一位中国分析人士表示，即使美国中期选举结果不会改变华盛顿对北京的总体战略，民主党控制的美国国会仍将在台湾、人工智能（AI）和出口管制等问题上加大对北京的压力。
A Democratic-controlled US Congress will ramp up pressure on Beijing over Taiwan, artificial intelligence (AI) and export controls, even if the US midterm results leave Washington’s overall strategy towards Beijing unchanged, according to a Chinese analyst.
复旦大学国际问题研究院教授赵明昊称，目前的选举结果是一场“蓝色浪潮”，是民主党的“大胜”，将使美国总统唐纳德·特朗普成为“跛脚鸭”。
Zhao Minghao, a professor at Fudan University’s Institute of International Studies, called the results so far a “blue tsunami” and a “big win” for the Democrats that would turn US President Donald Trump into a “lame duck”.
美联社周三下午报道，民主党赢得了参议院的控制权，在选民对高物价和伊朗战争的不满情绪中翻转了数个共和党持有的席位。他们还拿下了美国众议院的控制权。
The Associated Press on Wednesday afternoon reported that Democrats had won control of the Senate, flipping several Republican-held seats amid voter frustration over high prices and the Iran war. They also took control of the US House of Representatives.
赵明昊表示，民主党控制的国会一旦在明年1月召开会议，可能会对特朗普、其家人和高级官员发起大规模调查，在立法和预算方面阻挠总统的议程。
Zhao said a Democratic-controlled Congress was likely to launch sweeping investigations into Trump, his family and senior officials once it convened in January, pushing back on the president’s agenda across legislation and the budget.
赵明昊认为，中期选举不会改变华盛顿对华政策的总体方向，因为加强与北京的战略竞争是两党共识。但选举结果可能会影响华盛顿使用的工具。
Zhao suggested that the midterm elections would not change the overall direction of Washington’s China policy, since stepping up strategic competition with Beijing is a bipartisan consensus. But the results could affect the tools Washington uses.
“首先，民主党领导的国会肯定会在台湾、人工智能和出口管制问题上进一步加大对中国的压力，”他说。
“For one, a Democratic-led Congress will certainly further intensify pressure on China on Taiwan, AI and export controls,” he said.
“民主党人还将更密切地审视特朗普政府的对华政策，包括其如何与北京开展外交。所有这些都将影响行政部门在下一阶段如何处理对华关系。”随着人工智能——从数据中心到监管——在中期选举中占据中心位置，赵明昊表示，一旦民主党控制国会，这场辩论可能会与美国和中国的竞争更紧密地联系在一起。
“Democrats will also scrutinise the Trump administration’s China policy more closely, including how it conducts diplomacy with Beijing. All of this will affect how the executive branch handles relations with China in the next phase.”As artificial intelligence – from data centres to regulation – took centre stage in the midterm elections, Zhao said the debate was likely to become more closely tied to US-China competition once the Democrats take control of Congress.
“民主党人可能会将中国政策工具化，以此向特朗普施压。这对北京来说是一个非常巨大的挑战，”他说。
“The Democrats may instrumentalise China policy as a tool to pressure Trump. This is a very big challenge for Beijing,” he said.
“展望未来，特朗普个人政治权威的衰落，也将对中美形成的战略稳定关系的新定位……以及在这一关系上取得的进展构成重大挑战。”
“Going forward, the decline of Trump’s personal political authority will also pose a major challenge to the new positioning of a strategically stable relationship that China and the US have formed … and the progress made on it.”