2026年大选中最扣人心弦的竞争之一，并未发生在紫色摇摆州，而是在深红的密西西比州，民主党人斯科特·科洛姆正试图在“木兰州”创造奇迹。
One of the biggest nail-biters of the 2026 election isn't playing out in a purple state, but crimson Mississippi, where Democrat Scott Colom is trying to pull off a Magnolia State marvel. The big picture:
大局观：这是周二“蓝色浪潮”中最引人注目的暗流之一。这场竞争将依靠草根影响力的民主党地区检察官科洛姆，与现任共和党参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯对决，而特朗普在2024年曾以约23个百分点的优势赢下该州。
It's one of the most remarkable currents of Tuesday's blue wave. The race pitted Colom, a Democratic district attorney powered by grassroots clout, against incumbent Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith in a state Trump won by some 23 points in 2024.
科洛姆凭借其病毒式传播的声量和历史性候选人身份构建的联盟，正面临深南部的终极考验。
The coalition Colom built with his viral and the historic tenor of his candidacy faces the ultimate Deep South test.
- 该竞选结果仍难以预测。
• The race remains too close to call.
- “旗帜已在密西西比插下，新的一天已经到来，无论这些最后的选票能否将斯科特·科洛姆送入胜利者行列，我们将拭目以待，”“变革有色人种”组织总裁兼首席执行官纳丁·史密斯表示。“但……变革已经到来。”
• "The flag has already been planted in Mississippi that a new day has arrived, and whether these final votes carry Scott Colom into that victory column, we will find out," says Nadine Smith, president and CEO of Color Of Change. "But … change has arrived."
追踪资金：科洛姆的竞选是佛罗里达州律师史蒂夫·帕伊西奇关注的红州竞选之一，他家族运营的超级政治行动委员会“全民新政”旨在助推那些鲜为人知的竞选中的民主党人。
Follow the money: Colom's was one of the red-state races that drew the attention of Florida attorney Steve Pajcic, whose family-run super PAC New Deal for All sought to boost Dems in under-the-radar races.
- 帕伊西奇告诉Axios（艾克西奥斯新闻网），密西西比州“在规模和潜力上”都很理想，他们在那里投入了约110万美元。这笔钱在密西西比州较便宜的电视广告市场上发挥了巨大作用。
• Mississippi, where they invested around $1.1 million, was ideal "in size and in potential," he tells Axios. That money went far on Mississippi's less-expensive airwaves.
- Axios记者多尼卡·菲弗报道，选战最后一周播放最多的广告，由一位爱泼斯坦受害者出镜谴责海德-史密斯。“全民新政”支付了该广告费用，该广告淹没了密西西比州的电视市场。
• The most-aired ad in the closing week featured an Epstein survivor condemning Hyde-Smith, Axios' Donica Phifer reported. New Deal for All paid for the ad, which inundated Mississippi's TV markets. Catch up quick:
快速回顾： 10月，Axios报道称，参议院共和党人正考虑向该竞选注资。共和党参议院领导力基金最终进行了投资。
In October, Axios reported that Senate Republicans were weighing a cash infusion into the race. The GOP Senate Leadership Fund eventually made an investment.
- 民主党参议院多数派政治行动委员会宣布投入120万美元开展广告战，科洛姆还吸引了前副总统哈里斯和前总统克林顿等党内重量级人物前来助选。
• Democrats' Senate Majority PAC announced a $1.2 million ad campaign, and Colom also drew party heavy-hitters like former Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Clinton for appearances.
- 前总统奥巴马也录制了一则广告。
• Former President Obama also cut an ad.
纵深观察：这场竞选的地震级性质也源于历史。科隆将成为重建时期以来密西西比州首位黑人参议员，也是自20世纪80年代以来该州首位当选参议员的民主党人。
Zoom out: The race's seismic nature is also fueled by history. Colom would be Mississippi's first Black senator since Reconstruction, and its first Democrat elected to the Senate since the 1980s.
- 科隆的竞选活动聚焦于为黑人美国人的投票权而战，制作了一则关于民权领袖梅德加·埃弗斯的广告，讲述他的努力最终导致全美有色人种协进会（NAACP）首位外勤干部丧生。
• Colom's campaign leaned into the fight for Black Americans' right to vote, producing an ad about civil rights leader Medgar Evers and how his efforts ultimately cost the NAACP's first field officer his life.
- “不谈密西西比州，就无法谈论争取黑人自由的斗争，这就是为什么这一时刻的象征意义如此强大，”史密斯说。
• "You can't talk about the struggle for Black freedom without talking about Mississippi, and that is why the symbolism of this moment is so powerful," Smith says.
回顾：海德-史密斯在2023年为她与科隆这场拖沓的戏剧性对决奠定了基础：她阻挠了时任总统乔·拜登提名科隆担任密西西比州北区联邦地区法院法官——尽管同为共和党的参议员罗杰·威克支持他。
Flashback: Hyde-Smith set the stage for her dragged-out drama with Colom in 2023: She blocked former President Joe Biden's nomination of Colom to be a U.S. District Court Judge for the Northern District of Mississippi — despite fellow Republican Sen. Roger Wicker backing him.
密西西比州黑人选民根据《纽约时报》选民趋势估算，以91%对7%支持科隆而非海德-史密斯，这是政治分析人士认为民主党人获胜所需的条件：强劲的黑人选民投票率，加上四分之一白人密西西比人的支持。
Black Mississippians favored Colom 91% to Hyde-Smith's 7% per New York Times voter trend estimates something political analysts have said for a Democrat to win: strong Black turnout, combined with a quarter of white Mississippians' support.
- 最高法院限制《投票权法案》的裁决、赋予共和党重划选区权力并稀释黑人选票，也推动黑人选民走向投票站，史密斯说。
• The Supreme Court's ruling limiting the Voting Rights Act, empowering Republican redistricting and diluting Black votes, also pushed Black voters to the polls, Smith said.
- 最高法院的裁决唤醒了“一个巨人”，史密斯说。“人们不会气馁；他们将被激发斗志。”
• The SCOTUS ruling awoke "a giant," Smith said. "People were not going to be discouraged; they were going to be galvanized."
我们正在关注：帕伊西奇告诉Axios，2026年的投票是通往历史性时刻的大门。
What we're watching: Pajcic tells Axios that the 2026 vote is a door to historic moments.
- “这是一个新的密西西比州，伴随着一个新的南卡罗来纳州、一个新的佐治亚州、一个新的北卡罗来纳州、一个新的得克萨斯州，”帕伊西奇说。
• "It's a new Mississippi, and it goes with a new South Carolina, a new Georgia, a new North Carolina, new Texas," Pajcic says.
- “我们迎来了一个新的南方。”
• "We've got a new South."