
周二,各路政治倾向的民主党人都取得了巨大胜利,以至于该党并未解决其温和派与进步派之间长期存在的内部争斗。
Democrats of all political stripes won so big on Tuesday that the party didn't settle its long-running civil war between moderates and progressives.
相反,该党历史性的胜利给了各派系一些理由,来声称其代表的民主党品牌能够在2028年击败共和党。
• Instead, the party's historic victories gave each faction some reasons to claim that its brand of Democrats can defeat the GOP in 2028.
驱动新闻的因素:不过,民主党策略师们确信一件事:周二的大胜意味着,与中期选举进展不那么顺利的情况相比,会有更多党内领导人愿意竞选白宫。
Driving the news: Democratic operatives are sure of one thing, though: Tuesday's blowout wins mean that more party leaders will be willing to run for the White House than if the midterms hadn't gone so well.
- 巴拉克·奥巴马2012年的竞选经理吉姆·梅西纳本周对彭博电视台表示,他已经与潜在候选人会面。
• Barack Obama's 2012 campaign manager, Jim Messina, told Bloomberg TV this week that he's already met with potential candidates.
聚焦:周二,温和派民主党人赢了。进步派赢了。甚至曾经的社会主义者也赢了。
Zoom in: On Tuesday, moderate Democrats won. Progressives won. Even one-time socialists won.
- 例如,在密歇根州,毫不掩饰的进步派参议员候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德在以“全民医保”为竞选纲领参选后,以7个百分点的优势获胜。
• In Michigan, for example, unapologetic progressive Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed won by 7 points after running on Medicare for All. In the same state
在同一个州威廉·劳伦斯曾是美国民主社会主义者协会成员,直到他最近让 membership 失效,他翻转了一个关键的摇摆选区。
William Lawrence, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America before he let his membership lapse recently, flipped a key swing district.
- 这些结果对纽约州众议员亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯来说是好消息。这位拥有全国知名度的民主社会主义者全力投入埃尔-赛义德的选举——并且正在考虑两年后竞选总统。
• Those results were good news for New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the democratic socialist with a national profile who went all-in on electing El-Sayed — and is considering a run for president in two years. More moderate Senate candidates
更温和的参议员候选人他们在竞选活动中经常谈论自己的信仰——例如得克萨斯州的詹姆斯·塔拉里科和堪萨斯州的亚当·汉密尔顿——在深红州取得了巨大逆转,并在此过程中为一些民主党人创造了可效仿的模式。
who frequently talked about their faith on the campaign trail — such as Texas' James Talarico and Kansas' Adam Hamilton— pulled off huge upsets in deep-red states, and in the process created a model for some Democrats to follow.
- 他们温文尔雅、充满宗教色彩的竞选活动,与前任交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格2020年的总统竞选如出一辙。
• Their mild-mannered, religion-infused campaigns mirrored former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg's 2020 presidential run.
在过去一年里,奥卡西奥-科尔特斯、布蒂吉格和其他觊觎白宫的民主党人一直在奠定基础,试图将2026年的选举变成他们潜在总统竞选的跳板。
For the past year, AOC, Buttigieg and other Democrats eyeing the White House have been laying the groundwork to turn the 2026 elections into a springboard for their potential presidential campaigns.
- 一些人把筹码押在特定候选人身上——而且几乎所有人都成功了。
• Some put their chips on specific candidates — and virtually all of them succeeded.
宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗是一位以“切实办事”为竞选口号的中间派技术官僚,以22个百分点的优势赢得连任。他的长袖善舞帮助民主党赢得了四个新的众议院席位,并实现了该州政府的“三权合一”(指州长、州参众两院均由民主党控制)。
• Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, a centrist technocrat who campaigned on "getting sh*t done," won reelection by 22 points. His long coattails helped Democrats win four new House seats and a trifecta in his state's government. Former Vice President Kamala Harris
前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯曾敦促选民反击最高法院威胁国会黑人代表权的裁决,她为提高南方各州黑人投票率所做的努力取得了成效。
who urged voters to push back against the Supreme Court's ruling threatening Black representation in Congress, saw her efforts to help boost Black turnout across the South pay off.
- 哈里斯还曾为内华达州和威斯康星州的黑人州长候选人助选,这些候选人均获胜——此外,还有一位黑人参议院候选人在密西西比州即将实现翻转参议院席位,这将是一场历史性的胜利。
• Harris also campaigned with Black gubernatorial candidates in Nevada and Wisconsin who won — and a third Black Senate contender who's on the cusp of flipping a Senate seat in Mississippi in what would be a historic win.
- 对哈里斯而言另一利好消息是:佐治亚州的凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯创造了历史,成为美国首位赢得州长选举的黑人女性。
• Also good for Harris: Georgia's Keisha Lance Bottoms made history as the first Black woman in the country to win a governor's race.
在佐治亚州,参议员乔恩·奥索夫以18个百分点的优势赢得第二个任期。
In Georgia, Sen. Jon Ossoff won a second term by 18 points.
- 由于博托姆斯作为州长将有权任命填补参议院空缺席位的人选,如果奥索夫——或另一位2028年潜在总统竞选人、佐治亚州参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克——赢得总统职位,他们就不必担心共和党人会暂时填补其空缺席位。
• Because Bottoms as governor would be able to appoint a replacement to a vacated Senate seat, Ossoff — or Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock, another potential White House contender in 2028 — wouldn't have to worry about a Republican temporarily filling his position if he were to win the presidency.
他们怎么说:民主党战略师、同时为温和派和进步派提供建议的劳伦·希特表示,该党下一步将走向何方“是一个大大的问号”。
What they're saying: What happens next for the party is "a big question mark," said Lauren Hitt, a Democratic strategist who advises moderates and progressives.
- “我们将花一年时间争论究竟是谁拥有授权——是左派、中间派还是民粹派——然后在2028年我们将得到答案。”
• "We're going to spend a year fighting out who actually has the mandate — left/center/populist — and then in 2028 we'll have our answer."
- 部分民主党操盘手认为,他们获胜的贯穿始终的主线仅仅是——而且下一任总统提名人应代表一种新方向,而非任何具体政策、身份或意识形态。
• Some Democratic operatives believe that the through-line of their wins was simply — and that the next presidential nominee should represent a new direction more than any policy, identity or ideology. The other side:
另一方观点:一些民主党人希望周二的选举结果预示着、过去十年大多时候定义其党内派系斗争可能即将结束——或至少进入一个新阶段。
Some Democrats hope that Tuesday's results signal that the factional warfare that has defined their party for much of the past decade might be coming to an end — or at least entering a new phase.
“我们民主党刚刚走到了这一步,不再是某一派系的事,而是所有派系的事,”民主党州委员会协会主席简·克利布说。
• "We've just come to this place as a Democratic Party where it's not one wing — it's all of the wings," said Jane Kleeb, president of the Association of State Democratic Committees.
她补充道:“2028年,看哪些候选人能向初选选民传达他们不仅仅代表党内某一派系,将会很有意思。”“那将是最大的考验。”
• In 2028, "it will be interesting to see which candidates can communicate to the primary voter that they are not only from one wing of the party," she added. • "That's going to be the big test."