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美国中期选举天气警报:雷暴、强降雨和洪水风险引发六州投票担忧,龙卷风预警发布US midterms weather alert: Thunderstorms, heavy rains and flood risks raise voting concerns in six states - tornado watch issued

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一股强大的风暴系统正威胁着在周二的2026年美国中期选举中,扰乱部分地区的投票进程,数百万美国人正准备前往投票站投下选票。强雷暴、暴雨及可能出现的山洪已使多个地区处于天气预警之下,引发了对出行条件和投票站通达性的担忧。

A powerful storm system is threatening to disrupt voting in parts of the United States as millions of Americans prepare to cast their ballots in Tuesday's 2026 midterm elections. Severe thunderstorms, heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding have placed several regions under weather alerts, raising concerns about travel conditions and access to polling stations.

此次天气威胁横跨美国中部部分地区,特别是大平原和密西西比河谷,而佛罗里达州和新墨西哥州持续发生的洪水更增加了当地政府面临的挑战。

The weather threat stretches across parts of the central United States, particularly the Plains and Mississippi Valley, while ongoing flooding in Florida and New Mexico has added to the challenges facing local authorities.

风暴来袭的时机格外关键,正值选民决定国会控制权,以及州长、州议会和地方选举之际。

美国2026年中期选举直播:中期选举投票开始,将成为对特朗普总统任期的重大考验多州遭遇强雷暴和龙卷风威胁美国国家气象局周一发布多项天气预警,包括针对得克萨斯州和俄克拉荷马州部分地区的强雷暴警报。

The timing of the storms is particularly significant as voters decide control of Congress, alongside gubernatorial, state legislative and local elections.US midterm elections 2026 LIVE: Voting in midterm elections underway in big test for Trump's presidencySevere thunderstorms and tornado threats across several statesThe National Weather Service issued multiple weather alerts on Monday, including severe thunderstorm warnings in parts of Texas and Oklahoma.

龙卷风监测预警也已针对堪萨斯州和俄克拉荷马州的若干县发布,与此同时,佛罗里达州和新墨西哥州的部分地区仍处于洪水预警生效状态。然而,这些预警仅针对特定地点,并不意味着整个州或所有投票站都面临危险天气。

Tornado watches were also announced for several counties in Kansas and Oklahoma, while flood warnings remained in effect for areas of Florida and New Mexico. However, the warnings apply to specific locations and do not indicate that entire states or all polling stations are facing dangerous conditions.

据风暴预测中心称,周二预计从萨宾河谷和下密西西比河谷一带,向中密西西比河谷方向将发展雷暴天气。部分风暴可能产生破坏性大风和孤立龙卷风,导致受影响社区的出行存在潜在危险。

According to the Storm Prediction Center, thunderstorms are expected to develop on Tuesday across areas extending from the Sabine and lower Mississippi valleys towards the Mid-Mississippi Valley. Some of these storms could produce damaging winds and isolated tornadoes, making travel potentially hazardous in affected communities.US midterm elections 2026: Key races to watch, issues and what is at stake for Trump and Republicans Heavy rain raises flash flooding concernsApart from thunderstorms, significant rainfall is another major concern for several parts of the country.

美国2026年中期选举:关键竞逐、核心议题及特朗普与共和党面临的利害得失暴雨引发山洪暴发担忧除雷暴外,大范围强降雨是全国多地面临的另一大担忧。气象预报员警告称,大平原和中西部部分地区可能遭遇大量降雨。反复经历多轮雷暴的地区,面临山洪暴发风险增加。

Weather forecasters have warned that portions of the Plains and Midwest could experience substantial rainfall. Areas receiving repeated rounds of thunderstorms may face an increased risk of flash flooding.

佛罗里达州部分地区的情况已趋严重,大选日前夕暴雨导致洪涝。国家气象局报告称,印第安里弗县、马丁县和圣卢西县部分地区周一因降雨量达6至12英寸(约15至30厘米)而出现洪水。受影响预警区还可能额外降下2至4英寸(约5至10厘米)雨量。

The situation is already serious in parts of Florida, where heavy rainfall has caused flooding ahead of Election Day. The National Weather Service reported that parts of Indian River, Martin and St. Lucie counties experienced flooding on Monday after receiving between 6 and 12 inches of rain. An additional 2 to 4 inches was possible in the affected warning area.

新墨西哥州也报告了因洪水造成的中断。针对里奥阿里巴县部分地区的洪水预警已延长至周二上午6点(山区标准时间)。当局还报告称,查马周边因洪水水位上涨实施了道路封闭。密西西比河谷在选举日面临新一轮天气威胁随着风暴系统推进,关注焦点正转向下游和中游密西西比河谷,预计周二当地将出现雷暴天气。

New Mexico has also reported flooding-related disruptions. A flood warning covering part of Rio Arriba County was extended until 6 a.m. Mountain Standard Time on Tuesday. Authorities also reported road closures around Chama because of rising floodwaters. Mississippi Valley faces fresh weather threat on Election DayAs the storm system progresses, attention is shifting towards the lower and middle Mississippi Valley, where thunderstorms are forecast to develop on Tuesday.

风暴预测中心警告称,部分风暴可能带来破坏性阵风和孤立龙卷风。同一地点反复降雨还可能引发局部山洪。

The Storm Prediction Center has warned that some storms could bring damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Repeated rainfall over the same locations could also trigger localised flash flooding.

这些天气状况可能给前往投票站的居民带来额外困难,尤其是道路已因暴雨受损的地区。受风暴影响各州投票时间不一恶劣天气的时机对选民可能至关重要,因为各州的投票安排不同,某些情况下甚至因县而异。

These conditions could create additional difficulties for residents travelling to polling stations, particularly in areas where roads are already affected by heavy rain. Polling hours vary across storm-affected statesThe timing of the severe weather could be important for voters, as polling schedules differ across states and, in some cases, between counties.

在面临或可能受更广泛天气系统影响的州份中,投票站通常按以下时间开放:伊利诺伊州:当地时间上午6点。佛罗里达州:当地时间上午7点。爱荷华州:当地时间上午7点。堪萨斯州:当地时间上午7点。阿肯色州:当地时间上午7点30分。

Among states facing or potentially affected by the broader weather system, polling stations are generally scheduled to open at the following times:Illinois: 6 a.m. local time. Florida: 7 a.m. local time. Iowa: 7 a.m. local time. Kansas: 7 a.m. local time. Arkansas: 7:30 a.m. local time. Polling hours may differ depending on local election regulations and time zones.

投票时间可能因当地选举法规和时区而有所不同。例如在堪萨斯州,投票站通常在中部时间上午7点至下午7点运营,但各县可自行制定不同安排。

In Kansas, for example, polling stations generally operate between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Central Time, although individual counties may establish different schedules. Election officials are encouraging voters to check their local election authority's website for confirmed polling locations and operating hours before travelling.

选举官员呼吁选民出行前查阅当地选举机构网站,确认投票地点和营业时间。身处洪涝或严重风暴地区的居民还应密切关注官方天气预警和路况信息。数百万美国人前往投票参加中期选举此次天气干扰正值美国人前往投票站参加一场重要的中期选举。美国众议院全部435个席位和参议院35个席位将进行角逐。

Residents in areas experiencing flooding or severe storms should also monitor official weather alerts and road conditions. Millions of Americans head to vote in MidtermsThe weather disruptions come as Americans head to the polls for an important round of midterm elections. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are being contested, along with 35 Senate seats.

36个州的选民也在选举州长,同时全国各地正在举行大量州立法机构、司法和地方层面的竞选。结果将决定国会的权力平衡,并影响唐纳德·特朗普总统第二任期最后两年的政治走向。由于恶劣天气威胁多个地区,选举官员面临额外挑战,需确保选民能安全前往投票站并行使投票权。恶劣天气会影响选举日的投票率吗?

Voters in 36 states are also choosing governors, while numerous state legislative, judicial and local contests are taking place nationwide. The results will determine the balance of power in Congress and influence the political direction of the country during the final two years of President Donald Trump's second term. With severe weather threatening several regions, election officials face the additional challenge of ensuring that voters can access polling stations safely and exercise their right to vote. Does bad weather influence voter turnout on Election Day?

恶劣天气状况可能影响选民参与度,研究表明降雨和降雪可能会阻碍部分人前往投票站。不过,总体影响通常被认为较为温和,且取决于天气严重程度和当地具体情况。

Adverse weather conditions can have an impact on voter participation, with research indicating that rainfall and snowfall may discourage some people from visiting polling stations. However, the overall effect is generally considered modest and varies depending on the severity of the weather and local circumstances.A 2023 study by researchers Søren Damsbo-Svendsen and Kasper M. Hansen, which analysed findings from 34 earlier studies examining the relationship between rainfall and voting behaviour, found that rain can reduce the likelihood of people casting their ballots.

研究人员索伦·达姆斯博-斯文森和卡斯珀·M·汉森2023年的一项研究分析了34项早期研究的发现,这些研究考察了降雨与投票行为的关系,结果显示降雨会降低人们投票的可能性。研究人员估计,每增加一英寸降雨量,与投票率平均下降约1至2个百分点相关。

The researchers estimated that every additional inch of rainfall was associated with an average decline of approximately 1 to 2 percentage points in voter turnout.

布拉德·戈麦斯、托马斯·汉斯福德和乔治·克劳斯早期的研究考察了1948年至2000年间的美国总统大选,同样发现天气状况与选举参与度之间存在关联。

Earlier research by Brad Gomez, Thomas Hansford and George Krause, examining US presidential elections between 1948 and 2000, also identified a connection between weather conditions and electoral participation.

他们的研究结果表明,降雨量每增加一英寸,投票率会略微下降不到一个百分点,而降雪量每增加一英寸,则与大约下降半个百分点有关。尽管这些研究表明恶劣天气可能给投票制造障碍,但它们并未确定风暴或洪水将决定2026年美国中期选举的结果。影响程度取决于多个因素,包括降雨强度、投票站的可达性以及选民安全出行的能力。

Their findings suggested that an additional inch of rainfall reduced voter turnout by slightly less than one percentage point, while an extra inch of snowfall was linked to a decline of around half a percentage point. Although these studies suggest that adverse weather can create obstacles to voting, they do not establish that storms or flooding will determine the outcome of the 2026 US midterm elections. The extent of the impact depends on several factors, including the intensity of rainfall, accessibility of polling stations and the ability of voters to travel safely.

与天气相关的干扰对某些社区的影响也可能比其他社区更严重。此外,多年来投票方式的变化可能会影响天气对当今投票率的作用。提前投票和邮寄选票的日益普及,为选民提供了在选举日前往投票站之外的替代选择。因此,虽然恶劣天气可能会阻碍部分选民参与,但其对2026年选举的总体影响仍不确定。

Weather-related disruptions may also affect some communities more severely than others. Furthermore, changes in voting practices over the years could influence how weather affects turnout today. The growing availability of early voting and mail-in ballots gives voters alternatives to travelling to polling stations on Election Day. As a result, while severe weather could discourage some voters from participating, its overall influence on the 2026 election remains uncertain.

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