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关注人工智能敞口:香港峰会上的财富管理人士敦促平衡投资组合‘Mindful’ of AI exposure: wealth managers at Hong Kong summit urge balance in portfolios

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香港一场私人财富会议的高管们强调,人工智能基础设施是一个蓬勃发展的“防御加增长”投资机会,同时警告投资者避免投资组合过度依赖人工智能。

Executives at a private wealth conference in Hong Kong have highlighted AI infrastructure as a booming “defence plus growth” investment opportunity, while cautioning investors against portfolios that are overreliant on artificial intelligence.

渣打银行香港托管投资及财富方案主管蒋佩芬周四在私人财富管理公会年度峰会的小组讨论中表示:“现在的基础设施机会确实在于解决[人工智能]在结构性增长中需求的瓶颈。”

“Infrastructure opportunities now really lie at the bottleneck of solving [AI’s] demands within structural growth,” the head of Hong Kong managed investments and wealth solutions at Standard Chartered Bank, Sabina Chiang, said during a panel discussion at the Private Wealth Management Association’s annual summit on Thursday.

她表示:“人工智能可能是数字化的,但围绕它的许多限制在很大程度上仍然是实体的,”她指出市场对数据中心、电信铁塔、光纤网络以及包括核能、太阳能、电池和电网在内的各种电源的需求。

“AI might be digital, but a lot of the constraints around it are still largely physical,” she said, pointing to demand for data centres, telecoms towers, fibre networks and different sources of power, including nuclear, solar, battery and grids.

她表示,这为投资者提供了不断增长的投资机会,并补充说“基础设施2.0”是将“纯粹的防御性投资转向防御加增长”。

That offered investors a growing investment opportunity, she said, adding that “Infrastructure 2.0” was about “shifting from pure defence play to defence plus growth”.

本周早些时候,高级金融家们在香港金融管理局组织的国际金融领袖投资峰会上,讨论了人工智能基础设施空前需求背后的投资机会与风险。

Earlier in the week, senior financiers debated investment opportunities and risks behind the unprecedented demand for AI infrastructure at the Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit organised by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

在该峰会上,品浩首席执行官伊曼纽尔·罗曼表示,未来五年可能达到10万亿美元的基础设施需求在某个时候“将会过大”,并可能导致经济低迷。但蒋佩芬表示,基础设施投资背后的标准依然稳固。

At that summit, Pimco CEO Emmanuel Roman said the demand for infrastructure – which could amount to US$10 trillion over the next five years – was, at some point, “going to be too much” and could lead to a downturn. But Chiang said the criteria behind infrastructure investments remained firm.

她说:“我们仍然希望资产是必不可少的……难以复制的……并且[我们仍然希望]有可预测的现金流和通胀调整。”

“We still want assets to be essential … difficult to replicate … and [we still want] predictable cash flows and inflation adjustments,” she said.

蒋佩芬表示,人工智能热潮的增长潜力与传统投资标准(创造收入、投资组合韧性和抗通胀能力)的结合,解释了为什么越来越多的私人财富投资者转向此类资产。

The combination of the growth potential of the AI boom and traditional investment criteria – which created income, portfolio resilience and inflation protection – explained why increasing numbers of private wealth investors had turned to such assets, Chiang said. Do you want to load up on the same thing, or do you want to diversify and have less correlated assets?

投资公司KKR全球财富方案主管马库斯·埃格洛夫表示,尽管有种种好处,但投资者应该“非常注意”其投资组合中的人工智能敞口。

Markus Egloff, KKR But Markus Egloff, head of global wealth solutions at investment firm KKR, said that despite the upsides, investors should be “very mindful” of the AI exposure in their portfolio.

他说:“当你审视公司的盈利和收入敏感度时,标普500指数与人工智能的相关性约为40%,”他并补充说,投资组合单纯追踪标普500指数的投资者面临着巨大的人工智能敞口。

“The S&P 500 has about 40 per cent correlation to AI when you look at earnings and revenue sensitivity of the companies,” he said, adding that investors whose portfolios simply tracked the S&P 500 were heavily exposed to AI.

当投资者随后在私募股权、基础设施或私人信贷中寻找投资机会时,埃格洛夫鼓励他们反问:“你是想重仓相同的东西,还是想多元化投资并拥有关联度较低的资产?”在近期人工智能股票遭到抛售之后,高盛和摩根士丹利的首席执行官周二在国际金融领袖投资峰会上表示,尽管道路波折,但人工智能热潮是一个将支撑美国经济增长的超级周期。标普500指数周四下跌4.4%,将今年以来的涨幅缩减至7.4%。

When investors then looked for investment opportunities in private equity, infrastructure or private credit, Egloff encouraged them to ask: “Do you want to load up on the same thing, or do you want to diversify and have less correlated assets?”After recent AI stock sell-offs, the CEOs of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley said at the Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit on Tuesday that the AI boom was a supercycle that would underpin economic growth in the United States, despite bumps in the road. The S&P 500 fell 4.4 per cent on Thursday, trimming year-to-date gains to 7.4 per cent.

蒋佩芬表示,核心信息是人工智能基础设施“不仅仅是一个单一的解决方案”,而是可以根据投资者的需求,兼具增长导向、创收甚至信贷属性。

Chiang said the key message was that AI infrastructure was “not just a single solution”, but could be growth-oriented, income-producing or even on the credit side, depending on investors’ needs.

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