
华盛顿,11月3日——六小时二十四分钟。正是美国最高法院法官们用来阻止唐纳德·特朗普总统在周二中期选举前夕干预加利福尼亚州选票计数的时间。
WASHINGTON, Nov 3 - Six hours and 24 minutes. That is how long it took the US Supreme Court's justices to shut down President Donald Trump's attempt to intervene in California's ballot count on the eve of Tuesday's midterm elections.
通常,做出决定需要花费数月甚至在紧急行动中也需数周的机构,这些法官却在周一以惊人的速度作出了决定。他们以一种不隆重的方式处理了行政部门的请求,这种方式有时在他们认为不值得美国最高司法机构关注的事务中出现。
Usually an institution that takes its time with decisions — mostly over months but even in emergency actions, over weeks — the justices acted on Monday with remarkable speed. They gave the administration's case the same kind of unceremonious treatment sometimes exhibited in matters they apparently deem unworthy of the top US judicial body's attention.
最高法院拒绝行政部门暂时阻止加利福尼亚州计数超过2万名注册选民的邮寄选票的请求,理由是联邦官员认为这些选民很可能不是美国公民。该决定以一条简短的单句命令作出,法院没有对其决定作出任何解释,也没有公开记录任何法官的反对意见。
The court's decision to deny the administration's request to temporarily block California from counting mail-in ballots from more than 20,000 registered voters who federal officials allege are likely non-US citizens came in a brief, one-sentence order. The court offered no explanation for its decision, and there were no publicly noted dissents among the justices.
这表明,特朗普及其共和党同僚在最近几周内在最高法院关于选举相关决定的获胜方式突然停滞。例如,法院在九月也拒绝让行政部门执行美国邮政局的规则,限制通过邮寄投票的方式投票,而邮寄投票在民主党选民中比共和党选民更为常见。
It showed how the winning ways for Trump and his fellow Republicans came to a sudden halt in election-related decisions at the Supreme Court in recent weeks. For instance, the court in September also refused to let the administration enforce a US Postal Service rule to restrict voting by mail, a mode of casting ballots used more commonly by Democratic voters than Republican voters.
在这些最近的决定之前,法院在选举相关案件中作出了一系列裁决,在选区划分和少数族裔投票权等问题上,共和党通常比民主党更占优势,这些胜利在很大程度上塑造了中期选战的战场。
Prior to these recent decisions, the court had made a series of rulings in election-related cases in which Republicans generally fared better than Democrats on matters such as the drawing of electoral districts and minority voting rights, wins that shaped the midterm battlefield to an unusual degree.
该法院的6-3保守派多数包括三名由特朗普任命的法官,尽管他在邮政局投票规则裁决后对任命这三名法官表示遗憾。
The court's 6-3 conservative majority includes three justices appointed by Trump, though he voiced regret about nominating all three of them after the Postal Service ballots ruling.
中期选举的赌注 共和党在周二的中期选举中正力争保住对国会的控制权,目前他们在众议院和参议院均占据微弱多数。民主党需要在众议院和参议院各净增至少四个席位,才能在这两个议院取得多数。若任一议院控制权落入民主党手中,将危及特朗普的立法议程,并为民主党主导的国会调查打开大门,调查矛头将指向特朗普及其政府。
THE STAKES IN THE MIDTERMS The Republicans in Tuesday's midterms are fighting to retain control of Congress, where they hold slim majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate. Democrats need a net gain of at least four seats each in the House of Representatives and Senate to secure majorities in those chambers. Ceding control of either chamber to the Democrats would imperil Trump's legislative agenda and open the door to Democratic-led congressional investigations targeting him and his administration.
法律专家表示,近几周政府和共和党在法院遭遇的挫折,可能反映出他们提交论据的质量低劣。
Legal experts said the setbacks for the administration and Republicans at the court in recent weeks may reflect the poor quality of the arguments they presented.
尽管法院或许已因临近大选而不愿介入,但洛约拉法学院教授、宪法与选举法专家贾斯汀·莱维特表示:“坦率地说,我认为共和党、司法部(DOJ)接连败诉的根本原因,是他们的案子本身就不怎么样。”
While the court already may have been hesitant to intervene so close to an election, Loyola Law School professor Justin Levitt, an expert in constitutional and election law, said, "I think, frankly, the broader string of losses by Republicans, by the DOJ (Department of Justice), is because their cases haven't been very good."
莱维特称,司法部在加利福尼亚州的案件“是迄今最典型的例子”,直呼其为“烂透了”。俄亥俄州立大学选举法专家爱德华·福利指出,在加利福尼亚州一案中,法院甚至未要求州政府就政府的请求作出回应——这一步骤若被采纳,通常表明大法官们正严肃对待该事项。
"The DOJ's case in California is the most striking example yet," Levitt said, calling it "hot garbage." Ohio State University election law expert Edward Foley noted that in the California case the court did not even solicit a response from the state to the administration's request, a step that when taken may indicate that the justices are taking a matter seriously.
福利说:“但当案件极其薄弱时,就像司法部关于加利福尼亚州选票的案子那样,传递出某种信号在所难免。甚至懒得要求回应,就显示出该起诉文书有多么薄弱。”司法部发言人周二对法院在加利福尼亚州案件中的裁决表示失望。
"But when a case is exceptionally weak, as DOJ's was regarding the California ballots, it's inevitable that a message is sent. Not even bothering to get a response shows how weak the filing was," Foley said. A Justice Department spokesperson on Tuesday expressed disappointment in the court's ruling in the California case.
“但这并非我们努力的终点。我们正在加利福尼亚州及全国范围内部署选举监察员,以监督联邦法律的遵守情况,每日对选举舞弊者提起指控,并将寻求其他法律途径,确保只有符合资格的美国公民投票,”该发言人说。
"But this is not the end of our efforts. We are deploying election monitors in California and across the country to observe compliance with federal law, charging election fraudsters daily, and will pursue other legal avenues to ensure that only eligible American citizens vote," the spokesperson said.
在最近几周特朗普所在政党遭遇的其他挫折中,包括最高法院在9月做出的三项裁决,禁止密苏里州使用一张重新绘制的美国众议院选区地图,该地图旨在有利于共和党。密苏里州最高法院曾裁定,除非先提交全民公投,否则共和党绘制的这张地图不得用于中期选举。
Among the other setbacks for Trump's party in recent weeks were three decisions by the court in September that barred Missouri from using a redrawn map of US House districts designed to favor Republicans. Missouri's top court had ruled that the Republican-drawn map could not be used in the midterms unless it was first put to a voter referendum.
最高法院在第三项密苏里州相关裁决的未署名意见中写道,在正在进行的选举中恢复这张地图“将导致选举混乱”,该裁决与加利福尼亚州案件的裁决一样,也没有公开的异议意见。
Reinstating this map "in the midst of an ongoing election would usher in electoral chaos," the Supreme Court said in its unsigned ruling in the third Missouri decision, which, like the California ruling, also showed no public dissents.
在关于邮政局邮寄选票规则的裁决中,只有法院中最保守的两位大法官——塞缪尔·阿利托和克拉伦斯·托马斯——公开表示异议。
In the decision on the Postal Service rule concerning mail-in ballots, only the court's two most conservative justices — Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas — publicly dissented.
胜诉之道 在本选举周期中,特朗普及其政党在与选举相关的案件中总体上表现良好。
WINNING WAYS Trump and his party had generally done well in election-related cases during this election cycle.
在由保守派大法官主导的一项里程碑式裁决中,法院于4月废除了《投票权法案》的一项关键条款,使少数族裔更难以种族歧视为由质疑选区地图。此后,多个由共和党主导的南方州抓紧拆除拥有大量黑人人口的众议院选区,以赶在中期选举前完成。黑人选民倾向于支持民主党候选人。
In a landmark ruling powered by the conservative justices, the court in April gutted a key provision of the Voting Rights Act, making it harder for minorities to challenge electoral maps as racially discriminatory. Several Republican-led Southern states then rushed to dismantle House districts with sizable Black populations in time for the midterms. Black voters tend to support Democratic candidates.
6月,法院在特朗普副总统万斯等人发起的挑战中,推翻了长期存在的竞选资金限制。此后,共和党委员会大幅突破了这些原有限额,其民主党对手也在较小程度上如此。
In June, the court threw out longstanding campaign finance limits in a challenge brought by Trump's vice president, JD Vance, and others. Since then, Republican committees have greatly exceeded these former limits, with their Democratic counterparts doing so to a lesser extent.
法院进一步强化了协调支出,允许特朗普政府的一项政策生效,该政策赋予政党——而不仅仅是候选人——享受电视和广播广告优惠费率的权利。“仓促提起的诉讼”圣母大学法学院教授德里克·穆勒表示,《投票权法案》和竞选资金案件涉及长期争议的法律问题和重要的宪法理论,而近期的案件是在临近选举时提起的,且“准备不充分或理论基础薄弱”。
The court further bolstered coordinated spending by allowing a Trump administration policy giving political parties, and not just candidates, access to discounted TV and radio advertising rates. 'FLY-BY-NIGHT LITIGATION' Notre Dame Law School professor Derek Muller said that the Voting Rights Act and campaign finance cases involved long-contested legal issues and significant constitutional theories, while the recent cases were filed close to an election and were "half-baked or under-theorized."
穆勒补充道:“在我看来,保守派事业几十年来一直在推进的那种标志性诉讼——这类诉讼极有可能在法院获胜——与这种仓促提起、似乎经常在法院败诉的诉讼之间,存在巨大差异。”
"To me, then, there's a big difference between the kinds of signature litigation that conservative causes have been developing for decades — which are likely to win before the court — and the fly-by-night litigation that seems to be a regular loser before the court," Muller added.
本选举周期内的其他最高法院裁决允许为中期选举划定明显带有党派色彩的投票版图,引发了共和党和民主党之间前所未有的重新划分选区军备竞赛。这场战斗始于去年,当时特朗普敦促共和党主导的州撕毁现有的国会选区版图,重新绘制更有利于该党在中期选举中赢得众议院席位的版图。
Other Supreme Court rulings during this election cycle allowed starkly partisan voting maps for the midterms, fueling an unprecedented redistricting arms race between Republicans and Democrats. This battle was initiated last year when Trump urged Republican-led states to rip up existing congressional maps and draw new ones more likely to help the party pick up House seats in the midterms.
得克萨斯州率先这么做,最高法院于2025年12月批准了新版图。加利福尼亚州作为回应,重新绘制其国会选区版图以有利于民主党,法院于2月也批准了该版图。
Texas was the first to do so, and the Supreme Court in December 2025 allowed the new map. California responded to the move by Texas by redrawing its congressional map to favor Democrats, and the court in February allowed that, too.
非公民投票指控 特朗普政府在中期选举前夕加大了对所谓非公民投票的关注力度。它起诉加利福尼亚州,试图阻止计算特朗普政府国土安全部编制的一份名单上2万名登记选民的选票,该部门指控这些人极有可能是非美国公民。
NONCITIZEN VOTING CLAIMS Trump's administration intensified its focus on alleged noncitizen voting in the run-up to the midterms. It sued California to try to prevent the counting of ballots from a list compiled by Trump's Department of Homeland Security of 20,000 registered voters who it alleged were likely non-US citizens.
下级法院对该名单的可靠性表示担忧,加利福尼亚州称该名单错误百出。
Lower courts expressed concern over the reliability of the list, which California said was rife with errors.
多项研究和州审计显示,不符合资格的投票(包括非公民投票)极为罕见。特朗普曾就2020年大选中存在大规模投票舞弊提出虚假指控,他在该次大选中败给了民主党人乔·拜登。
Multiple studies and state audits show that ineligible voting, including by noncitizens, is rare. Trump has made false claims about widespread US voting fraud including in the 2020 election lost to Democrat Joe Biden.
在另一起案件中,一名联邦法官周日驳回了政府提起的、寻求介入阿拉斯加州联邦参议员竞选的诉讼。
In another case, a federal judge on Sunday dismissed the administration's lawsuit seeking to intervene in the US Senate race in Alaska.
加利福尼亚州总检察长罗布·邦塔(民主党人)表示,他将最高法院周一的行动视为向特朗普政府发出了明确信号。
California Attorney General Rob Bonta, a Democrat, said he viewed the Supreme Court's action on Monday as sending a clear message to the Trump administration.
邦塔对路透社表示:“我认为法院在说:‘我们受够了。你们需要退一步,给我们带来值得审理的案件、值得这个国家最高法院审理的案件,别再拿垃圾案件来了,因为它们会像这一起一样被驳回。’”邦塔补充说,他认为法院传递的信息是,大法官们不愿容忍关于选举舞弊的无根据指控。
"I think the court is saying, 'We've had enough. You need to back off and bring to us cases that are worthy of us, worthy of the highest court in the land, and stop bringing the trash forward because it'll get dismissed just like this one,'" Bonta told Reuters. Bonta added that he thinks the court is sending a message that the justices are not willing to tolerate baseless claims about election fraud.
加州大学洛杉矶分校选举法专家里克·哈森表示:“我认为法院(包括最高法院)在联邦政府的干预和颠覆企图问题上,大多守住了底线。”
"I think the courts, including the Supreme Court, have mostly held the line on federal government interference and subversion attempts," said Rick Hasen, an election law expert at UCLA.
哈森说:“这与通常的选举法案件(如投票权和竞选资金案件)呈现出不同的模式。”
"That's a different pattern than in the usual election law cases like voting rights and campaign finance," Hasen said.