在周二大选前两周发布的关于密苏里州第3号修正案的最终民调显示，双方势均力敌——考虑到这项反堕胎、反跨性别投票议案极其令人困惑，且是故意如此，这一结果可以理解。
When the final poll on Missouri’s Amendment 3 was released two weeks before Tuesday’s election, it showed a dead heat—an understandable result given that the anti-abortion, anti-trans ballot measure was profoundly, and intentionally, confusing.
但密苏里州选民看透了这一点。这项经过激烈角逐的议案——本将修改州宪法，禁止几乎所有堕胎以及未成年人的性别肯定护理——以仅获44%选票而告败。
But Missourians figured it out. The hard-fought measure—which would have amended the state constitution to ban almost all abortions as well as gender-affirming care for minors—lost with only 44 percent of the vote.
第3号修正案支持者的主要目标是推翻2024年一项将堕胎权写入密苏里州宪法的投票倡议的结果。共和党人——他们在州议会拥有超级多数席位——将自己的议案列入今年选票，但加入了一项他们希望能吸引保守派的新条款：禁止未成年人接受跨性别护理。此类护理，包括青春期阻滞剂和激素疗法，根据密苏里州法规早已属非法。
The primary goal of Amendment 3 supporters was to overturn the results of a 2024 ballot initiative that enshrined abortion rights into the Missouri constitution. Republicans—who have a supermajority in the state’s legislature—put their own measure on this year’s ballot, but included a new provision they hoped would appeal to conservatives: a ban on trans care for minors. Such care, including puberty blockers and hormone therapy, is already illegal by Missouri statute.
共和党州长迈克·基奥——其妻子克劳迪娅曾担任支持第3号修正案的竞选活动“她的健康，她的未来”的财务主管——于周一为该议案做最后冲刺动员。他暗示，两年前密苏里州人以近52%的得票率通过“生殖自由权倡议”时，其实是糊涂的。“多年来，有人跟我说，他们当时不明白自己在投什么，”基奥在杰斐逊城的讲话中说道，这是他全州竞选冲刺的最后一站。“我想这次人们会非常清楚自己在投什么，”他补充道。
Republican Governor Mike Kehoe—whose wife Claudia served as treasurer of Her Health, Her Future, the campaign supporting Amendment 3—made his closing pitch for the measure on Monday. He suggested that when Missourians passed the Right to Reproductive Freedom Initiative two years ago by almost 52 percent, they were confused. “For years, I’ve had people tell me they didn’t understand what they were voting on then,” Kehoe said in remarks in Jefferson City, the final stop on a statewide campaign blitz. “I think people are going to be very clear on what they’re voting on” this time, he added.
当被问及第3号修正案同时涵盖堕胎和性别肯定护理这一事实是否也会让选民困惑时，基奥避而不答。“他们是在对这两项内容投票，我认为这很清楚，”他说。
When asked whether the fact that Amendment 3 covers both abortion and gender-affirming care might also confuse voters, Kehoe demurred. “They’re voting on both of those, and I think that’s what’s clear,” he said.
在上述讲话中，基奥还谴责了选票上的另一项措施——第六修正案，该修正案将使立法者更难推翻公民投票提出的倡议，正如他们在堕胎问题上所试图做的那样。“我认为[第六修正案]是对密苏里州人的侮辱，”基奥说。“我知道密苏里州人非常聪明，我相信他们对派往这座州议会大厦的人所作的决定。”截至周二深夜，第六修正案以60%的得票率，几乎确定将获得通过。
In the same remarks, Kehoe condemned another measure on the ballot, Amendment 6, which would make it harder for legislators to reverse citizen-ballot initiatives—as they tried to do on abortion. “I believe [Amendment 6] is an insult to Missourians,” Kehoe said. “I know that Missourians are pretty smart, and I trust their decision on the people they send to this Capitol.”Amendment 6, by late Tuesday night, was well on its way to passing, with 60 percent of the vote.
截至上周，“她的健康，她的未来”仅筹集了略高于700万美元，不到第三号修正案反对者筹集的2700万美元的三分之一。“反对者不谈堕胎，因为他们知道自己会输，”州众议员、民主党人伊丽莎白·富克斯上个月对我说。“我们在密苏里州已经赢得了堕胎之战，这就是他们加入性别肯定护理的原因。”
As of last week, Her Health, Her Future had raised just over $7 million, less than a third of the $27 million raised by Amendment 3’s opponents. “The opposition is not talking about abortion because they know they will lose,” state Rep. Elizabeth Fuchs, a Democrat, told me last month. “We already won the battle for abortion here in Missouri, and that is why they added gender-affirming care.”
第三号修正案的支持者还试图通过将该措施描述为温和的妥协来争取选民，因为与旧的近乎全面禁令不同，它包括了对医疗紧急情况、某些胎儿异常以及怀孕12周内强奸和乱伦的例外。但代表被拒绝紧急护理的女性在密苏里州和其他州提起诉讼的律师警告说，所谓的堕胎医疗例外并不能保护怀孕患者。Amplify Legal的律师莫莉·杜安告诉《 meanwhile》，第三号修正案中的拟议措辞“绝对是一场灾难”。
Amendment 3’s supporters also tried to win over voters by framing the measure as a moderate compromise because, unlike the old, near-total ban, it includes exceptions for medical emergencies, certain fetal anomalies, and rape and incest through12 weeks of pregnancy. But lawyers who have brought cases in Missouri and other states on behalf of women denied emergency care warned that so-called medical exceptions for abortion do not not protect pregnant patients. The proposed language in Amendment 3 “is an absolute disaster zone,” attorney Molly Duane of Amplify Legal told the Meanwhile, as Kylie Cheung of warned last week, leaders of the Amendment 3 campaign saw it as a “stopgap” and “a pathway to a total ban with no exceptions” that would allow them to go after abortion pill providers.
与此同时，正如《》的凯莉·张上周警告的那样，第三号修正案运动的领导人将其视为“权宜之计”和“通往无例外全面禁令的途径”，这将使他们能够追查堕胎药提供者。在10月3日会议的一段录音中，密苏里州生命权组织主任苏珊·克莱因表示，第三号修正案中的强奸例外“不是我们所有人都想要的”，但她补充说，该投票措施“将给我们机会，让我们的立法者重新获得权利……从受孕那一刻起保护婴儿。”“我们会达到目标的，”她补充说。
In a recording of an October 3rd meeting, Missouri Right to Life Director Susan Klein said the rape exceptions in Amendment 3 are “not what we all want,” but added that the ballot measure “would give us the opportunity to get our legislators the right back… to protect babies from the moment of conception.”“We’re going to get there,” she added.
但今晚，他们没有做到。相反，密苏里人重申了他们两年前的投票——对堕胎投赞成票，对性别肯定护理投赞成票——同时让他们州立法机构更难试图推翻这些投票。
But tonight, they did not. Instead, Missourians reaffirmed their votes from two years ago—yes on abortion, yes on gender-affirming care—and simultaneously made it harder for their state legislature to try to roll those votes back again.