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民主党与特朗普在中期选举前举行最后竞选集会Democrats, Trump hold final rallies before midterm elections

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美国总统唐纳德·特朗普于2026年11月1日在艾奥瓦州迪比克市的五旗中心举行的一场竞选集会上发表讲话。(照片:安德鲁·哈尼克/盖蒂图片社,经法新社发布)US President Donald Trump speaks at an election rally at Five Flags Center on Nov 1, 2026 in Dubuque, Iowa. (Photo: Andrew Harnik/ Getty Images via AFP)

华盛顿:民主党周一(11月2日)准备举行最后一轮拉票集会,届时中期选举前夜,他们预计将至少赢得国会部分控制权,并在两年后首次对总统唐纳德·特朗普施加政治约束。

WASHINGTON: Democrats teed up final get-out-the-vote rallies on Monday (Nov 2) on the eve of midterm elections where they expect to win at least partial control of Congress and impose political constraints on President Donald Trump for the first time in two years.

包括德克萨斯州民主党参议院候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科和堪萨斯州候选人亚当·汉密尔顿在内的集会,正在为一场紧张而激烈的竞选画上句号。

Rallies - including by star Democratic Senate candidates James Talarico in Texas and Adam Hamilton in Kansas - were capping a campaign of breathtaking tension and bitterness.

作为他的最后陈词,特朗普选择在华盛顿林肯纪念堂反射池发表演讲——这个地标已与这位80岁总统重建美国首都的执着且颇具争议的努力划上等号。“我们将获胜,”他在周日表示。

For his closing argument, Trump chose a speech in Washington at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool - a landmark that has become synonymous with the 80-year-old president's obsessive, controversial drive to redevelop the US capital. "We're going to win," he said on Sunday.

然而,民调显示,民主党几乎可以肯定从共和党手中夺下众议院多数席位,并且有真正机会赢得目前由共和党控制的参议院。

Polls, however, show that Democrats are near certain to take the majority from Republicans in the House of Representatives and have a real shot at winning the currently Republican Senate.

即使只赢下众议院,也将意味着民主党拥有联邦预算的投票权,并将主导能够调查特朗普所谓腐败、爱泼斯坦档案及其他爆炸性议题的强大委员会。

Even winning just the House would mean Democrats have voting power over the federal budget and would lead powerful committees able to investigate alleged corruption under Trump, the Epstein files and other explosive issues.

共和党完全主导地位的丧失将把特朗普推入陌生且不舒服的境地:一个国内高通胀、对伊朗战争陷入停滞、且面临民主党对他在华盛顿活动的敌对调查的跛脚鸭时期。但进入特朗普时代十年后,民主党对胜利预测依然保持谨慎。

The loss of total Republican dominance would push Trump into unfamiliar and uncomfortable territory: A lame-duck period beset with high inflation at home, the sputtering war against Iran and hostile Democratic investigations into his activities in Washington. But a decade into the Trump era, Democrats remain wary about predictions of victory.

民主党参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克对CNN说,这种情绪是“令人作呕的乐观”。

"Nauseously optimistic," Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock told CNN to describe the mood.

焦土政策:由特朗普领导的共和党人打了一场政治焦土运动,将民主党描绘成共产党人,并公开将密歇根州参议员候选人、穆斯林阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德贴上恐怖分子标签。

SCORCHED EARTH Republicans led by Trump have fought a political scorched-earth campaign, painting Democrats as communists and openly branding Abdul El-Sayed, a Muslim candidate for senator in Michigan, as a terrorist.

周日在爱荷华州向人群发表讲话时,特朗普说,民主党是“极端而危险的激进分子”,他们将“窃取你的财富”,并放任移民进入“洗劫、强奸和掠夺”。

Addressing a crowd in Iowa on Sunday, Trump said Democrats are "extreme and dangerous radicals" who will "steal your wealth" and let in migrants to "ransack, rape and plunder".

但民调显示,美国民众对特朗普“破坏性”行为的不满情绪日益高涨。

But polls show Americans heavily souring on Trump's wrecking-ball act.

周日发布的一项NBC新闻民调显示,60%的受访者不赞成他的表现,尤其是他对伊朗发动长达八个月的战争加剧了高物价问题。

An NBC News poll released on Sunday showed 60 per cent disapprove of his performance, particularly over high prices exacerbated by his now eight-month war against Iran.

密歇根州民主党参议院候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔赛义德博士,于2026年11月1日在密歇根州南菲尔德的“敲门拉票”集会上向支持者发表讲话。虽然众议院极有可能易手民主党,但参议院之战悬而未决。

Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Dr Abdul El-Sayed speaks to supporters at the Knock Out the Vote Rally on Nov 1, 2026 in Southfield, Michigan. While the House seems highly likely to turn Democratic, the battle for the Senate is up in the air.

密歇根州民主党参议员候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德博士于2026年11月1日在密歇根州绍斯菲尔德举行的“击退投票”集会上向支持者发表讲话。(照片:萨尔万·乔治/盖蒂图片社,经法新社发布)Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Dr Abdul El-Sayed speaks to supporters at the Knock Out the Vote Rally on Nov 1, 2026 in Southfield, Michigan. (Photo: Salwan Georges/Getty Images via AFP)

本次中期选举中,参议院100个席位中只有三分之一在争夺之列,且很少有选举被认为对民主党有利。

Only a third of the Senate's 100 seats are being contested in these midterms, and few of the races were seen as favorable to Democrats.

然而,在深红的共和党州出现出人意料的强劲挑战后,民调机构现在表示,民主党夺取参议院控制权的可能性至少是五五开。

However, with surprisingly strong challenges in deeply Republican states, pollsters now say the odds of a Democratic flip are at minimum even.

周日晚间发布的最终《纽约时报》/锡耶纳民调显示,民主党候选人在七个最具竞争力的席位中全部领先,但其中五个席位仍在误差范围内。

The final New York Times/Siena poll released on Sunday evening showed Democratic candidates leading in all seven seats viewed as most competitive, though five remained within the margin of error.

民主党控制的参议院将能够阻止特朗普对法院的终身任命——尤其是最高法院。

A Democratic Senate would be able to shut down Trump's lifetime appointments to courts - especially the Supreme Court.

虽然周二是选举日,但提前投票已创下纪录,全国已有5400万人投票。

While Tuesday is election day, early voting has already seen a record 54 million people cast ballots around the country.

本次中期选举在广告支出方面约为110亿美元,其中大部分来自个人超级捐款人。

The midterms have seen about US$11 billion spent on advertising, with large chunks coming from individual mega-donors.

埃隆·马斯克是特朗普的密友,曾领导所谓的DOGE行动拆除整个政府部门,他捐赠了高达近5亿美元,帮助共和党人当选。

Elon Musk, a close Trump ally who led the so-called DOGE effort in dismantling entire government departments, has given a staggering nearly half-billion dollars to help get Republicans elected.

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