民主党在国会选举中大获全胜后，亚洲国家正在权衡在特朗普跛脚鸭政府执政下它们与美国的关系将如何变化。
In the wake of Democrats’ sweeping victory in congressional elections, Asian countries are weighing how their ties with the US will shift under a lame-duck Trump administration.
观察人士预计，“蓝色浪潮”的中期选举结果将促使特朗普政府加大对华盛顿亚洲盟友的施压，要求它们增加对美投资并提高防务费用分担。
Observers expect the “blue wave” midterm results will push the Trump administration to heighten pressure on Washington’s Asian allies for greater US investment and increased defence cost-sharing.
在韩国，分析人士预测，管理与华盛顿的关系将变得明显更加棘手。
In South Korea, analysts have predicted that managing relations with Washington will become significantly more demanding.
韩国外交部前第一次官崔钟建表示，首尔将不得不分别应对白宫和国会，这可能使外交工作更具挑战性。
Seoul would have to deal separately with the White House and Congress, which could make diplomacy more challenging, said Choi Jong-kun, former first vice-minister of foreign affairs.
崔钟建周三在热门网络时事节目《金于俊的新闻工厂》中发言时警告称，首尔面临日益复杂的平衡难题。
Speaking on Wednesday on Kim Eo-jun’s News Factory, a popular online current-affairs show, Choi warned that Seoul faced an increasingly complex balancing act.
崔钟建以总统李在明争取为核动力潜艇确保燃料供应为例指出，由民主党主导的国会可能会在全球防扩散规范上采取严格得多的立场，并为该计划设置障碍。崔钟建还对华盛顿与平壤之间恢复高层外交的前景持谨慎态度。
Choi pointed to President Lee Jae-myung’s efforts to secure fuel supplies for nuclear-powered submarines as a potential example. A Democratic-led Congress, he argued, was likely to adopt a much stricter posture on global non-proliferation norms and erect barriers to the plan.
崔钟建指出，朝鲜“掌握着双边会谈的钥匙”，并表示民主党大胜使金正恩缺乏重新接触的动力，因为特朗普政府将难以向这位领导人提供任何实质性激励以促使其重返谈判桌。
Choi was also cautious about the prospects of a revival of high-level diplomacy between Washington and Pyongyang.
据韩国《财经新闻》周三报道，经济与军事合作两方面面临的压力都可能加大。
Noting that North Korea “holds the key to bilateral talks”, Choi said that a Democratic sweep left Kim Jong-un with little incentive to re-engage, as it would be difficult for the Trump administration to offer the leader any substantive incentives to return to the negotiating table.
报道指出，国会可能会继续推动韩国履行其对美的大规模投资承诺，因为民主党人也支持吸引外资和振兴国内制造业的措施。
Pressure was likely to mount on both economic and military cooperation, South Korea’s The Financial News reported on Wednesday.
根据去年与华盛顿签署的一项协议，韩国承诺向美国战略领域投资3500亿美元，包括造船和先进半导体。报道称，美国还可能敦促韩国承担更多安全承诺的费用。
Congress would likely continue to push South Korea to fulfil its massive investment pledges to the US, the report noted, as Democrats also backed measures to attract foreign capital and revitalise domestic manufacturing. Under a pact signed with Washington last year, South Korea committed US$350 billion to strategic US sectors including shipbuilding and advanced semiconductors.
报道认为，更严厉的措施可能很快出台，并称华盛顿可能威胁削减驻韩美军或加征贸易关税。在日本，反应集中在安全问题上。
The US would also likely urge South Korea to cover more of the cost of their security commitments, the report said. Tougher measures could emerge quickly, the report argued, saying that Washington might threaten potential cuts to US forces in the country or trade tariffs.
据共同社报道，内阁官房长官木原稔周三在新闻发布会上表示，无论美国中期选举结果如何，东京都将继续重视日美关系。
In Japan, the reaction focused on security issues.
木原稔说：“强有力的日美同盟对于最大化日本的国家利益、确保国际社会的和平与稳定不可或缺。我们将继续在包括两国首脑和外长在内的各个层面密切合作，将同盟提升到更高的高度。”上周二，日本国际关系论坛主办的一次外交会议重点讨论了驻日美军费用分摊特别协定。该协定将于2027年3月到期，延长协定的谈判已于8月开始。
Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said at a press conference on Wednesday that Tokyo would continue to place importance on Japan-US relations regardless of the US midterm results, according to Kyodo News. “A robust Japan-US alliance is indispensable for maximising Japan’s national interests and ensuring the peace and stability of the international community,” Kihara said. “We will continue to work closely at all levels, including between the heads and foreign ministers of both nations, to elevate the alliance to even greater heights.”
根据会议纪要，总统在选举后的地位可能会影响其在这些谈判中的立场。野村综合研究所执行经济学家木内登英也持类似观点。
A diplomatic conference hosted last Tuesday by The Japan Forum on International Relations highlighted a special agreement on sharing the cost of stationing US troops in Japan. Negotiations on extending the agreement, which will expire in March 2027, began in August .
他在上周发表的一篇文章中指出，在外交政策方面，一个政府面临的国内困难越多，就越可能急于在国外取得快速成果。
The president’s post-election standing would likely affect his stance in these negotiations, according to the conference readout.
日本可能更容易受到特朗普政府在美国投资和防务费用分摊方面提出的更多要求的影响。在新加坡，反应集中在贸易方面。新加坡不是美国的盟友。
Takahide Kiuchi, an executive economist at Nomura Research Institute, shared a similar view. In foreign policy, the more domestic difficulties an administration faced, the more likely it was to rush to get quick achievements abroad, he noted in an article published last week. Japan may become more vulnerable to additional demands from the Trump administration regarding investment in the US and defence cost-sharing.
新加坡管理大学政治学教授埃尔文·林在上周五《亚洲新闻台》的报道中指出，民主党控制的国会未必意味着关税会迅速缓解，因为推翻总统否决需要国会三分之二多数票。
In Singapore, which is not a US ally, the reaction has centred on trade.
他说，对新加坡而言，眼前的结论不是关税会取消，而是法律和政策不确定性的增加。尽管如此，仍有一些人对关税压力可能缓解持乐观态度。
Elvin Lim, professor of political science at Singapore Management University, noted in a CNA report last Friday that a Democratic Congress would not necessarily mean quick relief from tariffs, as it takes a two-thirds majority vote in Congress to override a presidential veto. For Singapore, the immediate takeaway was not a rollback of tariffs, but an added layer of legal and policy uncertainty, he said.
新加坡尤索夫伊萨东南亚研究院访问高级研究员斯蒂芬·奥尔森在《商业时报》周日发表的分析文章中写道：“民主党控制的国会会注意到关税推高物价给选民带来的困扰。”
Still, there is some optimism that tariff pressures could ease.
他补充说：“这样的国会将有能力推动豁免和例外。这可能为东南亚出口商带来些许缓解。美国贸易政策的任何更深层次转变都将取决于2028年总统选举的结果。”美国军事姿态可能更加克制的预期也在中东引发迅速反应。
“A Democrat-controlled Congress would be mindful of the tariff-fuelled higher prices distressing their constituents,” Stephen Olson, a visiting senior fellow at Singapore’s ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore, wrote in an analysis published by The Business Times on Sunday. “Such a Congress would be positioned to push for carve-outs and exceptions. This could provide a modicum of relief for Southeast Asian exporters. Any deeper shifts in US trade policy will have to await the outcome of the 2028 presidential election,” he added.
伊朗与美国谈判的首席谈判代表穆罕默德·巴格尔·加利巴夫在社交媒体上发文称：“出于良知还是生活成本，美国人对战争说不，我们赞同这一信息。”
The prospect of a more restrained US military posture also drew swift reaction in the Middle East.
最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊警告不要指望华盛顿对德黑兰的政策会发生变化。
“Conscience or the cost of living, Americans said NO TO WAR, and we endorse this message,” Iran’s chief negotiator in talks with the United States, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, posted on social media.
伊朗国家广播机构伊斯兰共和国广播电视台发布的一段归因于他的讲话中说：“如果仍有人抱有哪怕一丝希望，认为霸权体系的行为可能通过政党或派系更迭而改变，或者认为向美国让步就能说服其放弃对伊朗人民的敌意，那他们就大错特错了。”
Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei warned against expecting a change in Washington’s policy towards Tehran.
这是他纪念“打击全球傲慢国家日”声明的一部分。该节日是伊朗每年11月4日举行的官方纪念活动，不过声明并未明确提及美国中期选举。
“If there are still those who harbour even the slightest hope that the behaviour of the hegemonic system could change through party or factional shifts, or who believe that making concessions to the US could persuade it to abandon its hostility towards the Iranian people, they are gravely mistaken,” he said a message attributed to him that was published by the state-run Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting. It was part of his statement marking the National Day of Fighting Against Global Arrogance – an official annual observance in Iran held on November 4 – although the message did not explicitly mention the US midterm elections.
哈梅内伊还将伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制以及摧毁美国在地区国家的军事基地描述为对美国攻击的回应，以及更广泛的地区反“傲慢”斗争的一部分。
Khamenei also described Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz and the destruction of US military bases in regional countries as a response to American attacks and part of a broader regional struggle against “arrogance”.
他警告说，“如果侵略行为再次发生”，此类行动将呈现“更广泛的层面”。
He warned that such actions would take on “much broader dimensions if the aggressions are repeated”.