米俄亥俄州州长共和党提名人，该席位为空缺席位，对阵民主党人艾米·阿克顿。4四位众议院民主党人罗·卡纳、普拉米拉·贾亚帕尔、阿米·贝拉和苏哈斯·苏布拉马尼安均在选票上。
Iowa Rob Sand Zach Lahn Kansas Cindy Holscher Ty Masterson Blue: Democrat. Red: Republican. ★ incumbent. Competitive races as listed by Cook Political Report, Aug 27. Ohio is in the next section. 11The India angle Indian-American names on the ballot VR Vivek Ramaswamy Republican nominee for governor of Ohio, an open seat, against Democrat Amy Acton. 4 Four House Democrats Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal, Ami Bera and Suhas Subramanyam are all on the ballot. 12Also on the ballot
12选票上的其他内容堕胎议题在四个州的选票上密苏里州修正案3将废除选民于2024年通过的堕胎权修正案。赞成反对内华达州提案6将把堕胎权写入州宪法。选民曾于2024年批准一次；第二次投赞成即使其生效。赞成反对弗吉尼亚州一项修正案将保护自主决定怀孕事宜的权利。赞成反对爱达荷州一项倡议将设立法定堕胎权，直至胎儿具备生存能力。
Abortion is on the ballot in four states Missouri Amendment 3 would repeal the abortion-rights amendment voters passed in 2024. Yes No Nevada Question 6 would put a right to abortion in the state constitution. Voters approved it once in 2024; a second yes finalises it. Yes No Virginia An amendment would protect the right to make decisions about one’s own pregnancy. Yes No Idaho An initiative would create a statutory right to abortion until viability. Yes
赞成反对据州法院报告（布伦南中心），更新于7月27日。各州还将就税收、投票门槛和其他问题投票。13值得关注的看点选举之夜五大看点1早期线索佛罗里达州和弗吉尼亚州共和党把持的众议院席位结果，可能显示民主党获利的规模。在更倾向共和党的席位上获胜，将指向更广泛的反弹。2参议院算术控制权很可能取决于六到八场竞选。
No Per State Court Report (Brennan Center), updated Jul 27. States also vote on taxes, voting thresholds and other questions. 13What to watch Five things to watch on the night 1 Early clues Results from Republican-held House seats in Florida and Virginia could show the size of any Democratic gains. Wins in more Republican-leaning seats would point to a broader backlash. 2 The Senate math Control will likely hinge on six to eight races. Democrats need to flip seats in states Trump won by double digits, such as Ohio, Iowa, Alaska and Texas, and will likely need to hold Michigan and pick up Maine. 3 Federal monitors
民主党需要在特朗普以两位数优势获胜的州翻转席位，如俄亥俄州、爱荷华州、阿拉斯加州和得克萨斯州，并很可能需要守住密歇根州、拿下缅因州。联邦监察员司法部计划派遣约1000名监察员，大约是上届中期选举人数的三倍。一些地方官员担心这可能会吓到选民；司法部表示这些担忧毫无根据。4认证之争10月22日，司法部起诉，试图阻止阿拉斯加州认证其参议院选举结果，前提是共和党现任议员以微弱差距落败，理由是两名候选人名字几乎相同。
The Justice Department plans to send about 1,000 monitors, roughly triple the number at the last midterms. Some local officials worry that could intimidate voters; the department says those fears are baseless. 4 Certification fights On Oct 22, the Justice Department sued to block Alaska from certifying its Senate result if the Republican incumbent loses narrowly, citing two candidates with almost identical names. Attorney General Todd Blanche has not ruled out intervening in certifications. 5 Trump’s response In 2020, Trump declared victory before counting had finished. How he responds this time, especially if Republicans lose a chamber, could be one of the night’s biggest stories. Reuters, Nov 2. 14Election night
司法部长托德·布兰奇没有排除介入认证程序的可能性。5特朗普的回应2020年，特朗普在计票结束前宣布获胜。他这次如何回应，尤其是如果共和党失去一个议院，可能是当晚最大的新闻之一。路透社，11月2日。14选举之夜在印度，投票站将于周三黎明开始关闭东部时间暂停 播放东部时间晚上7点 · 印度标准时间凌晨5点30分佐治亚州、弗吉尼亚州、南卡罗来纳州、佛蒙特州东部时间晚上7点30分 · 印度标准时间早上6点北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州、西弗吉尼亚州东部时间晚上8点 · 印度标准时间早上6点30分宾夕法尼亚州、缅因州、德克萨斯州、密歇根州大部分地区东部时间午夜 · 印度标准时间上午10点30分阿拉斯加州大部分地区然后等待不要指望周二晚上就有最终答案。2022年，众议院控制权直到11月16日才被确定，距离投票日过去了八天。
In India, polls start closing at dawn on Wednesday Eastern time Pause Play 7:00 pm ET · 5:30 am IST Georgia, Virginia, South Carolina, Vermont 7:30 pm ET · 6:00 am IST North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia 8:00 pm ET · 6:30 am IST Pennsylvania, Maine, Texas, most of Michigan Midnight ET · 10:30 am IST Most of Alaska Then wait Do not expect a final answer on Tuesday night. In 2022, House control was called on Nov 16, eight days after the vote. Closing times per Political.org (Oct 27). IST is Eastern time plus 10 hours 30 minutes, Wednesday Nov 4. 15After Tuesday
关闭时间数据来源Political.org（10月27日）。印度标准时间为东部时间加10小时30分钟，周三11月4日。15周二之后什么会改变，什么不会改变控制权的变化谁主持委员会并主持听证会谁制定立法议程每个议院可以通过什么调查：民主党获胜可能会引发对政府的调查，包括移民执法和伊朗战争保持不变特朗普将担任总统直到2029年1月他的否决权依然有效：推翻否决需要两院三分之二多数大多数参议院法案仍然需要60票分析人士告诉路透社，无论哪种情况，债务上限和资金之争都可能在2027年出现所有众议院席位。35个参议院席位。36个州长。一个夜晚。分享此故事由Aniruddha Dhar创建
What changes, and what does not What control changes Who chairs committees and runs hearings Who sets the legislative agenda What can pass each chamber Investigations: Democratic wins would likely bring probes into the administration, including immigration enforcement and the Iran war What stays the same Trump is president until January 2029 His veto stands: overriding it needs two-thirds of both chambers Most Senate bills still need 60 votes Debt-ceiling and funding fights are likely in 2027 either way, analysts told Reuters Every House seat. 35 Senate seats. 36 governors. One night. Share this story Created by Aniruddha Dhar