共和党今天最多可以失去三个席位，但仍能保持参议院多数地位。然而，任何进一步的失利都会带来巨大的后果。
Republicans can lose up to three seats today and still keep the Senate majority. Any further losses, however, carry immense consequences.
党内大多数人已经认为北卡罗来纳州将输给民主党。失去参议院将剥夺共和党对总统唐纳德·特朗普提名人选的控制权——包括终身司法任命。
Most in the party are already clocking North Carolina as lost to the Democrats. Losing the Senate would deprive Republicans of control over President Donald Trump’s nominees — including lifetime judicial appointments.
而且，如果众议院倒向民主党，共和党可能会看到针对内阁成员——甚至可能是总统本人——的一连串弹劾审判。
And provided the House flips Democratic, Republicans could see a procession of impeachment trials for Cabinet members — and perhaps even the president.
“最高法院年龄最大的两名成员都是由共和党[任命的]。我们希望确保，如果其中一人或两人在未来两年内决定退休，特朗普总统能够做出任命，并在美国参议院获得确认，”参议院多数党党鞭、怀俄明州共和党参议员约翰·巴拉索周一在艾奥瓦州参加竞选活动期间对《semafor》表示。
“The two oldest members of the Supreme Court are both Republican [appointees]. We want to make sure that if one of them decides to retire, or both, in the next two years, that President Trump can make an appointment that will get confirmed in the United States Senate,” Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso, R-Wyo., told Semafor on Monday amid a day of campaigning in Iowa.
如果共和党保持对参议院的控制，他们只需凭借简单多数即可迅速搁置弹劾审判；就在两年前，民主党多数派驳回了对时任国土安全部部长亚历杭德罗·马约卡斯的弹劾。明年，如果民主党夺取两院多数席位，共和党就不能指望快速驳回。
Republicans can quickly table impeachment trials with a simple majority if they keep Senate control; just two years ago, a Democratic majority dismissed the impeachment of then-Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas. Next year, if Democrats claim the majority in both chambers, the GOP can’t expect quick dismissals.
“我们需要确保参议院能够迅速处理这些事情，而不允许被拖延，而这正是民主党多数派所会导致的结果，”巴拉索补充道。
“We’re going to need to be able to make sure that those are dealt with quickly in the Senate and are not allowed to be dragged out, which is what you’d have with a Democrat majority,” Barrasso added.
全国情绪低迷，共和党人正在深红地盘上奋力拼搏。他们希望阿拉斯加州和密歇根州两场临阵上演的戏剧性事件——以及他们最具身经百战的现任议员——能够帮助拯救他们腹背受敌的参议院多数地位。
The national mood is poor, and Republicans are fighting it out deep in red territory. They are hoping a pair of eleventh-hour dramas in Alaska and Michigian — and their most battle-hardened incumbent — will help bail out their embattled Senate majority.
共和党人在本选举周期开始时最好的翻盘机会已经在佐治亚州烟消云散。但共和党领袖认为，民主党众议员海利·史蒂文斯出人意料地背书共和党人迈克·罗杰斯，点燃了他们自1994年上次赢得参议院席位以来在密歇根州获得的最佳胜选机会。
Republicans’ best pickup opportunity at the start of the cycle has faded away in Georgia. But GOP leaders see Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens’ surprise endorsement of Republican Mike Rogers as fueling their best chance in Michigan since their last Senate win in 1994.
巴拉索表示，斯蒂文斯的背书“为这场竞选带来了更多活力和更多关注，这将有助于我们在密歇根州的竞选”。“这将对明天竞选中的共和党人产生积极影响，反过来我认为这将带来更高的投票率和更多选票给迈克·罗杰斯。”最新一批密歇根州民调仍显示民主党人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德领先于罗杰斯，不过这些民调不会反映斯蒂文斯周末令人震惊的转变。
Stevens’ endorsement “brings more energy and more attention to that race, and it’s going to help in Michigan,” Barrasso said. “That is going to be a positive influence for the Republicans in the race tomorrow, and in turn I believe is going to generate more turnout and more votes for Mike Rogers.”The last batch of Michigan polls still show Democrat Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Rogers, though they won’t take into account Stevens’ stunning turn over the weekend.
如果共和党人设法翻转密歇根州的这个席位，民主党就必须在其他地方净增五个席位，这意味着要在八个由共和党把持的州——北卡罗来纳州、俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州、缅因州、阿拉斯加州、堪萨斯州、南卡罗来纳州和爱荷华州——赢得大多数竞选。
If Republicans somehow flip the Michigan seat, Democrats would have to net five pick-ups elsewhere, which would mean winning a majority of races in eight GOP-held states: North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Maine, Alaska, Kansas, South Carolina and Iowa.
阿拉斯加州自年初以来一直是民主党的核心关注点之一，这场竞选目前依然胶着。共和党人祈祷有足够多的阿拉斯加选民看到了《纽约时报》的报道，该报道称民主党人玛丽·佩尔托拉的竞选盟友正在努力招募一名搅局候选人，可能会从共和党参议员丹·沙利文（共和党-阿拉斯加州）那里分流选票。
Alaska has been one of Democrats’ core focuses since the start of the year, and the race still looks close. Republicans are praying that enough Alaskans saw The New York Times’ story on Democrat Mary Peltola’s campaign allies working to recruit a spoiler candidate who might siphon votes from GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska.
巴拉索说：“了解这一情况的人越多，我认为对参议员丹·沙利文越有利。我相信他会赢得这场竞选。”
“The more people that know about the situation, I think the more it’s going to help Sen. Dan Sullivan. I believe he wins the race,” Barrasso said.
当被问及如果佩尔托拉获胜是否会就职时，巴拉索避而不答：“我们还没到那一步。我相信丹·沙利文会赢。”他还预测共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯将在缅因州击败民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊，守住她自1996年赢得以来一直占据的席位。
Asked if Peltola would be seated if she wins, Barrasso demurred: “We’re not there yet. I believe Dan Sullivan is going to win.”He also predicted GOP Sen. Susan Collins would defeat Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine, holding a seat she has occupied since winning it in 1996.
过去几天里，巴拉索去过肯塔基州、爱荷华州、密歇根州、得克萨斯州和俄亥俄州。他说，特朗普的集会对于在一个通常对现任总统极为不利的周期中激发共和党基本盘的投票热情至关重要。“没有人能像特朗普总统那样召集人群或激发人群的热情，”巴拉索说。
Barrasso has been to Kentucky, Iowa, Michigan, Texas, and Ohio over the past few days. He said that Trump’s rallies are critical to stoking turnout by the GOP base in a cycle that’s typically brutal for modern presidents. “Nobody can get out a crowd or energize a crowd like President Trump,” Barrasso said.