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国会山报

民主党翻转内布拉斯加州“蓝点”第2选区Democrats flip Nebraska’s ‘blue dot’ 2nd District

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据Decision Desk HQ(DDHQ)预测,民主党人丹妮丝·鲍威尔将赢得内布拉斯加州第2国会选区的选举,这是民主党在关键摇摆选区的一次胜选。

Democrat Denise Powell is projected to win the race for Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, according to Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), a pickup for Democrats in a key battleground district.

据DDHQ在东部标准时间晚上9点51分统计的71%选票显示,鲍威尔以59%对39%的得票率,领先共和党人布林克·哈丁20个百分点。

Powell was leading Republican Brinker Harding by 20 percentage points — 59 percent to 39 percent — with 71 percent of the vote reported by DDHQ as of 9:51 p.m.

鲍威尔击败了奥马哈市议会成员哈丁,将填补众议员唐·培根(共和党人)退休后留下的空缺席位。

EST. Powell defeated Harding, an Omaha City Council member, and will fill the seat left open by Rep. Don Bacon’s (R) retirement.

在启动国会竞选之前,鲍威尔创立了一个支持内布拉斯加州各地地方候选人的组织。在竞选中,她抨击特朗普政府导致物价上涨和特朗普家族财富不断增长,承诺推动经济增长、降低成本。

Before launching her bid for Congress, Powell founded an organization to support local candidates across Nebraska. In her campaign, she hit the Trump administration for rising prices and the Trump family’s growing wealth, pledging to grow the economy and lower costs.

哈丁获得了特朗普总统和培根的支持,尽管他在竞选网站上并未宣传特朗普的背书。《内布拉斯加信使报》指出,尽管特朗普在竞选最后几周在内布拉斯加州举行了集会,但哈丁并未出席。

Harding was supported by President Trump and Bacon, though he did not promote Trump’s endorsement on his campaign website. Courier Nebraska noted that while Trump held a rally in Nebraska in the final weeks of the campaign, Harding did not attend.

众议院议长迈克·约翰逊(路易斯安那州共和党人)夏季曾为哈丁造势,但随着众议院战场转向更红的选区,该选区受到的关注减少。

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) campaigned for Harding over the summer, but as the House battlefield shifted toward redder seats, the district received less attention.

鲍威尔获得了一大批全国民主党人的支持,包括众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(纽约州民主党人)、前国务卿希拉里·克林顿和前交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格的造访。

Powell was supported by a slew of national Democrats, including visits from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.

这场胜利标志着民主党在内布拉斯加州第2选区迈出了重大一步,多年来,尽管该选区在全国范围内偏蓝,民主党一直未能翻转该席位。

The win marks a major step forward for Democrats in Nebraska’s 2nd District, who have for years been unable to flip the seat despite its blue lean nationally.

内布拉斯加州在总统选举中按国会选区分配选举人票,而第2选区一直是该州三个选区中竞争最激烈的一个。民主党在过去两届总统选举中都赢得了第2选区,前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯在2024年以4个百分点的优势赢得该选区。培根在同一张选票上以不到2个百分点的优势连任。

Nebraska splits its electoral votes in presidential elections by congressional district, and Nebraska’s 2nd has consistently been the most competitive of the state’s three districts. Democrats have carried the 2nd in the past two presidential elections, with former Vice President Kamala Harris winning the district by 4 points in 2024. Bacon won reelection on the same ballot by just less than 2 points.

该选区普遍被认为将由民主党翻红,因为《库克政治报告》和《萨巴托水晶球》——两家无党派选举预测机构——在最终竞选评级中均将该竞选评为“民主党很有优势”。决策总部(DDHQ)在选举前给鲍威尔超过 90% 的获胜几率。鲍威尔将成为首位代表第 2 选区的女性。

The district was widely expected to flip to the Democrats, as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball — two nonpartisan election forecasters — both rated the race “likely Democratic” in their final race ratings. DDHQ gave Powell more than a 90 percent chance to win ahead of the election. Powell will be the first woman to represent the 2nd District.

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