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安提瓜24小时:马克·卡尼在今年英联邦峰会上的优先事项24 hours in Antigua: Mark Carney's priorities at this year's Commonwealth Summit

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首相马克·卡尼与戴安娜·福克斯·卡尼于周一抵达安提瓜和巴布达的圣约翰,出席即将在这里举行的第28届英联邦政府首脑会议。(克里斯托弗·卡萨罗夫/加拿大新闻社)Prime Minister Mark Carney and Diana Fox Carney arrive in St. John's, Antigua and Barbuda, ahead of the 28th Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting, on Monday. (Christopher Katsarov/The Canadian Press)

总理马克·卡尼(Mark Carney)经常表示,决心让其政府专注于加拿大人能够控制的事情,这一决心可能在今天面临考验,因为他将在安提瓜与来自英联邦其他55个成员国的领导人会面。

Prime Minister Mark Carney's oft-stated determination to keep his government focused on what Canadians can control could be tested today, as he meets with leaders from the 55 other member countries of the Commonwealth in Antigua.

周一,当卡尼与妻子黛安(Diana)登机时,他做出仿佛听不见记者大声追问的手势——记者们正试图弄清在他在周末与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普进行交谈后,当前局势进展如何。

As he boarded his flight with his wife Diana on Monday, Carney gestured as if he couldn't hear reporters yelling for clarification on where things stand following his conversation with U.S. President Donald Trump over the weekend.

贸易谈判可能会重新全面升温,但目前它们仍被暂时搁置,因为白宫正全神贯注于美国选民即将在中期选举中做出的裁决。

Trade negotiations could return to a full boil, but for now they remain on a back burner while the White House focuses on the verdict about to be rendered by American voters in their midterm elections.

加美关系的未来对卡尼政府的议程影响如此之重,以至于该国政府很难专注于其他任何事情。但本周的英联邦会谈是本月一系列多边峰会中的第一场,加拿大官员将在这些峰会上寻求贸易、安全和外交方面的替代伙伴关系。以下是需要关注的五个方面:

The future of the Canada-U.S. relationship hangs so heavy over the Carney government's agenda that it could be hard to focus on anything else. But this week's Commonwealth talks are the first in a series of multilateral summits this month where Canadian officials will pursue alternative partnerships in trade, security and diplomacy. Here are five things to watch for:

  1. 推动将英联邦内部贸易额翻番英联邦在2030年之前有三大优先事项:民主韧性、经济韧性和环境韧性。
  1. Push to double intra-Commonwealth trade The Commonwealth has three main priorities leading up to 2030: democratic resilience, economic resilience and environmental resilience.

在首要优先事项方面,包括外长安妮塔·阿 Anand(Anita Anand)在内的部长们于周日会面,对加蓬恢复民选政府表示欢迎。这个中非国家在2023年发生军事政变后,其成员国资格被部分暂停。

On that first priority, ministers, including Foreign Minister Anita Anand, met Sunday to welcome the restoration of an elected government in Gabon, the central African country which had its membership partially suspended following a military coup in 2023.

但本次峰会的主要焦点是贸易伙伴关系:具体而言,是该组织的雄心,即在下次两年一度的峰会召开之前,降低贸易壁垒并使成员国之间的贸易额翻番。这与卡尼政府试图将重心从美国转移开的做法不谋而合。

But the main focus at this summit is trade partnerships: specifically the association's ambition to lower trade barriers and double trade between member countries by the time they meet for their next biennial summit. That dovetails perfectly with the Carney government's attempt to pivot away from the U.S.

加拿大将于本周在美国贸易战与经济不确定性之中公布下一份预算案专家建议加拿大在“准成员国”的混淆中锁定与欧盟的成果曾任外交官的阿里夫·拉拉尼(Arif Lalani)表示:“我认为人们没有意识到英联邦的经济影响力。那里有近万亿美元的贸易额。”他在加拿大总理上一次出席2022年英联邦峰会时曾担任高级官员。

Canada's next budget to be unveiled this week amid U.S. trade war, economic uncertainty Experts suggest Canada lock in gains with EU amid 'associate member' confusion "I think people don't realize the economic clout of the Commonwealth. There's almost a trillion dollars of trade," said Arif Lalani, a former diplomat who served as a senior official the last time a Canadian prime minister attended the Commonwealth Summit, in 2022.

拉拉尼说:“研究表明,英联邦国家之间的经商成本更低,因为我们拥有相同的商业惯例、相同的语言以及大致相同的规章制度。所以这绝对是推进经济多元化议程的一个方向。”

"There are studies which show that it's cheaper to do business between Commonwealth countries because we have the same practices, same language, generally the same set of regulations. So it's definitely a place to pursue the economic diversification agenda," Lalani said.

然而,他担心的是英联邦的“现实重要性增长的速度超过了其履职能力”。他说,领导人们需要在贸易问题上更加注重成果。他赞同卡尼将这一重点扩大到国防和安全合作的努力。

His fear, however, is that the Commonwealth's "relevance is growing faster than its capacity to deliver." Leaders need to get more outcome-oriented on trade, he said. He agrees with Carney's efforts to expand this focus to defence and security co-operation too.

拉拉尼表示,在霍尔木兹海峡等交通要道的冲突限制全球贸易之际,“英联邦国家拥有漫长的海岸线和强大的海军,因此我认为可以采取一些措施来加强海上合作”。

At a time when conflicts over choke points like the Strait of Hormuz are restricting global trade, "Commonwealth countries have a lot of coastline, they have strong navies, and so I think there's something that can be done to increase maritime co-operation," Lalani said.

  1. 不断演变的加勒比关系这是卡尼以总理身份对加勒比地区的首次访问。
  1. Evolving Caribbean relationships This is Carney's first trip to the Caribbean as prime minister.

这一外交短板将于今天上午通过与今年英联邦东道国、安提瓜和巴布达总理加斯顿·布朗的双边会晤得到弥补,随后加拿大将为出席今年峰会的所有加勒比地区领导人举办工作早餐会。

That diplomatic deficiency will be addressed this morning in a bilateral meeting with this year's Commonwealth host, Antigua and Barbuda's Prime Minister Gaston Browne, followed by a working breakfast Canada is hosting for all the Caribbean leaders attending this year's summit.

官员向记者简要介绍称,虽然这不是加勒比共同体领导人的全员聚会,但这次早餐会是一个讨论贸易与投资、气候行动以及地区安全的契机。

While not a complete gathering of CARICOM leaders, officials briefed reporters that this breakfast is a chance to discuss trade and investment, climate action and regional security.

曾在前总理贾斯廷·特鲁迪麾下的总理办公室工作的万达娜·卡塔尔(Vandana Kattar)表示,卡尼迄今为止的做法在她看来是合乎情理的。

Vandana Kattar, who worked in the prime minister's office under former prime minister Justin Trudeau, says Carney's approach so far makes sense to her.

“多边主义对(他)很重要,”她说。卡尼首先着手处理了他拼图中的一些大块内容,她认为——追求与欧洲建立更紧密关系这一“唾手可得的成果”,试图化解与中国的关税紧张局势。

"Multilateralism is important to him," she said. Carney went after some of the bigger pieces of his puzzle first, she reckons — pursuing the "low-hanging fruit" of a closer relationship with Europe, attempting to resolve tariff tensions with China.

“那是他已经能够拼凑在一起的大块拼图,”她说。但他还需要将较小的碎片契合进这幅拼图中,比如培育加拿大在加勒比地区的伙伴关系,“否则就无法拼出完整的画面。”

"Those are big pieces of the puzzle that he's been able to put together," she said. But he also needs to fit smaller pieces into that puzzle, like nurturing Canada's relationships in the Caribbean, "otherwise that doesn't complete the whole picture."

  1. 气候融资承诺“你不能去加勒比国家而不谈气候韧性,”卡特说。“他们是受影响最严重的国家。”加拿大此前已在三年内向英联邦的气候融资获取中心出资465万加元,以帮助小岛屿国家。该国还做出了更庞大的承诺,即在未来五年内提供130亿加元,支持所有发展中国家适应气候变化带来的后果——例如更强烈、更频繁的飓风。
  1. Climate finance commitments "You can't go to the Caribbean countries and not talk of climate resiliency," Kattar said. "They're the ones impacted the most." Canada's already contributed $4.65 million over three years to the Commonwealth's climate finance access hub to help small island states. It's also made a bigger $13-billion commitment to support all developing countries adapt to the consequences of climate change — like stronger and more frequent hurricanes — over the next five years.

法院裁定荷兰必须削减二氧化碳排放以保护加勒比岛屿博内尔岛 视频 小岛屿国家希望最大排放国为气候变化的灾难性影响支付费用官员们在行程前对记者表示,加拿大希望在气候问题上放大较小的英联邦伙伴的声音。

Netherlands must cut CO2 to protect Caribbean island of Bonaire, court rules Video Small island nations want largest emitters to pay for catastrophic effects of climate change Canada hopes to amplify the voices of smaller Commonwealth partners on climate issues, officials told reporters prior to the trip.

“这实际上才是在建立信任,这也确保了加拿大被视为一个可靠且值得信赖的伙伴,它真正倾听伙伴的关切,而不是把自己的议程强加给他们,”气候行动网络(Climate Action Network)的韩苏敏(Soomin Han,音译)说。

"That's what actually builds the trust, and that's what ensures that Canada is seen as a reliable and a trustworthy partner that actually listens to the concerns of their partners and [is] not just forcing their own agenda onto them," said Climate Action Network's Soomin Han.

韩苏敏认为,英联邦大小伙伴之间关于气候融资的对话,可能比在联合国气候大会上更具成效,在联合国气候大会上,少数几个大国可能会阻碍进展。

Han believes conversations on climate financing between big and small Commonwealth partners might be more productive than at United Nations climate conferences, where a few large countries can block progress.

“各国不应该仅仅为了在一个他们(对此)所作所引起到比较小作用的危机中生存,就去承担更多的债务,”她说。

"Countries should not have to take out more debt simply to survive a crisis they contributed comparatively little to creating," she said.

  1. 紧张局势与关于赔偿的辩论虽然英联邦有56个成员国,但查尔斯国王仅是其中15个国家的国家元首。其中一半是加勒比国家。在本次峰会开始前的这一周里,他一直在该地区访问。在此期间,王室和英国政府面临着持续的政治压力,要求其就英国殖民地从奴隶贸易中牟利的历史角色进行道歉。
  1. Tensions, debate on reparations While the Commonwealth has 56 members, King Charles is the head of state in only 15 of them. Half of those are Caribbean countries, and for the week leading up to this summit, he's been touring the region, amid ongoing political pressure for the Crown and the government of the United Kingdom to apologize for its historical role profiting off the slave trade in British colonies.

截至目前,国王承认了“这些岛屿及其他地区过去遭受的巨大苦难和不公”,但并未道歉。

So far, the King has acknowledged "the great suffering and injustices of the past in these islands and beyond," but he has not apologized.

加拿大官员在行程开始前向记者通报情况时表示,加拿大承认奴隶制造成的代际影响和持久影响,并支持就赔偿问题展开“开放和尊重的对话”,但同时指出,英联邦成员国在赔偿正义问题上存在“多样化的”观点。

Canadian officials briefing reporters prior to the trip said Canada acknowledges the generational and lasting impact of slavery, and supports "open and respectful dialogue" on reparations, but noted there are a "diversity" of perspectives on reparatory justice among Commonwealth members.

加拿大黑人社群赔偿倡导者尼古拉斯·马库斯·汤普森表示,英国现政府反对就奴隶制赔偿进行谈判的立场,对加勒比国家来说是“根本无法接受的”。

Nicholas Marcus Thompson, an advocate for reparations for Canada's Black communities, says the current U.K. government's opposition to negotiating reparations for slavery is "simply a non-starter" for Caribbean nations. "Reparations is not giving away a freebie.

黑人集体诉讼秘书处总裁兼首席执行官汤普森说:“赔偿不是施舍。这是归还你夺走的东西,对吧?从被奴役的非洲人身上掠夺的财富建立起了企业、金融机构和大学。”“按照今天的货币计算,这将是数十亿美元。”

It's repaying what you took, right? Wealth extracted from enslaved Africans built businesses, financial institutions, universities," said Thompson, who is also the president and CEO of the Black Class Action Secretariat. "It would have been billions of dollars in today's currency."

  1. 特朗普因素前外交官拉拉尼表示,他认为加拿大带着比以往更高的信誉出席此次峰会,这要归功于卡尼去年冬天在达沃斯世界经济论坛的中等强国演讲中所阐述的“挑衅性愿景”。
  1. The Trump factor Former diplomat Lalani said he believes Canada is heading into this summit with more credibility than it's had in the past, thanks to the "provocative vision" Carney laid out in his speech on middle powers at the World Economic Forum in Davos last winter.

卡尼今天的交谈对象将不仅限于他关系密切的人,比如澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯。这也是一个与意见不完全一致的领导人对话的机会——且不会被美国或中国这样超级大国的光芒所掩盖。

Carney's conversations today won't be limited to people he's close to, like Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. It's also a chance to talk to leaders with whom he doesn't have full agreement — without being overshadowed by superpowers like the U.S. or China.

他表示:“加拿大可以在不背负美国坐上谈判桌这一包袱的情况下,与其他国家进行讨论。”

"Canada can have a discussion with other countries without the baggage of having the United States at the table," he said.

“当今世界最具不稳定性的力量就是美国……这需要一次坦诚的讨论。”

"The biggest destabilizing power in the world right now is the United States. … That requires a candid discussion."

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