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高盛:“蓝色浪潮”对人工智能和数据中心政策具有重大影响Goldman sees major AI and data center policy implications from ‘blue tsunami’

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Investing.com -- 高盛在一份新研报中告诉客户,民主党在中期选举中取得超预期的大胜,可能对人工智能和数据中心监管产生重大影响,尤其是在州和地方层面。

Investing.com -- Goldman Sachs told clients in a new note that Democrats’ larger-than-expected wins in the midterm elections could have significant implications for AI and data center regulation, particularly at the state and local level.

高盛的珍妮·格里姆伯格表示,该行预计民主党将利用其在国会新获得的多数席位,在即将到来的财政截止日期前争取政策让步。

Goldman’s Jenny Grimberg said the bank expects Democrats to use their new majorities in Congress to push for policy concessions around upcoming fiscal deadlines.

她写道:“随着民主党在众议院和参议院赢得远超预期的多数席位,我们预计他们将利用即将到来的财政截止日期寻求政策让步,具体包括限制伊朗战争、撤销部分关税,以及逆转近期通过的开支削减。”

“With Democrats winning much larger-than-expected majorities across the House and Senate, we expect them to leverage upcoming fiscal deadlines to seek policy concessions, specifically to limit the Iran war, roll back select tariffs, and reverse recently-enacted spending cuts,” she wrote.

高盛还预计,民主党在州和地方选举中的胜利将带来更严格的人工智能和数据中心规则。其股票分析师认为,这将对部分美国公用事业公司和独立发电商构成压力,这些公司向数据中心出售电力。不过,该行预计这一问题的重要性将随时间减弱。

Goldman also expects Democratic wins in state and local races to bring tighter AI and data center rules. Its equity analysts see this weighing on some U.S. utilities and independent power producers, which sell electricity to data centers. However, the bank expects the issue to become less important over time.

格里姆伯格表示:“我们预计数据中心问题的重要性将在未来有所减弱,任何针对数据中心开发的暂停令都将是短暂的。”

“We expect the data center issue to somewhat fade in importance ahead and any moratoria on data center development to be short-lived,” Grimberg said.

该行指出,自大选以来,石油风险溢价已大幅下降。尽管如此,高盛最近将2027年布伦特原油平均价格预测从每桶80美元上调至88美元,理由是中东供应面临下行风险。因此,高盛现在预计明年欧洲经济增长将放缓,通胀将升高。

The bank noted that the oil risk premium has fallen significantly since the election. Still, it recently raised its average 2027 Brent forecast to $88 a barrel from $80, citing downside risks to Middle East supply. As a result, Goldman now expects weaker growth and higher inflation in Europe next year.

该行预计标普500指数盈利增速将从今年的近30%放缓至2027年的18%。

The bank expects S&P 500 earnings growth to slow from nearly 30% this year to 18% in 2027.

高盛认为“蓝色海啸”对人工智能和数据中心政策有重大影响 风险披露:交易金融工具和/或加密货币涉及高风险,包括损失部分或全部投资金额的风险,可能不适合所有投资者。加密货币价格波动极大,可能受金融、监管或政治事件等外部因素影响。保证金交易会增加财务风险。

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