
乔伊·卡佩莱蒂、史蒂文·斯隆 华盛顿 —— 民主党取得的压倒性胜利使其获得数十年来在国会的最大多数席位,但这对该党长期以来关于其身份认同及主张的辩论几乎毫无化解作用。
JOEY CAPPELLETTI, STEVEN SLOAN WASHINGTON — The sweeping victories that led Democrats to their largest congressional majority in decades did little to resolve the party’s long-term debate over its identity and what it should stand for.
周二的获胜者涵盖了整个意识形态光谱,既有建制派资深人士,也有政治素人。进步派在密歇根州和缅因州的参议院竞选中取得突破性胜利,并在竞争激烈的众议院选战中获胜。较为温和的民主党人在堪萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州等共和党大本营制造惊天冷门,同时翻转了北卡罗来纳州并守住了佐治亚州。
Tuesday’s winners spanned the ideological spectrum and ranged from establishment veterans to political outsiders. Progressives achieved breakthrough victories in Senate races in Michigan and Maine , along with wins in competitive House races. More moderate Democrats scored stunning upsets in Republican strongholds such as Kansas and South Carolina , while flipping North Carolina and holding Georgia .
这些结果给党内相互竞争的派系提供了理由,让他们相信自己的路线是正确的,这可能会加深关于民主党应如何运用其新获得的国会多数优势、以及如何为2028年总统大选定位的辩论。
The results gave competing factions within the party reason to believe their approach was the right one, potentially deepening a debate over how Democrats should govern their new congressional majorities and position themselves for the 2028 presidential election .
“中期选举主要是对执政党的公投,”马里兰州进步派参议员克里斯·范霍伦对美联社表示。“但我们应该清楚,这并不会自动转化为对民主党的支持。我们需要赢得选民的支持。” 关于党的方向的更大规模争斗预计将成为即将到来的总统初选的核心,届时一批可能拥挤的候选人将竞相界定特朗普第二任期后民主党应坚持什么主张。
“Midterm elections are primarily a referendum on the party in power,” Sen. Chris Van Hollen, a progressive Maryland Democrat , told The Associated Press. “But we should be clear that that doesn’t translate automatically into support for Democrats. We need to earn the support of voters.”The larger fight over the party’s direction is expected to be central to the upcoming presidential primary, when a potentially crowded field of candidates will compete to define what Democrats should stand for after Trump’s second term.
“我认为这场辩论将在2028年上演,而且应该是一场意识形态的大混战,”加利福尼亚州众议员罗·卡纳表示,他说将利用假期考虑自己的总统竞选意向。
“I think that debate will play out in 2028, and there should be an ideological brawl,” said California Rep. Ro Khanna, who said he would spend the holidays considering his own presidential ambitions.
进步派在中期选举中押注甚重,尤其是在密歇根州和缅因州的参议院竞选中,候选人以毫不掩饰的进步派纲领参选,而这些本预计将是最关键的参议院竞选。
Progressives had a lot on the line in the midterms, especially in the Senate races in Michigan and Maine, where candidates were running on unapologetically progressive platforms in what were expected to be the most crucial Senate races.
在密歇根州,阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德——早期获得参议员伯尼·桑德斯背书,竞选后期又有众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯助选——在全国最重要的摇摆州之一以明显优势获胜。他的竞选活动很大程度上是针对民主党建制派展开的,其初选对手获得参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默的支持。无论在初选还是大选中,他的竞选经费都显著少于对手。
In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed — who was backed early by Sen. Bernie Sanders and joined late on the campaign trail by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — won in convincing fashion in one of the nation’s premier swing states. Much of his campaign was run against the Democratic establishment, with his primary opponent backed by Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer. He also was significantly outspent in both the primary and general election.
在缅因州,进步派特洛伊·杰克逊在晚些时候参选,击败了资深共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯。其他进步派也在全国各地的关键众议院选区获胜,包括密歇根州的威尔·劳伦斯和加利福尼亚州的兰迪·维莱加斯,他们同样赢得了艰难的民主党初选。
In Maine, progressive Troy Jackson defeated longtime GOP Sen. Susan Collins after a late entry in the race. Other progressives also won across the country in battleground House races, including Michigan’s Will Lawrence and California’s Randy Villegas, who also won tough Democratic primaries.
埃尔-赛义德和维莱加斯在接受美联社采访时均明确表示,抵达华盛顿后不打算妥协退让。
Both El-Sayed and Villegas made clear in interviews with the AP that they don’t intend to stand down when they get to Washington.
埃尔-赛义德说:“我打算做那种作为候选人时我就是的参议员。去推动关于我们是谁、我们想成为什么样的对话。”
“I intend to be the kind of senator I have been as a candidate. To go and force the conversation about who we are and who we want to be,” El-Sayed said.
维莱加斯指出,进步派“不得不击败我们自己的党”,这表明“当我进入国会时,我不是去为任何政党或领袖效命的。”
Villegas noted that progressives “had to beat our own party,” saying it shows that “when I get to Congress, I am not going there to do the bidding of any political party or leader.”
较为温和的民主党人也取得了重大胜利,尤其是在摇摆州的州长选举中。大卫·克劳利在威斯康星州以约8个百分点的优势击败共和党人汤姆·蒂法尼,而乔斯林·本森在密歇根州州长选举中以近11个百分点获胜——比埃尔-赛义德的胜选优势大出近4个百分点。
More moderate Democrats also scored big victories, particularly in swing state governor’s races. David Crowley defeated Republican Tom Tiffany by about 8 percentage points in Wisconsin, while Jocelyn Benson won Michigan’s governor’s race by nearly 11 points — almost four points more than El-Sayed’s margin of victory.
美联社选民民调发现,温和派在民主党获胜联盟中所占比例大于近几届选举。支持民主党众议院候选人的选民中,约有一半自认是温和派,而2024年、2022年和2018年大选中这一比例约为4成。在民主党反败为胜的关键参议院竞选中,包括堪萨斯州、爱荷华州和北卡罗来纳州,温和派约占获胜候选人选民的一半。
The AP Voter Poll found that moderates made up a larger share of Democrats’ winning coalition than in recent elections. About half of voters who backed Democratic House candidates identified as moderates, compared with roughly 4 in 10 in the 2024, 2022 and 2018 elections. In key Senate races that flipped for Democrats, including Kansas, Iowa and North Carolina, moderates made up about half of the winning candidates’ voters.
但民意调查也显示了民主党联盟内部在意识形态上的分歧。在支持民主党候选人的选民中,约有三分之一的人自认为是民主社会主义者,其中18至29岁的选民中近一半是这样的人,而65岁及以上的选民中约有四分之一是这样的人。
But the poll also showed an ideological divide within the Democratic coalition. About one-third of voters who backed Democratic candidates identified as democratic socialists, including just under half of those ages 18 to 29, compared with about one-quarter of voters ages 65 and older.
前国会议员、白宫办公厅主任拉姆·伊曼纽尔公开考虑竞选2028年总统。他认为民主党人应特别关注那些赢回共和党占领席位的候选人。
Rahm Emanuel , the former congressman and White House chief of staff who is openly considering a 2028 presidential bid, argued that Democrats should pay particular attention to the candidates who flipped Republican-held seats.
“那些将红色州转变为蓝色州的选民,他们是多数的缔造者,”伊曼纽尔在一次采访中说。“所以你们最好关注他们。”众议院民主党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯和舒默都获得了他们想要的多数席位。但这些胜利也带来了领导意识形态多元化的党团的挑战,其中一些成员曾反对他们的领导层。
“The people that flip red to blue, they’re the majority makers,” Emanuel said in an interview. “So you better be paying attention to them.”House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries and Schumer both got the majorities they sought. But those victories come with the challenge of leading ideologically diverse caucuses that include some members who campaigned against their leadership.
虽然舒默和杰弗里斯预计都将赢得连任,但围绕他们的辩论已经开始。
While Schumer and Jeffries are both expected to win another term as leader, the surrounding debate has already begun.
“我的看法是,我们需要进行一次全面而诚实的讨论,”范·霍伦在被问及是否支持舒默时说。“任何竞选领导职位的人都应该能够阐述一个关于我们如何运用这种权力的清晰愿景。”
“My view is we need to have a full and honest discussion,” Van Hollen said when asked about supporting Schumer. “Whoever runs for leader should be able to lay out a clear vision about how we’re going to use this power.”
埃尔-赛义德同样没有明确表态,他说他将等待“看看选择是什么样的”。他补充说,“我们需要新的领导层。”即使控制了参众两院,民主党人的权力也将受到限制。特朗普保留了否决权,他已经威胁要使用它,而民主党人将获得广泛的监督权和传唤权。但国会领导人还必须调和不断壮大的进步派翼与更温和的新民主党联盟以及财政保守的蓝狗联盟的要求。
El-Sayed similarly wouldn’t commit either way, saying he would wait to see “what the options look like.”He added that “we need new leadership.”Even with control of both chambers, Democrats will face limits on their power. Trump retains veto authority, which he has already threatened to use, while Democrats will gain broad oversight and subpoena powers. But congressional leaders will also have to reconcile demands from an expanded progressive wing with those of the more moderate New Democrat Coalition and fiscally conservative Blue Dog Coalition.
当被问及周三左翼要求推进“全民医保”的呼声时,杰弗里斯反而指出了双方的共识领域。
Asked Wednesday about calls from the left to advance Medicare for All, Jeffries instead pointed to areas of agreement.
“我们大家——进步派、新民主党人和蓝狗民主党人——都支持的,我认为是积极推进以扭转医疗补助削减,并积极推进延长《平价医疗法案》税收抵免,”他说。
“What I think we all support — progressives, New Dems and Blue Dogs — is to move forward aggressively to reverse the Medicaid cuts and to move forward aggressively to extend the Affordable Care Act tax credits,” he said.
当选众议员克里斯蒂娜·博汉南周三表示,她很高兴听到大多数加入新众议院多数党的民主党人专注于降低成本,而不是“政治游戏”。她说,只要民主党同僚继续专注于可负担性,“我们会相处得非常愉快”。
Incoming Rep. Christina Bohannan, who defeated Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in a competitive House district, said Wednesday that she’s pleased to hear most of the Democrats joining the new House majority focused on lowering costs rather than “political games.”As long as fellow Democratic members stay focused on affordability “we’re going to get along great,” she said.
“在我这种政治倾向非常混合的选区里,人们对惯常的政治手段已经厌倦透顶,”博汉南说。
“People in districts like mine that are very mixed politically — they are so tired of the politics as usual,” Bohannan said.
即使阿拉斯加和密西西比州的参议院竞选结果尚未揭晓,潜在的2028年总统竞选人已经在与记者举行电话会议,勾勒他们对党未来的设想——或者像伊利诺伊州州长J·B·普里茨克那样,前往华盛顿为自己造势。
Even before Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi had been decided, potential 2028 presidential contenders were holding calls with reporters to outline their visions for the party’s future — or, in the case of Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, heading to Washington to make their case.
普里茨克定于周四在美国进步中心发表演讲,此前一天他刚发布了一份包含200项政策主张的议程,供即将上任的民主党主导的国会参考,呼吁扭转特朗普政府的政策并扩大医疗保健获取渠道。
Pritzker was scheduled to speak Thursday at the Center for American Progress, a day after unveiling a 200-point policy agenda for the incoming Democratic Congress that calls for reversing Trump administration policies and expanding access to health care.
范霍伦同样表示,他正在“探探风”考虑2028年参选,并称这次选举揭示了“渴望团结在一个更民粹主义的议程背后”。“随着这些选举拉开的这场关于民主党未来的辩论,将决定民主党能否当选入主白宫,”范霍伦说。
Van Hollen similarly said he was “kicking the tires” on a 2028 run and said the election revealed a “desire to unite behind a more populist agenda.”“This debate that is kicking off with these elections about the future of the Democratic Party will determine whether Democrats are elected to the White House,” Van Hollen said.