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紧张的白宫为中期选举失利后的局面做准备Nervous White House plans for life after midterms defeat

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唐纳德·特朗普在海湖庄园举行的万圣节派对上对媒体成员讲话 。常驻华盛顿,他曾连续打出多条世界独家新闻,并报道了唐纳德·特朗普政府的关键时刻。 格林威治标准时间晚上10:15 在唐纳德·特朗普的白宫内部,焦虑情绪正在加剧。谈话话题已从如何赢得中期选举转向如果共和党失利会发生什么。

Donald Trump speaks to members of the media during a Hallowe’en party at Mar-a-Lago Credit Getty Images/Andrew Harnik Connor Stringer Chief Washington Correspondent Show biography Connor leads coverage of the White House and US politics. Based in Washington, he has broken a series of world exclusives and covered the defining moments of Donald Trump’s administration 10:15pm GMT Inside Donald Trump’s White House, anxiety is growing. Conversations have pivoted from how to win the midterms to what happens if the Republicans lose.

对一些官员来说,最大的担忧是,如果民主党在周二接管国会,未来两年将被卷入敌对调查。

For some officials, the biggest fear is being dragged through hostile investigations for the next two years after a Democratic takeover of Congress on Tuesday.

其他人则担心会发起一场弹劾总统的运动,而总统本人正考虑为初级政府工作人员大规模赦免,以缓解他们的恐惧。

Others worry about a campaign to impeach the president who himself is mulling mass pardons for junior administration staff to ease their trepidation.

“人们进来请求赦免,”一位了解事态升级的人士说。“民主党将大有作为。” 唐纳德·特朗普周末抵达堪萨斯州参加竞选集会 显示共和党前景黯淡的民调加剧了这种焦虑 高昂的能源成本,以及选民对已持续近八个月的伊朗战争感到厌倦——特朗普先生在战争伊始曾预测只会持续几周——这些因素正沉重地压在共和党候选人身上。

“People are walking in asking for pardons,” said one person familiar with the mounting tensions. “The Democrats are going to have a field day.”Donald Trump arriving for a campaign rally in Kansas at the weekend The anxiety has been compounded by polls that show a bleak outlook for the Republican Party High energy costs and voter fatigue over the nearly eight-month-old war in Iran – one Mr Trump predicted at the onset would last only weeks – are weighing heavily on Republican candidates.

柴油价格在美国继续徘徊在历史最高水平附近,给通常属于保守派的爱荷华州、堪萨斯州、俄亥俄州和得克萨斯州的共和党带来麻烦。

Diesel prices continue to hover near all-time highs in the United States, creating trouble for the GOP in typically conservative states such as Iowa, Kansas, Ohio and Texas.

民主党需要在美国众议院和参议院各净增四个席位,才能推翻共和党微弱的多数优势。民意调查显示民主党有望赢得众议院,而参议院形势过于胶着,难以预测。

Democrats need a gain of four seats in the US House of Representatives and in the US Senate to overturn Republicans’ narrow majorities. Opinion polls favour Democrats to win the House, while the Senate remains too close to call.

共和党失败将使华盛顿陷入政治僵局,因为美国总统将难以在民主党多数派面前通过立法,威胁到他剩余的国内议程。“挑战底线”为应对最坏情况,白宫已制定一项计划,以便在民主党夺取控制权时,确保特朗普先生的大部分政治议程继续推进。

A Republican defeat would plunge Washington into political deadlock as the US president would struggle to pass legislation against a Democratic majority, threatening his remaining domestic priorities. ‘Pushing the limits’Preparing for the worst, the White House has developed a plan to keep major parts of Mr Trump’s political agenda on track if Democrats seize control.

包括副幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒在内的资深官员已花费数月时间起草一项计划,使特朗普先生能够在无需国会批准的情况下施政。一名官员向路透社表示,白宫法律顾问威尔·沙夫及其团队也在研究“特朗普先生可以合法自行采取哪些行动、他可以在哪些方面突破其权力界限,以及如何在法庭上为这些决定辩护”。

Senior officials, including Stephen Miller, the deputy chief of staff, have spent months drafting a plan that would let Mr Trump govern without congressional approval Will Scharf, the White House counsel, and his team are also looking at “what Mr Trump can legally do on his own, where he could push the limits of his authority and how to defend those decisions in court,” an official told Reuters.

正在考虑采取的行政措施包括对关键矿产进口征收新关税、收紧签证规定,以及旨在降低住房和建筑成本的措施。

Among the executive actions under consideration are new tariffs on imports of critical minerals, tighter rules on visas and measures aimed at lowering housing and construction costs.

行政命令可能使特朗普先生得以绕过国会批准,从而试探其权力的界限。此类命令将面临严峻的法律挑战。

Executive orders could allow Mr Trump to test the limits of his authority by bypassing congressional approval. Such orders would face stiff legal challenges.

然而,特朗普先生也有权否决他不喜欢的民主党立法,预计他会这样做。

However, Mr Trump also has the power to veto Democratic legislation he doesn’t like, something he is expected to do.

总统的死硬支持者正变得越来越少见。Getty Images/汤姆·布伦纳 在白宫准备坚守阵地之际,总统对愿意公开为他辩护的人越来越少日益感到不满。

Die hard supporters of the president are becoming less visible Getty Images/TOM BRENNER While the White House prepares to dig in, the president has become increasingly frustrated by the lack of people willing to go out and bat for him in public.

据说他曾私下抱怨,在选举日前的冲刺阶段,他没有足够多的知名盟友来反击批评者或突出其第二任期的政绩。

He is said to have privately complained that he did not have enough high-profile allies pushing back against critics or highlighting his second-term wins in the run-up to election day.

核心忠诚者的流失使这一问题更加严重,例如前白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特等人已转任外部顾问角色。

It is a problem made worse by the loss of core loyalists, such as Karoline Leavitt, the former White House press secretary, who have transitioned to outside advisory roles.

当特朗普先生10月在福克斯新闻上看到保守派评论员凯蒂·扎卡里亚为他辩护时,他急忙将她安排为新闻秘书。

When Mr Trump saw Katie Zacharia, a conservative commentator, on Fox News defending him in October, he rushed to install her as press secretary.

上任五天,她就离开了。她第一次出席新闻发布会时紧张不安,磕磕绊绊地念完一份讲稿,只接受了记者三个提问,还误称丈夫为“我的总统”,这从一开始就注定了她的失败。

Five days into the job, she was gone. A nervous first press briefing in which she went haltingly through a scripted speech, took just three questions from journalists and accidentally referred to her husband as “my president”, doomed her from the start.

总统的挫败感远不止于此。特朗普的挫败感并不止于他自认为缺乏支持这一点。

President’s frustrations far-reaching Mr Trump’s frustrations don’t end with his perceived lack of support.

上个月,他发现克里斯·拉西维塔和詹姆斯·布莱尔——他最重要的两位政治顾问——在他自己的政党正为生存而战时,却承接了为波斯尼亚一个亲俄政党提供咨询的工作。

Last month, he discovered that Chris LaCivita and James Blair, two of his most important political advisers, had taken work advising a pro-Russian party in Bosnia while his own party was fighting for survival.

他威胁说,如果他们的外部利益与他的利益相冲突,就解雇他们。拉西维塔和布莱尔同意将他们六位数的咨询费捐给特朗普的总统图书馆。

He threatened to dismiss them if their outside interests conflicted with his. Mr LaCivita and Mr Blair agreed to donate their six-figure consulting fee to Mr Trump’s presidential library.

他们的副业只是加剧了外界的说法,即特朗普圈子里的人更关心个人发财,而非政治生存。《卫报》委托哈里斯民调进行的一项调查发现,76%的人认为官员更关心自我敛财,而不是帮助普通美国人。

Their side hustle only fuelled claims that those in Mr Trump’s orbit are more interested in personal enrichment than political survival. A Harris poll for the Guardian found that 76 per cent believed officials cared more about self-enrichment than helping everyday Americans.

有关总统前私人律师阿丽娜·哈巴与一名获赦免的委内瑞拉银行家的家族签订了一份5000万美元(3800万英镑)合同的消息,只会加深这种看法。

News that Alina Habba, the president’s former personal lawyer, had taken a $50m (£38m) contract with the family of a pardoned Venezuelan banker only compounded that belief.

“我认为这完全令人反感、不可容忍,这是不能接受的,”特朗普周六在佛罗里达州棕榈滩的海湖庄园对记者说。“完全不能接受。”与此同时,司法部正在调查科里·莱万多夫斯基,他曾是高级助手,也是前国土安全部长克里斯蒂·诺姆事实上的幕僚长。

“I thought it was totally obnoxious and outrageous, and it’s not acceptable,” Mr Trump told reporters at his Mar-a-Lago club in Palm Beach, Florida, on Saturday. “Not acceptable at all.”At the same time, the department of justice is investigating Corey Lewandowski, a former top aide and de facto chief of staff to Kristi Noem, the former homeland security secretary.

周一,阿拉斯加安克雷奇投票站的提前投票选民。法新社/查利·特里巴洛调查人员正在调查莱万多夫斯基是否不当利用职务谋取个人经济利益,包括有关他向卡塔尔和阿联酋等外国政府寻求咨询工作的指控。

Early voters at the polls in Anchorage, Alaska, on Monday AFP /CHARLY TRIBALLEAU Investigators are probing whether Mr Lewandowski improperly used his position for personal financial gain, including allegations that he sought consulting work from foreign governments such as Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.

在惶恐不安的背后,是一种顽强的战斗决心。特朗普展开了一场快节奏的竞选活动,力推得克萨斯、艾奥瓦和堪萨斯等关键州的处境不妙的共和党候选人。过去20天里,他从阿拉斯加到密西西比州举行了20多场集会。

Beneath the trepidation is a stubborn determination to fight. Mr Trump has embarked on a breakneck campaign to push endangered Republican candidates in key states such as Texas, Iowa and Kansas. He has held more than 20 rallies in the last 20 days, from Alaska to Mississippi.

一位在全国各地参与中期选举竞选活动的共和党资深人士将动员选民的努力形容为一场“狗斗”。

One GOP veteran working on midterm campaigns across the country described efforts to rally voters as a “dog fight”.

据说,特朗普经常询问工作人员他所访问各州的投票率和民调情况,想知道共和党的努力“表现”如何。

Mr Trump is said to ask staff regularly about turnout and polling in the states he’s visiting, wondering how Republican efforts are “playing”.

“情绪是复杂的,”一位不愿透露姓名的、与总统关系密切的共和党资深人士说。“我认为我们能保住参议院。”这位盟友补充说:“总统的旋风式竞选活动在许多选战中产生了巨大影响。他说自己在选票上,这对中期选举来说是前所未有的。”

“The mood is mixed,” said a senior Republican and close ally of the president who spoke anonymously. “I think we hold the Senate.”The ally added: “The president’s whirlwind campaigning has made a huge difference in many races. The fact that he is saying he is on the ballot is unprecedented for a midterm vote.”

财政优势共和党人还有一个明显的优势:钱。自9月以来,特朗普的政治团体已花费近2.77亿美元(2.11亿英镑)来提振共和党人,这一数额使今年有望成为有史以来最昂贵的中期选举。

Financial edge Republicans also have one distinct advantage: money. Mr Trump’s political groups have spent nearly $277m (£211m) to boost Republicans since September, an amount that puts this year on pace to be the most expensive midterm ever.

然而,这可能不足以支撑共和党。总统的进口税扰乱了农业经济,并引发了与加拿大的贸易战,使共和党在从艾奥瓦、密歇根和堪萨斯到内布拉斯加、俄亥俄和缅因的参议院竞选中处于不利地位。

Yet it may not be enough to carry the GOP. The president’s import taxes disrupted the agricultural economy and triggered a trade war with Canada, putting Republicans on the back foot in Senate races from Iowa, Michigan and Kansas to Nebraska, Ohio and Maine.

一些观察人士说,特朗普将无人可以指摘。他曾说会在几周内结束的伊朗战争八个月后仍在继续,且没有明确的结束战略,这与他不在中东卷入冲突的承诺形成鲜明对比。

Some observers say Mr Trump will have nobody to point the finger at The war in Iran that he said would be over in weeks continues eight months later with no clear strategy for conclusion, starkly at odds with his pledge to not engage in Middle East conflicts.

因此,面对中期选举的清算,总统在竞选的最后几周警告选民民主党获胜的后果。在闭门会议中,他的顾问们正在为国会不再支持他的艰难未来做准备。

And so, facing a midterm reckoning, the president has spent the final weeks of the campaign warning voters of the consequences of a Democratic win. Behind closed doors, his advisers are preparing for a difficult future with Congress no longer on his side.

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