
民主党人周三宣称美国政治进入了一个新时代,此前选民打破了共和党对政府的控制,并对特朗普总统发出了关键性的谴责。周二晚间,民主党赢得众议院和参议院控制权的胜利以历史性的形式出现,胜选幅度超出预期,几乎每个投票群体都出现了两位数的左倾转向。即使在全美最红的州份,共和党为保护选区免受竞争而设计的重划选区努力,也不足以阻止民主党的渗透。
Democrats heralded a new era in American politics Wednesday after voters broke Republicans’ control of government and delivered a pivotal rebuke of President Trump. Victories that handed Democrats control of the House and Senate on Tuesday night came in historic form, with margins outstripping expectations, posting double-digit shifts to the left by nearly every voting bloc. In some of the reddest states in the union, even Republican redistricting efforts designed to shield districts from competition were not enough to prevent Democratic inroads.
这场横扫式的胜利是由一个罕见的选民联盟推动的,该联盟跨越了美国社会几乎所有阶层,涵盖城市和乡村,从中西部农村和深南部到传统上保守的大西洋中部地区。半个世纪前选民因水门事件对尼克松总统感到厌恶以来,普选票从未在单一选举周期中如此果断地发生剧烈摆动。这股浪潮如此全面,以至于让民主党赢得了几十年来难以想象的胜利——在堪萨斯州、南卡罗来纳州和得克萨斯州翻转参议院席位——并首次在一代人时间里赢得了多数州长席位。
The sweeping wins were driven by a rare coalition of voters across nearly all walks of American life, in cities and countryside, from the rural Midwest and Deep South to a traditionally conservative mid-Atlantic. Not since voters were repulsed by President Nixon after the Watergate scandal half a century ago has the popular vote swung so decisively in a single election cycle. The wave was so comprehensive that it handed Democrats wins that for decades have been unthinkable — flipping Senate seats in Kansas, South Carolina and Texas — and gained a majority of governors' seats for the first time in a generation.
随着各州继续计票,他们在众议院的多数优势有多大仍有待观察。亚利桑那州、佐治亚州、明尼苏达州、密歇根州、北卡罗来纳州和宾夕法尼亚州的州议会控制权翻转给了民主党——随着选票统计,得克萨斯州悬而未决——而该党从共和党手中夺取了至少五个州长席位。“此处唯一不寻常的是规模,”克莱蒙特·麦肯纳学院政府学助理教授安德鲁·辛克莱尔说。
How large their House majority would be remained to be seen as states continued counting votes. Statehouses in Arizona, Georgia, Minnesota, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania flipped for Democrats — and, as ballots were counted, Texas hung in the balance — while the party wrested at least five gubernatorial seats from Republican control. "The only thing unusual here is scale," said Andrew Sinclair, an assistant professor of government at Claremont McKenna College.
“在美国政治史上,领导不力的政党在下一次选举中惨败,这绝不罕见。”他补充道:“要从这次选举中建立任何持久的东西,民主党人将不得不做艰苦的工作,彼此进行诚实的对话,探讨这样一个多元化的群体如何能够合作并交出成果。”
"It is not at all unusual in American political history to see a poorly led party lose badly in the next election." "To build anything enduring out of this election," he added, "Democrats are going to have to do the hard work of having honest conversations with each other about how such a diverse group of people can cooperate and deliver results."
这场地震般的大败似乎验证了民主党人——在许多情况下既包括进步派也包括温和派——所竞选的民粹主义信息,内容涵盖从降低成本到解决医疗和住房问题,再到遏制企业在美国社会中的权力。
The seismic routing appeared to validate the populist messages Democrats — in many cases, both progressives and moderates — ran on, from lowering costs to addressing healthcare and housing issues to confronting the power of corporations in American society.
党领袖在选举翌晨誓言将回应选民关于负担得起的授权,并制衡行政权力;两党成员均预测,结果将在未来数年重塑政治版图。参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默(民主党-纽约州)称这是“参议院版图的一次代际性重塑,将改变美国不仅当下而且未来的面貌。”他承诺民主党参议员将致力于为选民服务,兑现缓解美国人经济“痛苦”和清理政府腐败的承诺。
Party leaders vowed the morning after to respond to voters' mandate on affordability and to check executive power, as members of both parties predicted the results would reshape politics for years. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) called it "a generational remake of the Senate map that is going to change America not only now but on into the future." He pledged Democratic senators would be intent on working for their constituents and delivering on promises to relieve Americans' economic "anguish" and clean up government corruption.
他也指出了该党现在肩负的责任。“有了这个多数席位,美国人给了我们民主党人一个证明自己配得上他们信任的机会,这是我们最重要的工作,”舒默说。
He also nodded to the responsibility the party now shoulders. "With this majority, Americans have given we Democrats the opportunity to prove ourselves worthy of their trust, and that's our most important job," Schumer said.
根据《纽约时报》数据,在每个人口统计群体中,无论按性别、种族、年龄、教育程度还是地区划分,选民与2024年相比都向左转移,在大多数情况下幅度达到两位数。18至44岁男性左移31个百分点,拉美裔选民左移28个百分点,30岁以下选民左移32个百分点。
In every demographic, whether cut by gender, race, age, education or region, voters shifted to the left compared to 2024, in most cases by double digits, according to New York Times data. Men 18 to 44 moved to the left by 31 percentage points, Latinos by 28 points, voters under 30 by 32 points.
尽管共和党竞选活动围绕身份认同发起攻击,全国还选出了若干历史性首位,包括首位穆斯林参议员、首位公开出柜的男同性恋参议员和首位黑人女性州长。
The nation also elected several historic firsts, including the first Muslim senator, the first openly gay male senator and the first Black female governor, in spite of Republican campaign attacks around identity.
民主党人在至少11个选区挫败了共和党的重划选区努力,其中包括佛罗里达州的4个、得克萨斯州的4个,以及俄亥俄州、阿拉巴马州和北卡罗来纳州各1个。民主党顾问、参议员伯尼·桑德斯(独立党-佛蒙特州)的前政策顾问亚历克斯·哈奎兹表示,结果显示了经济民粹主义信息的成功。“所有获胜的民主党人的共同点是,亲企业的温和派时代已经结束,我们更坚定地回到了80年代和90年代的草原民粹主义,”哈奎兹说,“你真切地看到了它的复苏。”
And Democrats defied Republican redistricting efforts in at least 11 districts, including four in Florida, four in Texas, one each in Ohio, Alabama and North Carolina. The results showed the success of economic populist messages, said Alex Jacquez, a Democratic consultant and former policy advisor to Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). “The throughline for all the Democrats [who won] is the corporate-friendliness era of moderation is over and we are much more squarely in the prairie populism of the ’80s and ’90s,” Jacquez said. “You saw a real resurgence of that.”
胜利的明确性有助于消除共和党可能会质疑选举结果的想法,特朗普在选举前曾暗示这种可能性。
The unambiguous nature of the victory helped repel the notion that Republicans might attempt to challenge election results, as Trump had telegraphed as a possibility before the election.
共和党人迅速开始相互推卸责任,同时分析结果。佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯,一位可能的2028年总统竞选人,预测结果可能会“在未来十年甚至更久产生回响”,并表示惨败比预期的更严重。德桑蒂斯周三对记者说,这“接近于全美共和党的灭绝级事件”。共和党现在将面临关于该党未来方向的问题,以及如何防止2028年重演周二的这波浪潮。
Republicans swiftly began trading blame as they parsed the results. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a likely 2028 presidential contender, predicted the results could "reverberate for the next decade or most," saying the routing was worse than anticipated. It was "close to an extinction-level event for Republicans across the country," DeSantis told reporters Wednesday. Republicans will now face questions about the party's future direction, and how they prevent a repeat of Tuesday's wave in 2028.
特朗普总统表示愿意接受选举结果并与民主党合作,同时为自己推卸责任。“对共和党来说,很明显,特朗普总统再次将该党带向灾难,”辛克莱说。“展望未来,共和党应重新考虑追随他的治理风格和政策议程。”
President Trump signaled his willingness to accept the election results and work with Democrats, while evading blame for himself. "For Republicans, it is clear that President Trump has led the party to disaster — again," Sinclair said. "Looking to the future, Republicans should reconsider following his style of governance and his policy agenda."
民主党现在必须兑现负担得起和问责制的议程。随着完全控制国会,他们将能够将立法送交特朗普签署,并可能迫使他签署法案或做出不受欢迎的否决。
Democrats will now have to deliver on the affordability and accountability agenda. With full control of Congress, they will be able to send legislation to Trump's desk, and could force him to sign bills or make unpopular vetoes.
舒默周三对记者表示,民主党将努力降低生活成本,“无论有没有总统参与,都是如此,就这么定了。”周二赢得连任的宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗在MS NOW的《早安乔》节目中说:“现在至关重要的是,民主党人既然已经拿到了方向盘,就要有能力把车开好。”夏皮罗同时也是可能的总统竞选人选,他对新的多数席位表达了信心,并表示民主党人需要证明他们“能够立法、降低生活成本、结束这些战争”。
Schumer told reporters Wednesday that the party would work to lower costs "with the president or without him, period." "It is critically important now that Democrats, now that we've been given the keys to the car here, we're able to drive it," Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, who won reelection Tuesday, said on MS NOW's "Morning Joe." Shapiro, also a likely presidential contender, projected confidence in the new majorities and said Democrats would need to show that they "can legislate, bring down costs, end these wars."
顾问安德鲁·德斯特凡诺说,在欢庆气氛中,民主党人的情绪迅速转向“坚定”。他说,党内操盘手希望建立持久的权力,而不是仅仅成为选举钟摆上的又一次摆动。德斯特凡诺说:“人们不希望这只是最新一轮的乒乓对打。大家全神贯注于我们如何能够兑现一些可实现的、具体的政策。”
The mood among Democrats was quickly turning to "resolute" amid the jubilation, said consultant Andrew DeStefano. Party operatives want to build lasting power, he said, not become just another swing in the electoral pendulum. "Folks don't want this to be the latest ping-pong volley," DeStefano said. "Laser focused on how we can deliver on some achievable concrete policy."