民主党人在2026年选举中的优势有多大？优势如此之大，以至于即便他们的选民在选举日当天一个都不出现，他们也能赢得一些重头选战。
How dominant were Democrats in the 2026 election? So dominant that they could have won some marquee races even if literally none of their voters showed up on Election Day.
佐治亚州、北卡罗来纳州和得克萨斯州的参议院竞选就是如此。亚利桑那州州长竞选也可能是这样。
That was true in Senate races in Georgia, North Carolina and Texas. And it could also be true of the Arizona governor’s race.
在这些竞选中，通过提前投票、缺席投票和/或邮寄投票投给民主党人的选民人数，都超过了投给共和党人的总票数——包括所有投票方式在内。在每场竞选中，民主党人似乎都以10个百分点或更多的优势获胜。
In each one, more voters voted for the Democrat via early voting and absentee and/or mail voting than voted in total for the Republican — including all methods of voting. In each race, the Democrat appears to have won by 10 or more percentage points.
在佐治亚州，国务卿公布的计票结果显示，参议员乔恩·奥索夫通过提前投票和缺席投票获得了大约1,772,000票，而他的对手、共和党众议员迈克·柯林斯获得的总票数约为1,712,000票。
In Georgia, returns from the secretary of state show Sen. Jon Ossoff getting about 1,772,000 votes from early and absentee voting, compared to about 1,712,000 total votes for his opponent, GOP Rep. Mike Collins.
*奥索夫目前的领先优势为18个百分点。在得克萨斯州，国务卿的数据显示，民主党当选参议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科获得了440万张提前投票，而共和党籍州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿获得的票数为425万票。
Ossoff’s current lead stands at 18 points. In Texas, data from the secretary of state shows Democratic Sen.-elect James Talarico got 4.4 million early votes, compared to 4.25 million votes for GOP state Attorney General Ken Paxton.
塔拉里科以两位数的优势赢得竞选，这让许多人感到意外——在一个自1994年以来民主党就没有赢得过全州公职的州里。
Talarico surprised many by winning his race by double digits — in a state where Democrats hadn’t won a statewide office since 1994.
在北卡罗来纳州，州选举委员会的数据显示，民主党籍前州长罗伊·库珀收到了大约1,728,000张提前现场投票，而共和党人迈克尔·沃特利获得的总票数约为1,643,000票。
In North Carolina, data from the State Board of Elections shows Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper receiving about 1,728,000 early in-person votes, compared to about 1,643,000 votes total for Republican Michael Whatley.
库珀甚至不需要缺席投票就能击败沃特利。他获得的提前投票总数超过了沃特利通过提前投票、缺席投票和选举日投票获得的票数总和。总统唐纳德·特朗普曾多次来到该州试图帮助沃特利，而库珀目前以20个百分点的优势领先。他是自2008年以来北卡罗来纳州选出的第一位民主党参议员。
Cooper didn’t even need absentee votes to beat Whatley. His early vote total trumped Whatley’s total from early, absentee and Election Day voting. President Donald Trump came to the state repeatedly to try to help Whatley, and Cooper is currently winning by 20 points. He is the first Democrat North Carolina has elected to the Senate since 2008.
这些统计数据进一步突显了提前投票对民主党人而言有多么至关重要。在这场中期选举中，民主党选民提前投票的意愿仍然明显高于共和党人。
The stats reinforce just how crucial the early vote is to Democrats, in particular. Democratic voters remained significantly more likely to vote early than Republicans in these midterms.
在得克萨斯州，塔拉里科目前的总得票中有超过80%来自提前投票。而在北卡罗来纳州，库珀有73%的选票来自选举日投票之外的方式。
In Texas, Talarico is currently getting more than 80% of his vote total from early votes. And in North Carolina, Cooper is getting 73% of his votes outside of Election Day voting.
这种在提前投票上的绝对优势也可能出现在另一个摇摆州的州长竞选中：亚利桑那州。
The early vote dominance could also be the case in a governor’s race in another swing state: Arizona.
在那里，最新结果显示，民主党籍州长凯蒂·霍布斯获得了超过100万张提前投票，而共和党众议员安迪·比格斯获得的总票数则为96万票。霍布斯目前在其连任竞选中领先11个百分点。
There, the latest results show Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs getting more than 1 million early votes, compared to 960,000 total votes for Republican Rep. Andy Biggs. Hobbs currently leads in her reelection race by 11 points.
不过，随着该州已清点大约86%的选票，这些数字仍有可能发生变化。
Those numbers could shift, though, as the state has counted an estimated 86% of its vote.
鉴于所有这些竞选曾一度都被视为竞争激烈，这些数字显得尤为惊人。其中三场竞选发生在总统选举摇摆州，而得克萨斯州长期以来一直是个红州。
The numbers are particularly striking given all of these races were once considered competitive. Three of them are in presidential swing states, while Texas has long been a red state.
再怎么说，这些统计数据也进一步证明了美国选举现在有多少是在选举日之外进行的——以及各党派如何在这些艰难的州里，在常规投票站开放之前就已经锁定重大选战的胜局。
And, if nothing else, the stats reinforce just how much US elections are now conducted outside of Election Day — and how parties could have major races in difficult states like these locked up before the regular polls even open.