共和党的惨败可能重塑美国政治，但亚洲不应期待美国政治回归特朗普总统之前的状态，Blackbox Research首席执行官大卫·布莱克表示。
The Republican Party’s crushing defeat could reshape American politics, but Asia should not expect US politics to return to what it was before President Donald Trump, says the Blackbox Research CEO David Black.
在这次与《海峡时报》资深专栏作家巴万·贾伊普拉加斯的对话中——录制于11月4日，投票结束几小时后——布莱克解释了为何他视特朗普的失败为一次非凡的政治自毁行为。
In this conversation with The Straits Times’ senior columnist Bhavan Jaipragas - recorded on Nov 4, hours after polls closed - Black explains why he sees Trump’s defeat as an extraordinary act of political self-sabotage. With Democrats projected to take control of both chambers of Congress, what comes next for President Donald Trump? Will he moderate his approach, or become even more combative?
随着民主党预计将控制国会两院，特朗普总统接下来将何去何从？他会调和自己的做法，还是变得更加好斗？
Black also discusses what this means for Asia, and how Beijing might read the election results. Highlights (click/tap above): 3:43 Republican midterm loss is the worst result since 1974 7:16 Why voters turned up in large numbers 9:27 Why Trump might ditch MAGA 11:42 Are Republicans distancing themselves from Trump? 12:58 Trump’s scapegoat: Pete Hegseth 14:35 Potential Democrat front-runners for the US presidency 20:17 Democrats “can’t do much about” tariffs 23:42 Impact of midterm results on the Iran war and US foreign policy 25:58 Would Asian diplomats and leaders change their approach towards the US?
布莱克还讨论了这对亚洲意味着什么，以及北京可能如何解读选举结果。亮点（点击/轻触上方）：3:43 共和党中期选举失利是自1974年以来的最差结果 7:16 为何选民大批投票 9:27 特朗普为何可能放弃MAGA 11:42 共和党人是否在与特朗普划清界限？
28:00 China’s response to the US midterm election results Read ST’s Opinion section: Host: Bhavan Jaipragas (bhavan@sph.com.sg) Produced and edited by: Teo Tong Kai Executive producers: Danson Cheong & Lynda Hong Follow In Your Opinion Podcast here and get notified for new episode drops:
12:58 特朗普的替罪羊：皮特·赫格塞斯 14:35 潜在的民主党总统竞选领跑者 20:17 民主党“在关税方面无能为力” 23:42 中期选举结果对伊朗战争和美国外交政策的影响 25:58 亚洲外交官和领导人是否会改变对美国的态度？28:00 中国对美国中期选举结果的回应阅读《海峡时报》观点版块：主持人：巴万·贾伊普拉加斯（bhavan@sph.com.sg） 制作与编辑：卞通凯 执行制片人：丹森·张 & 林达·洪在Apple Podcasts上关注《你的观点》播客，获取新剧集更新：反馈至：podcast@sph.com.sg关注更多《海峡时报》播客频道：《海峡时报》播客全渠道：获取更多更新：下载《海峡时报》应用，该应用设有专门的播客播放器板块：
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