英国广播公司（BBC）经济事务编辑认为，很可能还会再加息一次，但也仅此而已。
The BBC's economics editor views one more interest rate as likely, but thinks that will be all.
利率已升至4%，英国央行表示还将进一步加息。问题是加多少？利率制定委员会内部存在分歧。
Interest rates have risen to 4% and the Bank of England has indicated there are more rises to come. The question is how many? There is a split on the rate-setting committee here.
九名有投票权的委员中有三人提到了“加息”（复数）。一名委员投票支持更大幅度的加息，至4.25%。包括行长安德鲁·贝利在内的三人只提到再加息一次。
Three of the nine voting members referred to "rises" plural. One member voted for a bigger increase, to 4.25%. Three referred to just one more including governor Andrew Bailey.
我的解读是，市场预期2月还会再加息一次。两次加息后就结束，但这取决于情况。
My read on this is that the expectation is for one more rise in February. Two and done, but it depends.
这对浮动利率抵押贷款者来说是痛苦的，但不应被视为一轮加息周期的开始。
It is painful for those on variable mortgages, but should not be seen as the start of a cycle of hikes.
预测利率走向就像向一个在墙上不断移动的靶子投掷飞镖，对伊朗战争将持续多久及其对经济和物价影响的预期每天都在剧烈波动。至少这次没有蒙眼。
Predicting where interest rates will go is like throwing darts at a board that constantly moves around the wall, with expectations of how long the Iran War will last and its impact on the economy and prices lurching from day to day. At least there is no blindfold.
英国央行的预测显示，明年春季通胀将降至略低于5%的水平，同时典型家庭的能源账单将在1月激增27%，达到每年2150英镑。为什么是现在？
The Bank's forecasts indicate inflation is heading to just under 5% next spring as a typical household energy bill surges by 27% in January to £2,150 a year. Why now?
他们为什么现在加息？高企且不断上升的通胀有可能引发一轮自我实现的物价上涨预期。然而，到目前为止尚未出现这种情况。战争已持续9个月，导致预测中使用的油价平均为每桶108美元。
Why have they raised now? High and rising inflation risks a further cycle of self fulfilling expectations of rising prices. It hasn't been seen so far, however. The war has lasted for 9 months, and led to oil prices used in the forecast averaging $108 a barrel.
然而，在他们宣布加息的当天，油价实际上比这一水平低了13%，此前在美国中期选举前和选举后油价均有所下跌，反映出市场预期或猜测特朗普总统现在将从伊朗战争中退缩或降级。
And yet on the day they have announced the rate rise, the oil price is actually 13% lower than that having fallen in the run up and after the US mid term elections, reflecting expectations or guesses that President Trump will now retreat or deescalate from the Iran war.
另一个值得注意的因素是，英国经济的表现远好于预测和预期。英国央行最新的预测凸显了这一点。
The other notable factor is that the UK economy is performing much better than forecasts and expectations. This is underlined by the Bank of England's latest forecasts.
今年头两个季度的经济增长分别为0.6%和0.5%。英国央行表示，第三季度（7至9月）增长有望达到0.7%，随后在年底前三个月放缓。失业率已趋于稳定，实际上略有下降。
Growth has been 0.6%, and 0.5% in the first two quarters of the year. It is heading for 0.7%, the Bank said, between July and September, before slowing in the three months to the end of the year. Unemployment has stabilised, actually falling a little.
部分因素传导至汇率表现，英镑兑一篮子货币升至英国脱欧公投以来的最高水平。这有助于通过降低进口成本来抑制通胀。
Some of this has fed through into a better performing currency, with sterling at its highest level since the Brexit referendum, when measured against a basket of currencies. This can help rein in inflation by making imports cheaper.
因此，这是一种不同寻常的不确定性。即便是预期中的进一步加息——很可能在明年2月——也取决于战争是否持续。
So, this is an unusual type of uncertainty. Even the expected further rise, probably in February next year is conditional on the war continuing.
英国央行今日不再等待特朗普总统的战争结束，但或许民主党在美国中期选举中的压倒性胜利能遏制通胀浪潮？央行已投出试探性的第一支飞镖，第二支大概率将随后到来。
The Bank of England stopped waiting for President Trump's war to end today, but perhaps the Democrats' resounding victory in the US midterm elections will stop the inflationary wave? The Bank has thrown a tentative first dart, and there is probably another to come.